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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved.

Macro Intelligence

How the gold and silver plunge affects ASX stocks

In this week’s edition of IG Macro Intelligence, we examine the recent sell-off in precious metals and its impact on ASX-listed stocks.

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Written by

Juliette Saly

Juliette Saly

News Director and Anchor, ausbiz TV

Publication date

Gold sold

Gold prices have started February on the back foot after experiencing their biggest one-day plunge in over a decade at the end of January.

Spot gold daily candlestick chart

Spot gold daily candlestick chart chart Source: IG
Spot gold daily candlestick chart chart Source: IG

The unwinding of gold and, subsequently, silver prices came after a dramatic surge that had seen precious metals hit all-time highs.

 Investors had been rushing into gold and silver due to fears of geopolitical instability, currency debasement, and threats to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) independence, with speculative buying from China further fuelling the move.

A decision by United States (US) President Trump to nominate Kevin Warsh as the incoming Fed chair prompted investors to retreat from safe-haven trades on the last trading day of January. 

Golden opportunity?

So, should investors take profits in gold stocks or double down amid the downturn?

Ord Minnett's David Lane remains bullish on a few gold players:

Ramelius (ASX:RMS)

Ord Minnett has a $5.10 target price on Ramelius, slightly below the average target price of $5.12 as surveyed by Refinitiv, suggesting the stock can rally a further 18%.

Ramelius daily candlestick chart

Ramelius daily candlestick chart Source: IG
Ramelius daily candlestick chart Source: IG

Shares have surged more than 75% over the past 12 months and remain in a bullish trend, according to technical data. Specifically, the five-day moving average (MA) of the stock is above the 20 and 50-day MAs.

Ramelius historical trends and price targets

Ramelius  historical trends and price targets chart Source: Refinitiv
Ramelius  historical trends and price targets chart Source: Refinitiv

However, UBS has downgraded the stock to 'neutral' from 'buy', albeit with a higher target price of $5.20, up from $4.20, as the global strategy team updates its near-term gold price to US$5200 as a sustainable target for the remainder of 2026, before an eventual 'tapering.'

Ramelius buy/sell indicators and analyst projections

Ramelius buy/sell indicators and analyst projections hart Source: FNArena
Ramelius buy/sell indicators and analyst projections hart Source: FNArena

Losing shine

The near 30% decline in silver also put Australian-listed silver miners under pressure at the start of February.

However, a surge in demand for silver recently prompted Global X exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to launch a second product to meet appetite for the metal.

Silver Miners ETF chart

Global X silver miners ETF candlestick chart Source: IG
Global X silver miners ETF candlestick chart Source: IG

The Silver Miners ETF (SLVM) allows Australian investors to access a global portfolio of companies involved in the exploration, mining, and production of silver, benchmarked against the Solactive Global Silver Miners Net Total Return Index.

Spot silver daily candlestick chart

Spot silver daily candlestick chart Source: Refinitiv
Spot silver daily candlestick chart Source: Refinitiv

Viridis Minerals and Mining (ASX:VMM)

Chris Judd from Cerutty Macro Fund believes silver has not lost its appeal as an investment. Judd also favours Viridis Minerals and Mining, seeking diverse commodity chain exposure rather than crowding trades.

Viridis Minerals and Mining daily candlestick chart

Viridis Minerals and Mining daily candlestick chart Source: IG
Viridis Minerals and Mining daily candlestick chart Source: IG

Viridis Mining and Minerals appears to be in a strong bullish trend confirmed by multiple indicators. Specifically, the five-day MA of the stock price is above the 20 and 50-day MAs. Additionally, a long-term bullish signal is offered by the 200-day MA, which is trending higher.

Viridis Mining and Minerals historical trends and price targets

 Viridis Mining and Minerals historical trends and price targets chart Source: Refinitiv
 Viridis Mining and Minerals historical trends and price targets chart Source: Refinitiv

Analysts seem equally positive on the stock, with the average recommendation a 'buy' according to Refinitiv, and a target price of $3.68, suggesting a 113% gain.

Viridis Mining and Minerals buy/sell indicators and analyst projections

Viridis Mining and Minerals  buy/sell indicators and analyst projections hart Source: FNArena
Viridis Mining and Minerals  buy/sell indicators and analyst projections hart Source: FNArena

What next?

The general consensus seems to be that the pullback in precious metals was a correction after a parabolic rally.

Deutsche Bank is sticking with its US$6000 target price for gold, drawing contrasts from the recent pullback with weakness seen in the safe-haven asset in the 1980s and, more recently, 2013. 

Important to know

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Australia Pty Ltd. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.