Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

A weaker dollar following on from the Federal Reserve meeting has given the commodity complex the excuse it needed to rally, putting gold, brent and WTI on an upward path.

Source: Bloomberg

Gold moves higher

Yesterday’s Fed meeting sent gold moving sharply higher, pushing through the 13 September high around $1330, and leaving it well-positioned to head to the early September peak at $1355.

If the bounce continues then gold has avoided making a new lower low, and we could be seeing the beginning of a breakout from the downtrend off the July highs. The price is relatively overextended intraday, so we could see some short-term weakness, but any dips are likely to see fresh buying. 

Gold chart

Brent set for further gains

Having built a base above $45.60, the price has moved sharply higher, with the possibility of further gains ahead. If we see more upward moves then $48.80 would be the next target, and then on to $50.22.

It will take a firm close below $45 to indicate that the key support area of late August and September has been broken.

Brent chart

WTI looks to begin new upward leg

It looks increasingly likely that we will see a push towards $47.50, which would bring the price back into contact with the descending trendline off the June highs. WTI needs to break this to begin a new upward leg.

A failure to push on would see it fall back towards $44, and the rising trend from the lows of the year. The strong moves of the last few days have put the bulls in charge for now. 

WTI chart

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