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Brent crude oil drops by over 5%, gold range trades and copper tries to find support amid recession fears.

Outlook on Brent crude oil, gold and copper amid resurfacing recession fears

Oil image Source: Bloomberg

Brent crude oil drops by over 5% in two days

Oil - Brent Crude oil’s descent accelerated as global recession fears and renewed concerns about the banking sector weighed on risky assets.

Brent crude oil not only slid by over 5% in the past couple of days but also closed its March-to-April price gap while testing its January low at $77.65 despite falling US inventories. According to Tradingeconomics “the latest EIA report showed US crude inventories dropped 5.054 million barrels last week, far exceeding expectations of a 1.486 million barrel decline.”

The December trough at $75.32 represents the next downside target, below which there isn’t much support to speak of ahead of the $70.09 March low.

While the psychological $80 region caps, further downside is expected to be witnessed.

Brent Crude Oil Daily Financial Bet chart Source: ProRealTime
Brent Crude Oil Daily Financial Bet chart Source: ProRealTime

Gold continues to flirt with the psychological $2,000 mark

Spot Gold continues to sideways trade below its one-year $2,048 per troy ounce mid-April high and does so around the psychological $2,000 mark while being stuck in a range between $2,012 and $1,970 since last week, the break out of which is likely to determine the ensuing trend.

A rise and daily chart close above the $2,012 level would engage the 5 April high at $2,032 and probably also the $2,048 peak and above whereas a fall and daily chart close below the $1,970 level should lead to the February high at $1,959 ahead of the $1,950 to $1,935 support zone, the late March and early April lows, being revisited.

Immediate resistance remains to be found between the $2,003 to $2,009 late March and Wednesday’s high.

Spot Gold Daily Financial Bet chart Source: ProRealTime
Spot Gold Daily Financial Bet chart Source: ProRealTime

Copper tries to find support around its March low

The price of Copper has dropped by over 6% on recession fears but is trying to stabilise around its $8,443 per ton low after six consecutive days of losses.

Should it not succeed in doing so, the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at $8,306 may be reached next. Further down sits the January trough at $8,189.

Were a bounce to be seen, the early April low at $8,666 is likely to act as initial resistance.

Copper Daily Financial Bet chart Source: ProRealTime
Copper Daily Financial Bet chart Source: ProRealTime

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Australia Pty Ltd. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.

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