The Week Ahead
Week commencing
12 October
Chris Beauchamp's insight
We are now firmly into earnings season for US stocks. The big banks are the main movers this week, providing vital clues on the health of the US economy. There is plenty of UK company news too however, from across a range of sectors. Investors also have to contend with the latest US inflation report – while headline prices are expected to be hotter than last month, once energy and food costs are stripped out price growth is expected to slow.
Economic reports
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Weekly view
None
3pm – US existing home sales (September): forecast to fall 0.3% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses
2.30am – China inflation (September): prices expected to rise 0.9% YoY and 0.2% MoM. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
4am – China trade data (September). Markets to watch: CNH crosses
1.30pm – US inflation (September): prices expected to rise 0.5% MoM and 3.6% YoY, from 0.4% and 3.4% in August. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, is expected to be 0.2% MoM and 2.4%, compared to 0.3% and 2.4% in August. Markets to watch: USD crosses
1.30am – Australia employment data (September): unemployment rate expected to hold at 4.6%. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
7am – UK GDP (August): forecast to be 0.1% MoM. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm – US producer price inflation (September), initial jobless claims (w/e 10 October), NY Empire State index (October): prices expected to rise 0.5% from 0.4% MoM and core prices to rise 0.3% from 0.2% MoM. Claims expected to rise to 201K from 197K. Markets to watch: USD crosses
2.30pm – US retail sales (September): sales expected to rise 0.1% from 1.2%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 9 October): stockpiles fell by 3.2 million barrels. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
None
Monday
None
Tuesday
3pm – US existing home sales (September): forecast to fall 0.3% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Wednesday
2.30am – China inflation (September): prices expected to rise 0.9% YoY and 0.2% MoM. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
4am – China trade data (September). Markets to watch: CNH crosses
1.30pm – US inflation (September): prices expected to rise 0.5% MoM and 3.6% YoY, from 0.4% and 3.4% in August. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, is expected to be 0.2% MoM and 2.4%, compared to 0.3% and 2.4% in August. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Thursday
1.30am – Australia employment data (September): unemployment rate expected to hold at 4.6%. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
7am – UK GDP (August): forecast to be 0.1% MoM. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm – US producer price inflation (September), initial jobless claims (w/e 10 October), NY Empire State index (October): prices expected to rise 0.5% from 0.4% MoM and core prices to rise 0.3% from 0.2% MoM. Claims expected to rise to 201K from 197K. Markets to watch: USD crosses
2.30pm – US retail sales (September): sales expected to rise 0.1% from 1.2%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 9 October): stockpiles fell by 3.2 million barrels. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
Friday
None
Company announcements
Dividends
FTSE ex-dividend dates (15 October):
FTSE 100: Howden Joinery, Diageo, Spirax, Smiths Group, Tesco
FTSE 250: Coats, ITV, Persimmon, Hays, Primary Health Properties
Index adjustments
|
Monday 30 March |
Tuesday 31 March |
Wednesday 1 April |
Thursday 2 April |
Friday 3 April |
Monday 6 April |
| FTSE 100 | 0.71 | |||||
| Australia 200 | 0.2 | 0.4 | ||||
| Wall Street | 8.4 | 9.2 | ||||
| US 500 | 0.60 | 0.28 | 0.48 | 0.50 | 0.06 | |
| Nasdaq 100 | 0.99 | 1.59 | 2.25 | 0.13 | ||
| Netherlands 25 | ||||||
| US Russell 2000 | 1.07 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.04 | 0.07 | |
| China H-Shares | 2.3 | |||||
| Japan 225 | ||||||
| Hong Kong HS50 | 3.9 | |||||
| South Africa 40 | 201 | |||||
| France 40 | 7.8 | |||||
| Stoxx 600 | 2.6 | 4.9 |
* Please note these can change without notice
1 Dividend adjustments due to be posted on a bank holiday will usually be posted on the previous working day
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