The Week Ahead
Week commencing
5 October
Axel Rudolph's insight
US services PMI kicks off the week, with markets focused on whether the US economy is losing momentum, while the FOMC minutes on Wednesday provide further clues on the Fed’s rate path. UK construction PMI and euro area retail sales are also in focus, followed by US jobless and US consumer sentiment. Oil markets get the latest EIA inventory data midweek, while Australia and Canada provide key consumer and labour-market updates. On the sparse corporate front, Tesco is to report half-year earnings in the UK and Delta Airlines Q3 results in the US.
Economic reports
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Weekly view
3pm – US ISM services PMI (September): expected to fall to 54 from 55.4. Markets to watch: USD crosses
12.30am – Australia Westpac consumer confidence index (October): index expected to fall to 83.4 from 84.4. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
9.30am – UK construction PMI (September): forecast to rise to 45.5 from 44.3. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
10am – Euro area retail sales (August): expected to rise to -0.4% from -0.6%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
3pm – Canada Ivey PMI (September): expected to fall to 53 from 64.3. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 2 October): stockpiles rose by 922,000 barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
7pm – FOMC minutes Markets to watch: USD crosses
1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 3 October): expected at 200,000. Markets to watch: USD crosses
1.30pm – Canada unemployment rate (September): expected to rise to 6.5% from 6.4%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
3pm – US Michigan consumer sentiment (October, preliminary): expected to rise to 48.6 from 48.1. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Monday
3pm – US ISM services PMI (September): expected to fall to 54 from 55.4. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Tuesday
12.30am – Australia Westpac consumer confidence index (October): index expected to fall to 83.4 from 84.4. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
9.30am – UK construction PMI (September): forecast to rise to 45.5 from 44.3. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
10am – Euro area retail sales (August): expected to rise to -0.4% from -0.6%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
3pm – Canada Ivey PMI (September): expected to fall to 53 from 64.3. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
Wednesday
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 2 October): stockpiles rose by 922,000 barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
7pm – FOMC minutes Markets to watch: USD crosses
Thursday
1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 3 October): expected at 200,000. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Friday
1.30pm – Canada unemployment rate (September): expected to rise to 6.5% from 6.4%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
3pm – US Michigan consumer sentiment (October, preliminary): expected to rise to 48.6 from 48.1. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Company announcements
Dividends
FTSE ex-dividend dates (8 October):
FTSE 100: Barratt Redrow, Kingfisher
FTSE 250: Taylor Wimpey, WPP, Johnson Service, AG Barr, Law Debenture Corp
Index adjustments
|
Monday 30 March |
Tuesday 31 March |
Wednesday 1 April |
Thursday 2 April |
Friday 3 April |
Monday 6 April |
| FTSE 100 | 0.71 | |||||
| Australia 200 | 0.2 | 0.4 | ||||
| Wall Street | 8.4 | 9.2 | ||||
| US 500 | 0.60 | 0.28 | 0.48 | 0.50 | 0.06 | |
| Nasdaq 100 | 0.99 | 1.59 | 2.25 | 0.13 | ||
| Netherlands 25 | ||||||
| US Russell 2000 | 1.07 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.04 | 0.07 | |
| China H-Shares | 2.3 | |||||
| Japan 225 | ||||||
| Hong Kong HS50 | 3.9 | |||||
| South Africa 40 | 201 | |||||
| France 40 | 7.8 | |||||
| Stoxx 600 | 2.6 | 4.9 |
* Please note these can change without notice
1 Dividend adjustments due to be posted on a bank holiday will usually be posted on the previous working day
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