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Week commencing 12 April
Chris Beauchamp’s insight
While we get UK and China GDP this week, along with US retail sales and CPI data, investors will focus mainly on US earnings season, which as usual begins with the major banks releasing earnings for their most recently-completed quarter.
This comes after a dull week for markets, and will provide some much needed distraction from the focus on Fed policy and US infrastructure plans. This week is just the start of course, with big earnings reports dominating the news for several weeks.
Economic reports
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Weekly view
10am – eurozone retail sales (February): expected to rise 1.2% MoM. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
4am – China exports (March): forecast to rise 32% YoY. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
7am – UK GDP (February 3-month average), trade balance (February): trade deficit to increase to £2.2 billion, GDP to fall 2%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
10am – German ZEW index (April): index to rise to 79.1. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
1.30pm – US CPI (March): prices to rise 2.4% YoY and 0.5% MoM, and 1.5% and 0.2% respectively for core CPI. Markets to watch: USD crosses
1.30am – Australia Westpac consumer confidence (April): index to rise to 113. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 9 April): stockpiles fell by 735,000 barrels in the previous week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
2.30am – Australia employment data (March): unemployment rate to fall to 5.7%. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
1.30pm – US retail sales (March), Empire state mfg index (April), initial jobless claims (w/e 10 April): sales to rise 4.7% MoM, Empire index to fall to 16.3 while claims are expected to fall to 715K. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
3am – China GDP (Q1): growth to rebound to 10.5% YoY but weaken to 2.2% QoQ from 6.5% and 2.6% respectively. Markets to watch: China indices, CNH crosses
1.30pm – US housing starts & building permits (March): permits to fall 0.8% and starts to fall 0.2%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm – US Michigan consumer confidence (April): index to rise to 86. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Monday
10am – eurozone retail sales (February): expected to rise 1.2% MoM. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
Tuesday
4am – China exports (March): forecast to rise 32% YoY. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
7am – UK GDP (February 3-month average), trade balance (February): trade deficit to increase to £2.2 billion, GDP to fall 2%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
10am – German ZEW index (April): index to rise to 79.1. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
1.30pm – US CPI (March): prices to rise 2.4% YoY and 0.5% MoM, and 1.5% and 0.2% respectively for core CPI. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Wednesday
1.30am – Australia Westpac consumer confidence (April): index to rise to 113. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 9 April): stockpiles fell by 735,000 barrels in the previous week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
Thursday
2.30am – Australia employment data (March): unemployment rate to fall to 5.7%. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
1.30pm – US retail sales (March), Empire state mfg index (April), initial jobless claims (w/e 10 April): sales to rise 4.7% MoM, Empire index to fall to 16.3 while claims are expected to fall to 715K. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
Friday
3am – China GDP (Q1): growth to rebound to 10.5% YoY but weaken to 2.2% QoQ from 6.5% and 2.6% respectively. Markets to watch: China indices, CNH crosses
1.30pm – US housing starts & building permits (March): permits to fall 0.8% and starts to fall 0.2%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm – US Michigan consumer confidence (April): index to rise to 86. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Company announcements
| Monday 12 April |
Tuesday 13 April |
Wednesday 14 April |
Thursday 15 April |
Friday 16 April |
|
| Full-year earnings | JD Sports Fashion, French Connection |
Tesco | Naked Wines | ||
| Half/Quarterly earnings | Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, JPMorgan Chase |
Bank of America, Citigroup, Delta, Pepsico, Alcoa |
Morgan Stanley, BNY Mellon |
||
| Trading update | Just Eat Takeaway.com, Electrocomponents |
FirstGroup | Big Yellow, easyJet, Hays, Deliveroo, Travis Perkins |
Man Group, Foxtons |
Dividends
FTSE 100: Barratt Developments, Lloyds, St James's Place, Standard Life Aberdeen, Legal & General
FTSE 250: Jupiter, Vesuvius, Ibstock, Unite, OSB Group
Dividends are applied after the close of the previous day’s session for each market. So, for example, the FTSE 100 goes ex-dividend on a Thursday, but the adjustment is applied at the close of the previous day e.g. Wednesday. The table below shows the days in which the adjustment is applied, not the ex-dividend days.
Index adjustments
| Monday 12 April |
Tuesday 13 April |
Wednesday 14 April |
Thursday 15 April |
Friday 16 April |
Monday 19 April |
|
| FTSE 100 |
|
5.94 | ||||
| Australia 200 | 0.3 | |||||
| Wall Street | 7.1 | |||||
| US 500 | 0.50 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.14 | ||
| Nasdaq | 0.39 | |||||
| Netherlands 25 | 0.67 | |||||
| EU Stocks 50 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 3.1 | |||
| China H-Shares | ||||||
| Singapore Blue Chip | ||||||
| Hong Kong HS50 | ||||||
| South Africa 40 | 55.7 | |||||
| Italy 40 | 79.0 | |||||
| Japan 225 |
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