The Week Ahead
Week commencing
09 November
Chris Beauchamp's insight
Markets have been through a busy week, with the US mid-terms provoking volatility in both directions for stock markets, and oil prices slumping sharply. Tech fears remain high, and now investors have to wonder how much of the AI infrastructure boom will be rolled back. Once more the prospect of a bigger market correction looms, just as fears of a new US strike on Iran rise.
What to watch this week:
US inflation: a softer reading is expected here, allaying worries about another Fed rate increase. Keep an eye on the US dollar and key pairs such as EUR/USD.
AI company earnings: CoreWeave and Nebius, two big AI names, report earnings this week, after a bruising month that has seen their share prices halve.
UK GDP: third-quarter growth figures from the UK are expected to slow an improvement on Q2 and over Q3 last year, which may boost the pound further.
Economic reports
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Weekly view
1.30am – China inflation (October): prices expected to rise 0.9% YoY and 0.2% MoM, in line with September. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
3am – China trade data (October): exports rose by 36.3% YoY in September. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
1.30pm – US inflation (October): prices expected to rise 0.2% MoM from 0.6%, and 3.7% YoY, in line with last month. Core inflation expected to be 0.2% MoM and 2.5% YoY, from 0.3% and 2.6%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
None
7am – UK GDP (Q3): the economy is expected to grow by 0.4% QoQ and 1.7% YoY, from 0.5% and 1.4% respectively. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 7 November): claims expected to rise to 191K. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm – US existing home sales (October): sales forecast to rise 0.3% from 1.5%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
5pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 6 November): stockpiles fell by 865,000 barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
1.30pm – US producer price inflation (October): after last month’s 1.3% MoM rise, price growth is expected to slow to 0.1% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Monday
1.30am – China inflation (October): prices expected to rise 0.9% YoY and 0.2% MoM, in line with September. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
Tuesday
3am – China trade data (October): exports rose by 36.3% YoY in September. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
1.30pm – US inflation (October): prices expected to rise 0.2% MoM from 0.6%, and 3.7% YoY, in line with last month. Core inflation expected to be 0.2% MoM and 2.5% YoY, from 0.3% and 2.6%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Wednesday
None
Thursday
7am – UK GDP (Q3): the economy is expected to grow by 0.4% QoQ and 1.7% YoY, from 0.5% and 1.4% respectively. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 7 November): claims expected to rise to 191K. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm – US existing home sales (October): sales forecast to rise 0.3% from 1.5%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
5pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 6 November): stockpiles fell by 865,000 barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
Friday
1.30pm – US producer price inflation (October): after last month’s 1.3% MoM rise, price growth is expected to slow to 0.1% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Company announcements
|
Dividends
FTSE ex-dividend dates (12 November):
FTSE 100: Pershing Square, Bunzl, J Sainsbury, Unilever, GSK, Shell, Airtel, BP
FTSE 250: Genus, Softcat, Int’l Public Partnerships, Target Healthcare, Lancashire Holdings
Index adjustments
|
Monday 30 March |
Tuesday 31 March |
Wednesday 1 April |
Thursday 2 April |
Friday 3 April |
Monday 6 April |
| FTSE 100 | 0.71 | |||||
| Australia 200 | 0.2 | 0.4 | ||||
| Wall Street | 8.4 | 9.2 | ||||
| US 500 | 0.60 | 0.28 | 0.48 | 0.50 | 0.06 | |
| Nasdaq 100 | 0.99 | 1.59 | 2.25 | 0.13 | ||
| Netherlands 25 | ||||||
| US Russell 2000 | 1.07 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.04 | 0.07 | |
| China H-Shares | 2.3 | |||||
| Japan 225 | ||||||
| Hong Kong HS50 | 3.9 | |||||
| South Africa 40 | 201 | |||||
| France 40 | 7.8 | |||||
| Stoxx 600 | 2.6 | 4.9 |
* Please note these can change without notice
1 Dividend adjustments due to be posted on a bank holiday will usually be posted on the previous working day
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