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Coinbase Q3 2024 earnings: revenue & market challenges

Discover the latest Q3 2024 earnings projections for Coinbase, including revenue expectations, EPS estimates, and the market challenges the company faces amidst fluctuating Ethereum prices and increased operational expenses.

Source: Bloomberg

When is Coinbase's earnings date?

Coinbase Global Inc. will report its Q3 2024 earnings on Thursday, 31 October at 7.10am (AEDT).

What does ‘The Street’ expect?

A consensus of estimates from Thomson Reuters arrives at the following expectations for the Q3 2024 Coinbase results:

  • Revenue: $1.253 billion
  • Subscription and services revenue: $560.89 million
  • Transactional revenue: $685.80 million
  • EPS: $2.56

Group guidance and challenges

In their previous quarterly results, Coinbase anticipated Q3 subscription and services revenue to be between $530 million and $600 million. The company faces modest challenges, such as a 3% drop in Ethereum prices, a September rate cut, increased USDC-related expenses, and a previous one-time $8 million blockchain rewards benefit in the prior results.

Expenses and growth plans

Technology and administrative expenses are expected to rise due to uneven stock-based compensation recognition. The group plans to increase headcount cautiously to support product and international expansion. While stock-based compensation is projected to remain steady compared to the first half of the year, it may be higher in Q3 than in Q4.

Sales and marketing

Sales and marketing expenses are also expected to grow, driven by increased digital marketing efforts. The potential to reach the upper revenue range relies on favourable spending opportunities.

How to trade Coinbase

Based on 17 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for Coinbase Global over the last three months, the average price target is $255.23, with a high forecast of $380.00 and a low forecast of $175.00. The average price target represents a 21.12% change from the last price of $210.72.

Client sentiment chart

Source: IG TipRanks

Technical analysis

The share price of Coinbase has broken out of a double bottom reversal pattern ('W' shape below 193.15).

The pattern and breakout suggest a bullish trend reversal from the preceding downtrend. Breakout traders might look to accumulate long positions on a pullback towards the 193.15 support level, targeting a move back towards the high at 223.50.

A break of this level, confirmed with a close above, would suggest 263.50 as a further target from the move. Conversely, a move below 176.25 would suggest the reversal pattern has instead failed.

Coinbase daily chart

Source: IG

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Australia Pty Ltd. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.

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