CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved.

EUR/USD bias remains bullish, but stays vigilant on second wave concerns

EUR/USD remains skewed to the upside, but coronavirus concerns remain in focus.

EUR/USD analysis and news

  • A little less uncertainty for the euro
  • IG sentiment signals are bullish for EUR/USD

A little less uncertainty for the euro

Yesterday, German lawmakers had voted in favour of the European Central Bank's (ECB’s) purchase program, therefore putting an end to the legal stand off between the German constitutional court and the ECB.

As such, with the euro facing a little less uncertainty, dips in the currency are likely to find support. That said, caution is a must given the concerns of a second wave of Covid-19 cases hitting the southern states of the US.

With today’s session likely to be a tepid affair amid the US market holiday, price action in EUR/USD is likely to remain somewhat muted as markets lack direction and thus hold its $1.12-$1.13 range. Nonetheless, market attention will be placed on the latest Covid-19 case figures in the US.

IG sentiment signals are bullish for EUR/USD

Retail trader data shows 41.44% of traders are net long with the ratio of traders short to long at 1.41 to one. The number of traders net long is 1.03% higher than yesterday and 1.61% lower from last week, while the number of traders net short is 4.42% lower than yesterday and 7.32% lower from last week.

We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net short suggests EUR/USD prices may continue to rise.

Yet traders are less net short than yesterday and compared with last week. Recent changes in sentiment warn that the current EUR/USD price trend may soon reverse lower despite the fact traders remain net short.

EUR/USD technical outlook

EUR/USD had failed break above resistance situated at $1.1293, which marks the 76.4% Fibonacci retracement of the $1.1497-$1.0635 sell off.

That said, the pair remains biased to the upside with dips finding support from $1.1180-$1.1200. Below here would negate the bullish bias. On the topside, bulls will look a make a breach the 76.4%, which could pave the way for a test of the descending trendline from the 2020 peak.

EUR/USD price chart: daily time frame


This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.

Start trading forex today

Trade the largest and most volatile financial market in the world.

  • Spreads start at just 0.6 points on EUR/USD
  • Analyse market movements with our essential selection of charts
  • Speculate from a range of platforms, including on mobile

Live prices on most popular markets

  • Forex
  • Shares
  • Indices
liveprices.javascriptrequired
liveprices.javascriptrequired
liveprices.javascriptrequired

Prices above are subject to our website terms and agreements. All share prices are delayed by at least 20 minutes. Prices are indicative only.

You might be interested in…

Find out what charges your trades could incur with our transparent fee structure.

Discover why so many clients choose us, and what makes us a world-leading provider of CFDs.

Stay on top of upcoming market-moving events with our customisable economic calendar.