Levels to watch: FTSE, DAX and Dow

Indices enjoy a strong start to proceedings, yet with the US and European markets pointing to different outlooks, will we see a divergence or is one side going to lead the other to change direction?

US trader
Source: Bloomberg

FTSE turning from Fibonacci resistance

The FTSE 100 looks to be turning from the key 76.4% resistance level this morning. Clearly we have seen a turn of fortunes, with last week’s rally turning into negativity. However, there is no sign that this is a complete reversal rather than a retracement.

That being said, it makes more sense to be bearish for another move back below 6430 than a break through 6581. Should we see an hourly close above 6431 then this would signify a shift back to the bullish short-term outlook of last week. 

DAX rally unlikely to last

The DAX is also enjoying a strong period following yesterday’s early sell-off. However, crucially there has not been any break to signify that the sell-off is over and as such, another move lower seems likely.

Shorts would be preferred at the 76.4% retracement (9478), but ultimately a bearish view is held unless we see an hourly close back above 9533. The obvious key support level in view is yesterday’s low of 9300.

Dow bucks the trend, with a bullish break

The Dow Jones has led the way higher, with yesterday’s move back through the crucial 17,876 resistance level.

The subsequent consolidation above that level points towards another leg higher, with a move through 17,933 pointing towards a rally into 17,978 and 18,019 resistance. 

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.