The Week Ahead
Week commencing 20 April
Chris Beauchamp's insight
This week is full of both economic and corporate news, keeping investors on their toes. UK data including inflation and unemployment will be key for UK investors, while flash PMIs for April will show how the war in the Middle East continues to affect the global economy. US earnings season is in full flow, including Tesla, Boeing and IBM, while in the UK Sainsbury’s and Reckitt Benckiser are among those reporting.
Economic reports
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Weekly view
1.30pm - Canada inflation (March): prices expected to rise 2.5% YoY and 1% MoM, up from 1.8% and 0.5% respectively. Core CPI to rise to 2.4% from 2.3%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
7am – UK employment data (February): unemployment rate expected to rise to 5.3% from 5.2%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
10am – German ZEW index (April): economic sentiment index forecast to fall to -10 from -5. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
1.30pm – US retail sales (March): forecast to rise 0.45 MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm – US pending home sales (March): expected to rise 0.7% YoY. Markets to watch: USD crosses
7am – UK inflation (March): prices forecast to have risen 3.4% YoY from 3%, and 0.8% MoM from 0.4%. Core CPI to be 2.8%, down from 3.2%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
3pm – eurozone consumer confidence (April, flash): forecast to fall to -17.9 from -16.3. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 17 April): stockpiles fell by 913,000 barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
1.30am – Japan PMI (April, flash): manufacturing activity to contract to 50.1 from 51.6. Markets to watch: JPY crosses
8.30am – Germany PMI (April, flash): manufacturing index to rise to 52.5 from 52.2. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
9.30am – UK PMI (April, flash): manufacturing activity to hold steady at 51, and services to rise to 51.4 from 50.5. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 18 April), Chicago Fed national activity index (March): claims expected to be 218K, Chicago index forecast to rise to 0.2 from -0.1. Markets to watch: USD crosses
2.45pm – US PMI (April, flash): manufacturing activity forecast to fall to 52 from 52.3, and services activity to fall to 49.6 from 49.8. Markets to watch: USD crosses
12.30am – Japan inflation (March): prices expected to have risen to 1.5% from 1.3% YoY, and core inflation to rise to 2% from 1.6%. Markets to watch: JPY crosses
7am – UK retail sales (March): sales expected to have risen 0.2% MoM, from -0.4%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
9am – German IFO index (April): business climate index to fall to 85.4 from 86.4. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
Monday
1.30pm - Canada inflation (March): prices expected to rise 2.5% YoY and 1% MoM, up from 1.8% and 0.5% respectively. Core CPI to rise to 2.4% from 2.3%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
Tuesday
7am – UK employment data (February): unemployment rate expected to rise to 5.3% from 5.2%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
10am – German ZEW index (April): economic sentiment index forecast to fall to -10 from -5. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
1.30pm – US retail sales (March): forecast to rise 0.45 MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm – US pending home sales (March): expected to rise 0.7% YoY. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Wednesday
7am – UK inflation (March): prices forecast to have risen 3.4% YoY from 3%, and 0.8% MoM from 0.4%. Core CPI to be 2.8%, down from 3.2%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
3pm – eurozone consumer confidence (April, flash): forecast to fall to -17.9 from -16.3. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 17 April): stockpiles fell by 913,000 barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
Thursday
1.30am – Japan PMI (April, flash): manufacturing activity to contract to 50.1 from 51.6. Markets to watch: JPY crosses
8.30am – Germany PMI (April, flash): manufacturing index to rise to 52.5 from 52.2. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
9.30am – UK PMI (April, flash): manufacturing activity to hold steady at 51, and services to rise to 51.4 from 50.5. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 18 April), Chicago Fed national activity index (March): claims expected to be 218K, Chicago index forecast to rise to 0.2 from -0.1. Markets to watch: USD crosses
2.45pm – US PMI (April, flash): manufacturing activity forecast to fall to 52 from 52.3, and services activity to fall to 49.6 from 49.8. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Friday
12.30am – Japan inflation (March): prices expected to have risen to 1.5% from 1.3% YoY, and core inflation to rise to 2% from 1.6%. Markets to watch: JPY crosses
7am – UK retail sales (March): sales expected to have risen 0.2% MoM, from -0.4%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
9am – German IFO index (April): business climate index to fall to 85.4 from 86.4. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
Company announcements
Dividends
FTSE ex-dividend dates (20th April):
FTSE 100: BAE Systems, Hiscox, Rolls-Royce Holdings, Rightmove, Fresnillo, Spirax, Legal & General
FTSE 250: Shaftesbury, Derwent London, PPHE Hotels, Drax, Grafton, Rotork, Bridgepoint, Harworth, Wickes, Int’l Public Partnerships
Index adjustments
|
Monday 30 March |
Tuesday 31 March |
Wednesday 1 April |
Thursday 2 April |
Friday 3 April |
Monday 6 April |
| FTSE 100 | 0.71 | |||||
| Australia 200 | 0.2 | 0.4 | ||||
| Wall Street | 8.4 | 9.2 | ||||
| US 500 | 0.60 | 0.28 | 0.48 | 0.50 | 0.06 | |
| Nasdaq 100 | 0.99 | 1.59 | 2.25 | 0.13 | ||
| Netherlands 25 | ||||||
| US Russell 2000 | 1.07 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.04 | 0.07 | |
| China H-Shares | 2.3 | |||||
| Japan 225 | ||||||
| Hong Kong HS50 | 3.9 | |||||
| South Africa 40 | 201 | |||||
| France 40 | 7.8 | |||||
| Stoxx 600 | 2.6 | 4.9 |
* Please note these can change without notice
1 Dividend adjustments due to be posted on a bank holiday will usually be posted on the previous working day
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