The Week Ahead
Week commencing 13 July
Chris Beauchamp's insight
Earnings season really gets underway in the US this week, as the big banks and Netflix release their latest reports. This will set the tone for the next six weeks across equity markets. Kevin Warsh’s appearance in front of lawmakers and US inflation data are the other two big events to watch, though China’s GDP growth is also of note. There are plenty of UK companies reporting too, including Frasers, Burberry, Ocado and housebuilders.
Economic reports
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Weekly view
None
1.30am – Australia Westpac consumer confidence (July): index expected to rise to 82.6 from 80.6. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
4am – China trade balance (June): exports climbed 19.4% in May. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
1.30pm – US inflation (June): prices are expected to be flat MoM and rise 3.95 YoY, down from 4.2% in May. Core inflation forecast to be 0.2% MoM and 2.9% YoY, in line with May. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm – Fed chairman Kevin Warsh testifies: the Fed chairman appears before lawmakers on Capitol Hill, providing further clues as to the outlook for monetary policy. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3am – China GDP (Q2): expected to be 4.7% YoY from 5% in Q1. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
1.30pm – US producer price inflation (June): prices expected to rise 0.5% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses
2.45pm – Bank of Canada rate decision: rates expected to be held at 2.25%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 10 July): stockpiles rose by 3 million barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
7am – UK GDP (May): growth expected to be 0.1% in May, and rolling three month average forecast to fall to 0.5% from 0.7%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm – US retail sales (June), initial jobless claims (w/e 11 July): sales forecast to rise 0.5% MoM, from 0.9% in May, and claims to rise to 216K from 215K. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm – US Michigan consumer sentiment (July, preliminary): expected to rise to 50.4 from 49.5. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Monday
None
Tuesday
1.30am – Australia Westpac consumer confidence (July): index expected to rise to 82.6 from 80.6. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
4am – China trade balance (June): exports climbed 19.4% in May. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
1.30pm – US inflation (June): prices are expected to be flat MoM and rise 3.95 YoY, down from 4.2% in May. Core inflation forecast to be 0.2% MoM and 2.9% YoY, in line with May. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm – Fed chairman Kevin Warsh testifies: the Fed chairman appears before lawmakers on Capitol Hill, providing further clues as to the outlook for monetary policy. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Wednesday
3am – China GDP (Q2): expected to be 4.7% YoY from 5% in Q1. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
1.30pm – US producer price inflation (June): prices expected to rise 0.5% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses
2.45pm – Bank of Canada rate decision: rates expected to be held at 2.25%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 10 July): stockpiles rose by 3 million barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
Thursday
7am – UK GDP (May): growth expected to be 0.1% in May, and rolling three month average forecast to fall to 0.5% from 0.7%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm – US retail sales (June), initial jobless claims (w/e 11 July): sales forecast to rise 0.5% MoM, from 0.9% in May, and claims to rise to 216K from 215K. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Friday
3pm – US Michigan consumer sentiment (July, preliminary): expected to rise to 50.4 from 49.5. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Company announcements
Dividends
FTSE ex-dividend dates (16th July:
FTSE 100: None
FTSE 250: Bytes Technology, Cranswick, Ninety-One, MITIE
Index adjustments
|
Monday 30 March |
Tuesday 31 March |
Wednesday 1 April |
Thursday 2 April |
Friday 3 April |
Monday 6 April |
| FTSE 100 | 0.71 | |||||
| Australia 200 | 0.2 | 0.4 | ||||
| Wall Street | 8.4 | 9.2 | ||||
| US 500 | 0.60 | 0.28 | 0.48 | 0.50 | 0.06 | |
| Nasdaq 100 | 0.99 | 1.59 | 2.25 | 0.13 | ||
| Netherlands 25 | ||||||
| US Russell 2000 | 1.07 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.04 | 0.07 | |
| China H-Shares | 2.3 | |||||
| Japan 225 | ||||||
| Hong Kong HS50 | 3.9 | |||||
| South Africa 40 | 201 | |||||
| France 40 | 7.8 | |||||
| Stoxx 600 | 2.6 | 4.9 |
* Please note these can change without notice
1 Dividend adjustments due to be posted on a bank holiday will usually be posted on the previous working day
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