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Week commencing 12 April

Chris Beauchamp’s insight

While we get UK and China GDP this week, along with US retail sales and CPI data, investors will focus mainly on US earnings season, which as usual begins with the major banks releasing earnings for their most recently-completed quarter.

This comes after a dull week for markets, and will provide some much needed distraction from the focus on Fed policy and US infrastructure plans. This week is just the start of course, with big earnings reports dominating the news for several weeks.

Economic reports

  • Monday
  • Tuesday
  • Wednesday
  • Thursday
  • Friday
  • Weekly view

10am – eurozone retail sales (February): expected to rise 1.2% MoM. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

4am – China exports (March): forecast to rise 32% YoY. Markets to watch: CNH crosses

7am – UK GDP (February 3-month average), trade balance (February): trade deficit to increase to £2.2 billion, GDP to fall 2%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

10am – German ZEW index (April): index to rise to 79.1. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US CPI (March): prices to rise 2.4% YoY and 0.5% MoM, and 1.5% and 0.2% respectively for core CPI. Markets to watch: USD crosses

1.30am – Australia Westpac consumer confidence (April): index to rise to 113. Markets to watch: AUD crosses

3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 9 April): stockpiles fell by 735,000 barrels in the previous week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI

2.30am – Australia employment data (March): unemployment rate to fall to 5.7%. Markets to watch: AUD crosses

1.30pm – US retail sales (March), Empire state mfg index (April), initial jobless claims (w/e 10 April): sales to rise 4.7% MoM, Empire index to fall to 16.3 while claims are expected to fall to 715K. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

3am – China GDP (Q1): growth to rebound to 10.5% YoY but weaken to 2.2% QoQ from 6.5% and 2.6% respectively. Markets to watch: China indices, CNH crosses

1.30pm – US housing starts & building permits (March): permits to fall 0.8% and starts to fall 0.2%. Markets to watch: USD crosses

3pm – US Michigan consumer confidence (April): index to rise to 86. Markets to watch: USD crosses

Monday

10am – eurozone retail sales (February): expected to rise 1.2% MoM. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

Tuesday

4am – China exports (March): forecast to rise 32% YoY. Markets to watch: CNH crosses

7am – UK GDP (February 3-month average), trade balance (February): trade deficit to increase to £2.2 billion, GDP to fall 2%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

10am – German ZEW index (April): index to rise to 79.1. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US CPI (March): prices to rise 2.4% YoY and 0.5% MoM, and 1.5% and 0.2% respectively for core CPI. Markets to watch: USD crosses

Wednesday

1.30am – Australia Westpac consumer confidence (April): index to rise to 113. Markets to watch: AUD crosses

3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 9 April): stockpiles fell by 735,000 barrels in the previous week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI

Thursday

2.30am – Australia employment data (March): unemployment rate to fall to 5.7%. Markets to watch: AUD crosses

1.30pm – US retail sales (March), Empire state mfg index (April), initial jobless claims (w/e 10 April): sales to rise 4.7% MoM, Empire index to fall to 16.3 while claims are expected to fall to 715K. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

Friday

3am – China GDP (Q1): growth to rebound to 10.5% YoY but weaken to 2.2% QoQ from 6.5% and 2.6% respectively. Markets to watch: China indices, CNH crosses

1.30pm – US housing starts & building permits (March): permits to fall 0.8% and starts to fall 0.2%. Markets to watch: USD crosses

3pm – US Michigan consumer confidence (April): index to rise to 86. Markets to watch: USD crosses

Company announcements

Monday
12 April
Tuesday
13 April
Wednesday
14 April
Thursday
15 April
Friday
16 April
Full-year earnings JD Sports Fashion,
French Connection
Tesco Naked Wines
Half/Quarterly earnings Goldman Sachs,
Wells Fargo,
JPMorgan Chase
Bank of America,
Citigroup,
Delta,
Pepsico,
Alcoa
Morgan Stanley,
BNY Mellon
Trading update Just Eat Takeaway.com,
Electrocomponents
FirstGroup Big Yellow,
easyJet,
Hays,
Deliveroo,
Travis Perkins
Man Group,
Foxtons

Dividends

FTSE 100: Barratt Developments, Lloyds, St James's Place, Standard Life Aberdeen, Legal & General

FTSE 250: Jupiter, Vesuvius, Ibstock, Unite, OSB Group

Dividends are applied after the close of the previous day’s session for each market. So, for example, the FTSE 100 goes ex-dividend on a Thursday, but the adjustment is applied at the close of the previous day e.g. Wednesday. The table below shows the days in which the adjustment is applied, not the ex-dividend days.

Index adjustments

Monday
12 April
Tuesday
13 April
Wednesday
14 April
Thursday
15 April
Friday
16 April
Monday
19 April
FTSE 100

5.94
Australia 200 0.3
Wall Street 7.1
US 500 0.50 0.09 0.09 0.14
Nasdaq 0.39
Netherlands 25 0.67
EU Stocks 50 0.6 1.2 3.1
China H-Shares
Singapore Blue Chip
Hong Kong HS50
South Africa 40 55.7
Italy 40 79.0
Japan 225

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