The Week Ahead
Week commencing 1 December
Chris Beauchamp insight
US non-farm payrolls (NFPs) should be released this week, but the December data has been moved back to 16 December, which means only the ADP report comes out as usual on Wednesday. Also on the list this week are purchasing managers indices (PMIs) from the US and China, plus a small number of earnings reports in the UK and US.
Economic reports
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Weekly view
1.45am – China RatingDog manufacturing PMI (November): expected to rise to 50.9 from 50.6. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
3pm - US ISM manufacturing PMI (November): forecast to rise to 49.3 from 48.7. Markets to watch: USD crosses
5am – Japan consumer confidence (November): expected to rise to 36.1 from 35.8. Markets to watch: JPY crosses
10am – eurozone inflation (November, flash): prices forecast to have risen 2.1% year-on-year (YoY) and fallen 0.3% MoM (month-on-month), compared to 2.1% and -0.2% respectively in October. Core CPI expected to be 2.3%, down from 2.4% YoY. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
1.45am – China RatingDog services PMI (November): index expected to fall to 51.9 from 52.6. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
1.15pm – US ADP employment report (November): with no NFPs report this week, this is a key event. 15,000 jobs are expected to have been lost, from a 42,000 gain in October. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 28 November): stockpiles rose by 2.8 million barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
9.30am – UK construction PMI (November): index expected to rise to 48 from 44. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 29 November): claims expected to rise to 220K from 216K. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
3pm – Canada Ivey PMI (November): expected to fall to 52.2 from 52.4. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
US NFPs report delayed to 16 December due to previous government shutdown
1.30pm – Canada employment data (November): unemployment rate forecast to rise from 6.9% to 7%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
3pm – US Michigan consumer sentiment (December, preliminary), personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index (September): consumer sentiment forecast to rise to 53 from 51. Core PCE prices forecast to rise 0.2%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Monday
1.45am – China RatingDog manufacturing PMI (November): expected to rise to 50.9 from 50.6. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
3pm - US ISM manufacturing PMI (November): forecast to rise to 49.3 from 48.7. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Tuesday
5am – Japan consumer confidence (November): expected to rise to 36.1 from 35.8. Markets to watch: JPY crosses
10am – eurozone inflation (November, flash): prices forecast to have risen 2.1% YoY and fallen 0.3% MoM, compared to 2.1% and -0.2% respectively in October. Core CPI expected to be 2.3%, down from 2.4% YoY. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
Wednesday
1.45am – China RatingDog services PMI (November): index expected to fall to 51.9 from 52.6. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
1.15pm – US ADP employment report (November): with no non-farm payrolls report this week, this is a key event. 15,000 jobs are expected to have been lost, from a 42,000 gain in October. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 28 November): stockpiles rose by 2.8 million barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
Thursday
9.30am – UK construction PMI (November): index expected to rise to 48 from 44. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 29 November): claims expected to rise to 220K from 216K. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
3pm – Canada Ivey PMI (November): expected to fall to 52.2 from 52.4. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
Friday
US NFPs report delayed to 16 December due to previous government shutdown
1.30pm – Canada employment data (November): unemployment rate forecast to rise from 6.9% to 7%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
3pm – US Michigan consumer sentiment (December, preliminary), PCE price index (September): consumer sentiment forecast to rise to 53 from 51. Core PCE prices forecast to rise 0.2%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Company announcements
Monday |
Tuesday |
Wednesday |
Thursday |
Friday |
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Full-year earnings |
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| Half/ Quarterly earnings |
SSP, |
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| Trading update |
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Dividends
FTSE ex-dividend dates (4th December):
FTSE 100: Next, SSE, ICG, Babcock
FTSE 250: Bellway, Ninety-One, Foresight Environmental, British Land, Caledonia Investments, Telecom Plus, Energean, Pets at Home
Index adjustments
|
Monday 1 December |
Tuesday 2 December |
Wednesday 3 December |
Thursday 4 December |
Friday 5 December |
Monday 8 December |
| FTSE 100 | 1.83 | |||||
| Australia 200 | 0.1 | 0.1 | ||||
| Wall Street | 24.6 | 14.2 | 13.6 | |||
| US 500 | 0.20 | 0.23 | 0.47 | 1.04 | 0.59 | 0.06 |
| Nasdaq 100 | 1.51 | 1.40 | 2.99 | 1.92 | 0.18 | |
| Netherlands 25 | ||||||
| US Russell 2000 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 0.22 | 0.33 | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| China H-Shares | 7.1 | 18.3 | 11.6 | 3.2 | ||
| Japan 225 | ||||||
| Hong Kong HS50 | 20.6 | 34.7 | 22.1 | |||
| South Africa 40 | 57.6 | |||||
| France 40 | 8.8 | |||||
| Stoxx 600 | 1.9 |
* Please note these can change without notice
1 Dividend adjustments due to be posted on a bank holiday will usually be posted on the previous working day
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