Australia 200 afternoon report
Renewed optimism sends the ASX 200 higher as Wall Street's rally and supportive Federal Reserve messaging help stabilise markets, erasing part of the previous day's losses.
The Australia 200 trades 71 points (0.82%) higher at 8810 as of 2.15pm AEST.
The Australia 200 (ASX 200) has rebounded above 8800 today, recovering half of the ground it lost in yesterday’s session, which wiped approximately $53 billion from the market capitalisation of the local bourse.
The rebound followed a positive session on Wall Street, as soft United States (US) jobs data and dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) commentary eased concerns in bond markets that were threatening to become uncontrollable. Additionally, Alphabet shares surged 9.14%, leading tech stocks higher after a US judge ruled against breaking up its parent company, Google.
Energy stocks came under pressure today as crude oil plunged 2.82% overnight to $63.77. The decline was primarily driven by reports that the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries Plus (OPEC+) is considering a production increase at its upcoming meeting, which surprised traders expecting unchanged production quotas.
With calm returning to the bond markets and yields falling overnight, the ASX 200's gains today have been driven by the interest-rate-sensitive financials and consumer-facing sectors.
The big mining stocks gained as iron ore futures in Asia rose 1.27% to $104.44, supported by China’s anti-involution measures targeting price wars in industries like steel production.
In our ASX 200 report on Tuesday, 2 September, we noted:
'With the relative strength index (RSI) on the weekly chart at its most overbought level since August 2021 and the formation of a loss of momentum type weekly candle last week, we are becoming increasingly cautious about the ASX 200’s upside prospects from here.'
This warning proved timely as the ASX 200 broke through several important support levels yesterday, helping to alleviate the overbought conditions mentioned above.
Looking forward, anticipate the ASX 200’s pullback to extend towards the 8630 - 8600 support band in the coming weeks, which would reflect a neat 5% pullback from the 9054.5 record high. Be aware that if the ASX 200 were to reclaim resistance around 8900 - 8920, it would be an initial indication that the pullback is complete and the uptrend has resumed.
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