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Over the last month Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd has seen its shares jostle at the top of the biggest climbers list for the S&P 500. At the time of writing, the shares are now up over 15% in the last month. At the moment, the firm operates a fleet of 41 ships covering seven different continents and 455 destinations, and has invested interests for both CDF, covering the French market, and TUI Cruises covering the German markets.
The company’s fourth-quarter figure, not due until January, is expected to see sales drop from $2.389 billion down to $1.885 billion and pre-tax profits fall from $490 million down to $97 million. It is worth noting that the recent moves in energy prices, specifically oil, have not been factored in. As oil, the company’s largest cost, has now fallen by almost 40% in the last three months and even more over the last six, there will be lagging benefits and substantially improved profit margins yet to be fully factored into the company.
Shares in the company from the beginning of the year have risen by 67% and in the last month have become heavily overbought. The divergence away from the 200-day moving average does make this look a little overdone but the fundamental improvements for the company’s cost base certainly warrant optimism.