How to short oil prices and markets

What does it mean to go short on oil?

Going short on oil means that you believe that the commodity’s price will fall, and you think you could profit from the market going down. This is also called ‘shorting’ or ‘short-selling’.

If you short-sell oil and the market price drops, you’ll make a profit. However, if the market price moves against you – ie goes up – you’ll make a loss.

As a hard commodity, oil is a finite resource, and its price can fluctuate immensely due to a variety of factors – but mainly changes to supply and demand. This volatility makes it extremely popular among short-term traders, presenting an opportunity to get exposure to the market regardless of the price trend.

Note that volatile markets are characterised by fast-paced price changes, which increases the likelihood of major price swings in either direction. That’s why you need to use risk management tools to limit the potential for loss.

With us, you’ll use derivative products such as CFDs to get exposure to oil. You won’t take ownership of a barrel of oil; you’ll take a position on the price movement of the market.

There are two main oil markets you can short when you use our platform:

• Brent Crude oil (called ‘Oil - Brent Crude’ in our platform) is a major oil benchmark used by those trading oil. It’s defined as crude mostly drilled from the North Sea oilfields: Brent, Forties, Oseberg and Ekofisk (collectively known as BFOE)
• WTI oil (called ‘Oil - US Crude’ in our platform) is a blend of several US domestic light sweet crude oils. It’s drilled and processed in the US, and it’s mostly refined in the Midwest and on the Gulf Coast

Learn more about how to trade oil

How does short-selling oil work?

Short-selling oil works by opening a position based on the belief that there’ll be a downturn in the oil market. You’ll use CFDs to open a short position with us. CFDs enable you to sell the market without taking ownership of the underlying assets.

Our award-winning platform¹ enables you to go short using a CFD account in just a click. You’d elect to ‘sell’ the market, making a profit if the price falls, and a loss if it rises.

How to short oil

1. Do your research about the market and your preferred trading style
2. Choose the oil market you want to go short on
3. Open a trading account – you can short-sell with CFDs
4. Select ‘sell’ in the deal ticket and choose your position size
5. Take steps to manage your risk
6. Open and monitor your position

Shorting oil via CFD trading

With CFDs, you’ll sell contracts to exchange the price difference of oil between the opening and closing positions. Your profit or loss will depend on the outcome of your prediction and you can hedge your positons.

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You’ll need to meet the margin requirement to open a position. You’ll have to use risk management strategies because your exposure will be calculated based on the full position size, not just the margin amount.

Discover our CFD trading account

Going short with spot oil vs oil futures vs oil options

With our CFD trading account, you can short oil via our cash (undated) market, or via oil futures and options.

Oil spot price

Our undated spot oil markets take the price of the two nearest futures contracts because these tend to be the most liquid contracts. They offer real-time pricing with low spreads – perfect for day traders that want to sell oil immediately.

This is how most of our clients trade on oil. Note that they do have overnight fees, so you might want to consider that before you take a position.

Find out how to trade spot markets

Oil futures

Oil futures have a much larger spread than spot oil and they don’t have any overnight fees – making them better suited to longer-term traders. You’ll enter into a contract to exchange an amount of oil at a set price on a set date.

Learn how to trade futures

Oil options

You can also trade oil options, which work like futures contracts, but there’s no obligation to buy or sell the underlying if you don’t want to. Options give you the right to sell an oil contract at a set price on a set expiry date, but you wouldn’t be obliged to exercise your option.

Read more on trading options

Why would you short oil?

• If there’s short interest in oil, you’d get an opportunity to profit when the market falls
• You could hedge if you have existing positions impacted by oil price movements, eg if you own an oil stock that you think could fall in line with a declining oil price

What moves the price of oil?

The oil price is mainly moved by market forces of demand and supply. The price tends to rise when the demand increases. Additionally, if there are more suppliers of oil in the market than the number of buyers of the commodity, the price of oil will fall.

Other factors that influence the supply and demand of oil include:

• The amount of oil consumption during certain seasons of the year
• Countries that are part of the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) that set the production levels, and the oil reserves that remain will influence the price of oil
• Global exchange rates. As oil is priced in USD, a stronger or weakened dollar will affect the market
• Oil production affected by environmental or political issues
• The number of traders that participate in the financial market as well as the trade volumes

Risks when short-selling oil markets

• Theoretically, losses are unlimited because there’s no cap on how high the price could go. You can attach stops to your position that lock in a maximum amount you’re willing to lose
• You could get caught in a ‘short squeeze’ – if oil prices rise and short-sellers all rush to exit their positions, this drives the price even higher
• When using margin to gain exposure, you face the risk of a margin call being issued if the price rises, which requires you to put up additional funds to balance the account, or close your position

Shorting oil summed up

• Shorting oil refers to making a prediction that the commodity’s price will fall, and you think you could profit from the market going down
• You can short-sell oil, which is a trading strategy that profits from the market price falling
• With us, you’ll use CFDs to short oil via the spot market, futures, or options
• Market forces of demand and supply primarily influence the price of oil
• You must consider the risks of short-selling oil, such as the market moving against you or a potential short squeeze

Footnotes

¹ Best Finance App, Best Multi-Platform Provider and Best Platform for the Active Trader as awarded at the ADVFN International Financial Awards 2024.