CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved.

Tesla stock: 7 things investors can expect on Battery Day

Ahead of Tesla’s highly anticipated Battery Day, we highlight some key things that investors can look forward to.

Tesla's highly anticipated Battery Day, which has faced several delays since its reveal a year ago, is finally taking place at 16:30 ET on Monday 21 September 2020.

CEO Elon Musk has promised that the event will be ‘big’, with ‘mind blowing’ battery technology to be unveiled.

Below, we look at what analysts say investors can expect during the inaugural show-and-tell.

Battery Day: What are analysts saying?

Morgan Stanley analysts, who rated the Tesla stock ‘equal weight’ alongside a target price of $272 a share – representing a downside of 38.5% from 18 September 2020’s closing price of $442, said their main expectations include:

1. Capacity

‘We are prepared for Tesla to target Terawatt scale battery capacity plans. Currently, we forecast Tesla to produce 439 GwH of batteries for their in-house production and 3rd party supply (combined) by 2030, accounting for just over a 26% share of the global EV battery market. Will Tesla target 1TwH by 2035?’

2. Higher battery manufacturing/production efficiency

‘With Maxwell, there would be theoretically a 16x production capacity increase by skipping the wet toxic chemicals to create the cathode, which then has to be dried and baked-off and needs a lot of floor space and ovens to meet that process.’

3. A doubling of energy density

‘Battery density using the DBE system shows greater than 300 Wh/kg with a path to over 500 Wh/kg. By comparison, Tesla's most advanced (2170) battery today is around 247 Wh/kg.’

The analysts further noted that this implies a potential 20% expansion of current highest density, adding that this could lead to vehicles with significantly more range – and could potentially push Tesla Model 3 to about 400 miles per charge.

4. Improved battery life

‘Battery life also shows improved durability with almost 2x improvement as Elon Musk recently stated “…the car battery pack is around 3-to-5,000 miles, but the newly designed pack that will go into production for next year is design[ed] explicitly for a million miles of operation with minimum maintenance…’’

5. Goodbye Cobalt?

‘Tesla has been spending a great deal of effort on researching new chemistries themselves to reduce and remove cobalt from the mix.’

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6. Lower batter cell cost

‘The prevailing view is that battery cell cost can decline at a compound rate of 6% to 7% from just over a $100/KwH level today. Could Tesla communicate plans to potentially double this rate of deflation or to target $50/KwH or less by mid or latter this decade?’

7. Tesla could emerge as a full-stack battery competitor

‘Overall, the market appears to be leaning towards Tesla being a faster moving partner with scale that expands the market for all, and investors are likely looking to reengage on existing battery makers post-battery day.’

Tesla is ‘trading at twice of its worth’, says investor

Meanwhile, Ross Gerber, President and CEO of Gerber Kawasaki Wealth and Investment Management, told IG that he is ‘expecting some big breakthroughs’ from the Tesla stock around Battery Day.

The self-proclaimed ‘long-term Tesla investor’ said that while Tesla is a ‘high risk investment’, it is now a ‘highly valued higher risk investment’.

When asked why the stock is so divisive between bulls and bears, Gerber said that’s because ‘Tesla is disrupting the energy and auto industry, and many of the analysts and people on Wall Street have been cosy with energy and autos for their entire careers’.

‘And these are huge trillion dollar industries that are being disrupted and basically destroyed by Tesla. So a lot of what you are seeing is pushback from the forces who don’t want to see Tesla be successful,’ he added.

Nevertheless, Gerber admitted that Tesla is now ‘trading at about twice of what I think it’s worth’.

‘Now, it might be warranted but we're in a bubble and we're at the beginning stages of this bubble. And once they start to pull some of this back, the bubble bursts very quickly. So I caution tech investors when buying high priced technology stocks,’ he said.

How to trade Tesla stock with IG

Are you feeling bullish or bearish on Tesla?

Either way you can buy (long) or sell (short) the asset using derivatives like CFDs offered on IG's industry-leading trading platform in a few easy steps:

  1. Create a live or demo IG Trading Account, or log in to your existing account
  2. Enter <Tesla Motors Inc (All Sessions)> in the search bar and select the instrument
  3. Choose your position size
  4. Click on ‘buy’ or ‘sell’ in the deal ticket
  5. Confirm the trade

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Australia Pty Ltd. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.

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