The Week Ahead
Week commencing 14 September
Chris Beauchamp's insight
This week may well set the tone for the rest of the year. The Fed, BoE and Bank of Japan all meet, with two out of the three expected to raise rates. Depending on the communications around these meetings, markets may be looking at more hikes before year end. Also key this week will be UK inflation and employment data, while a limited week for corporate news nonetheless sees retail giant Next report first-half figures.
Economic reports
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Weekly view
1.30pm – Canada inflation (August): prices expected to rise 3% YoY. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
3am – China industrial production & retail sales (August): production forecast to be up 5% and sales up 1% YoY. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
7am – UK unemployment data: July unemployment rate expected to hold at 4.9%, average earnings expected to rise 4%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
10am – German ZEW index (September): expected to fall to 21 from 34.2. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
1.30pm – US Empire State mfg index (September): index expected to drop to 14. Markets to watch: USD crosses
7am – UK inflation (August): prices forecast to rise 3.1% YoY from 2.9%, and 0.5% from 0.3% MoM. Core inflation expected to be 2.6% YoY, in line with last month. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm – US retail sales (August): sales forecast to rise 0.3% MoM. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 11 September): stockpiles fell by 390,000 barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
7pm – Fed rate decision: a 25bps rise is becoming more likely from the world’s most powerful central bank, which would see rates rise to 4%. Commentary at the meeting around the potential for more hikes is likely to drive market volatility. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses, gold
12pm – Bank of England rate decision: while no rate increase is expected, an increase in committee members arguing for a rate hike could drive upside in the pound. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm - US initial jobless claims (w/e 12 September). Claims expected to rise to 208K from 206K. Markets to watch: USD crosses
12.30am – Japan inflation (August): prices expected to rise 2.1% YoY. Markets to watch: JPY crosses
4am – Bank of Japan rate decision: rates expected to rise 25ps to 1.25%. Markets to watch: JPY crosses
7am – UK retail sales (August): sales expected to rise 0.7% from -0.5%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
Monday
1.30pm – Canada inflation (August): prices expected to rise 3% YoY. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
Tuesday
3am – China industrial production & retail sales (August): production forecast to be up 5% and sales up 1% YoY. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
7am – UK unemployment data: July unemployment rate expected to hold at 4.9%, average earnings expected to rise 4%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
10am – German ZEW index (September): expected to fall to 21 from 34.2. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
1.30pm – US Empire State mfg index (September): index expected to drop to 14. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Wednesday
7am – UK inflation (August): prices forecast to rise 3.1% YoY from 2.9%, and 0.5% from 0.3% MoM. Core inflation expected to be 2.6% YoY, in line with last month. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm – US retail sales (August): sales forecast to rise 0.3% MoM. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 11 September): stockpiles fell by 390,000 barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
7pm – Fed rate decision: a 25bps rise is becoming more likely from the world’s most powerful central bank, which would see rates rise to 4%. Commentary at the meeting around the potential for more hikes is likely to drive market volatility. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses, gold
Thursday
12pm – Bank of England rate decision: while no rate increase is expected, an increase in committee members arguing for a rate hike could drive upside in the pound. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm - US initial jobless claims (w/e 12 September). Claims expected to rise to 208K from 206K. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Friday
12.30am – Japan inflation (August): prices expected to rise 2.1% YoY. Markets to watch: JPY crosses
4am – Bank of Japan rate decision: rates expected to rise 25ps to 1.25%. Markets to watch: JPY crosses
7am – UK retail sales (August): sales expected to rise 0.7% from -0.5%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
Company announcements
Dividends
FTSE ex-dividend dates (17th September):
FTSE 100: None
FTSE 250: Foresight, Bridgepoint, Unite, Rank, Costain, PPHE Hotels Goodwin, Energean
Index adjustments
|
Monday 30 March |
Tuesday 31 March |
Wednesday 1 April |
Thursday 2 April |
Friday 3 April |
Monday 6 April |
| FTSE 100 | 0.71 | |||||
| Australia 200 | 0.2 | 0.4 | ||||
| Wall Street | 8.4 | 9.2 | ||||
| US 500 | 0.60 | 0.28 | 0.48 | 0.50 | 0.06 | |
| Nasdaq 100 | 0.99 | 1.59 | 2.25 | 0.13 | ||
| Netherlands 25 | ||||||
| US Russell 2000 | 1.07 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.04 | 0.07 | |
| China H-Shares | 2.3 | |||||
| Japan 225 | ||||||
| Hong Kong HS50 | 3.9 | |||||
| South Africa 40 | 201 | |||||
| France 40 | 7.8 | |||||
| Stoxx 600 | 2.6 | 4.9 |
* Please note these can change without notice
1 Dividend adjustments due to be posted on a bank holiday will usually be posted on the previous working day
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