The Week Ahead
Week commencing 03 August
Chris Beauchamp's insight
US payrolls are the big event of the week, while other key data include US and Chinese PMIs. After the mania of the previous week’s earnings things are a little quieter, but Palantir, AMD, Disney and McDonald’s all report in the US, while in the UK drinks giant Diageo’s much-awaited annual results and strategy review are released, along with HSBC and AstraZeneca.
Economic reports
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Weekly view
2.45am – China RatingDog manufacturing PMI (July): index expected to fall to 51.5 from 51.7. Markets to watch: China indices, CNH crosses
3pm – US ISM manufacturing PMI (July): expected to fall to 53 from 53.3. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm – US JOLTS job openings (June): 7.3 million openings expected, down from 7.6 million in May. Markets to watch: USD crosses
2.45am – China RatingDog services PMI (July): index expected to fall to 53.7 from 54.1. Markets to watch: China indices, CNH crosses
1.15pm – US ADP employment report (July): forecast to fall to 90,000 from 98,000 in May. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
3pm – US ISM services PMI (July): index expected to rise to 55 from 54. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 31 July): stockpiles fell by 7.2 million barrels in the previous week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
9.30am – UK construction PMI (July): activity forecast to increase slightly, and the index is expected to rise to 38.6 from 38.4. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 1 August): claims expected to rise to 199K from 197K. Markets to watch: USD crosses
4am – China trade data (July). Markets to watch: CNH crosses
1.30pm – US non-farm payrolls (July): payrolls forecast to rise by 79,000 from 57,000 in June, while the unemployment rate holds at 4.2%. Average hourly earnings expected to rise 0.3% MoM and 3.5% YoY, in line with last month. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
1.30pm – Canada employment report (July): unemployment rate expected to hold at 6.5%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
3pm – Canada Ivey PMI (July): forecast to fall to 55 from 56.2. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
Monday
2.45am – China RatingDog manufacturing PMI (July): index expected to fall to 51.5 from 51.7. Markets to watch: China indices, CNH crosses
3pm – US ISM manufacturing PMI (July): expected to fall to 53 from 53.3. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Tuesday
3pm – US JOLTS job openings (June): 7.3 million openings expected, down from 7.6 million in May. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Wednesday
2.45am – China RatingDog services PMI (July): index expected to fall to 53.7 from 54.1. Markets to watch: China indices, CNH crosses
1.15pm – US ADP employment report (July): forecast to fall to 90,000 from 98,000 in May. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
3pm – US ISM services PMI (July): index expected to rise to 55 from 54. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 31 July): stockpiles fell by 7.2 million barrels in the previous week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
Thursday
9.30am – UK construction PMI (July): activity forecast to increase slightly, and the index is expected to rise to 38.6 from 38.4. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 1 August): claims expected to rise to 199K from 197K. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Friday
4am – China trade data (July). Markets to watch: CNH crosses
1.30pm – US non-farm payrolls (July): payrolls forecast to rise by 79,000 from 57,000 in June, while the unemployment rate holds at 4.2%. Average hourly earnings expected to rise 0.3% MoM and 3.5% YoY, in line with last month. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
1.30pm – Canada employment report (July): unemployment rate expected to hold at 6.5%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
3pm – Canada Ivey PMI (July): forecast to fall to 55 from 56.2. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
Company announcements
|
Dividends
FTSE ex-dividend dates (6 August):
FTSE 100: BT, RELX, AstraZeneca, Unilever, Barclays, Standard Chartered, Reckitt Benckiser, St James’s Place, Rolls-Royce, Informa, Lloyds, SEGRO, Schroders
FTSE 250: Int’l Personal Finance (4 Aug), Avon Technologies, Telecom Plus, Jupiter, GCP Infrastructure, Man, Inchcape, Lancashire Holdings, Helios Towers
Index adjustments
|
Monday 30 March |
Tuesday 31 March |
Wednesday 1 April |
Thursday 2 April |
Friday 3 April |
Monday 6 April |
| FTSE 100 | 0.71 | |||||
| Australia 200 | 0.2 | 0.4 | ||||
| Wall Street | 8.4 | 9.2 | ||||
| US 500 | 0.60 | 0.28 | 0.48 | 0.50 | 0.06 | |
| Nasdaq 100 | 0.99 | 1.59 | 2.25 | 0.13 | ||
| Netherlands 25 | ||||||
| US Russell 2000 | 1.07 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.04 | 0.07 | |
| China H-Shares | 2.3 | |||||
| Japan 225 | ||||||
| Hong Kong HS50 | 3.9 | |||||
| South Africa 40 | 201 | |||||
| France 40 | 7.8 | |||||
| Stoxx 600 | 2.6 | 4.9 |
* Please note these can change without notice
1 Dividend adjustments due to be posted on a bank holiday will usually be posted on the previous working day
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