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The Week Ahead
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Week commencing 2 March
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Chris Beauchamp’s insight
Economic data this week will take a back seat to the coronavirus concerns and any possible government or central bank response. However, some weakness in the China or eurozone data will confirm that the virus is having an impact.
On the corporate front, US earnings season is all but done, but the UK remains busy with full-year earnings coming thick and fast on Tuesday and Thursday, and Ryanair passenger figures for February expected on Monday. This last might have a comment on the virus and how it is affecting business, similar to that released by IAG and easyJet last week.
Economic reports
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Weekly view
1.45am – China Caixin mfg PMI (February): forecast to fall to 45.7 from 51.1. Markets to watch: China indices, CNH crosses
3pm – US ISM mfg PMI (February): forecast to fall to 50.2 from 50.9. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
3.30am – RBA rate decision: no change is expected but the current crisis may shape the discussions. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
9.30am – UK construction PMI (February): forecast to fall to 46.3 from 48.4. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
10am – eurozone unemployment data (January), inflation (February, flash): unemployment rate to remain at 7.4% while inflation rises 1.2%YoY. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
12.30am – Australia GDP (Q4): forecast to rise 0.4% QoQ and 2% YoY. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
1.45am – China Caixin services PMI (February): expected to rise to 52.6 from 51.8. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
1.15pm – US ADP employment report (February): 191K jobs expected to have been created. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm – Bank of Canada rate decision: no change to 1.75% rate expected. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
3pm – US ISM non-manufacturing PMI (February): index to hold at 55.5. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 28 February): stockpiles to fall by 79,000 barrels. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 29 February): claims to rise to 226K from 219K. Markets to watch: USD crosses
1.30pm – US non-farm payrolls (February): 178K job expected to have been created from 225K, while unemployment rate holds at 3.6%. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
1.30pm – Canada employment data (February): 10K jobs to be created while unemployment rate rises to 5.6% from 5.5%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
3pm – Canada Ivey PMI (February): index to fall to 56 from 57.3. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
Monday
1.45am – China Caixin mfg PMI (February): forecast to fall to 45.7 from 51.1. Markets to watch: China indices, CNH crosses
3pm – US ISM mfg PMI (February): forecast to fall to 50.2 from 50.9. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
Tuesday
3.30am – RBA rate decision: no change is expected but the current crisis may shape the discussions. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
9.30am – UK construction PMI (February): forecast to fall to 46.3 from 48.4. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
10am – eurozone unemployment data (January), inflation (February, flash): unemployment rate to remain at 7.4% while inflation rises 1.2%YoY. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
Wednesday
12.30am – Australia GDP (Q4): forecast to rise 0.4% QoQ and 2% YoY. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
1.45am – China Caixin services PMI (February): expected to rise to 52.6 from 51.8. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
1.15pm – US ADP employment report (February): 191K jobs expected to have been created. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm – Bank of Canada rate decision: no change to 1.75% rate expected. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
3pm – US ISM non-manufacturing PMI (February): index to hold at 55.5. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 28 February): stockpiles to fall by 79,000 barrels. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
Thursday
1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 29 February): claims to rise to 226K from 219K. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Friday
1.30pm – US non-farm payrolls (February): 178K job expected to have been created from 225K, while unemployment rate holds at 3.6%. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
1.30pm – Canada employment data (February): 10K jobs to be created while unemployment rate rises to 5.6% from 5.5%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
3pm – Canada Ivey PMI (February): index to fall to 56 from 57.3. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
Company announcements
Monday 2 March |
Tuesday 3 March |
Wenesday 4 March |
Thursday 5 March |
Friday 6 March |
|
| Full-year earnings | Johnson Service Group, Hiscox |
Greggs, Aggreko, John Laing, Direct Line, Intertek, Fresnillo, Travis Perkins |
Polymetal, Legal & General |
Capita, Domino's Pizza, NMC Health, Admiral, Premier Oil, Aviva, Schroders, Page, Synthomer, ITV, Continental, Merck, Henkel |
|
| Half/Quarterly earnings |
|
Ashtead, Target, Hewlett Packard Enterprise |
Abercrombie & Fitch | Costco Wholesale | |
| Trading update | Ryanair |
|
|
|
Dividends
Upcoming
FTSE 100: BHP, Rio Tinto, Persimmon, Evraz, RSA Insurance, Standard Chartered
FTSE 250: Oxford Instruments, SSP, Safestore, McCarthy & Stone, Renishaw, ST Modwen, Redrow, Ashmore, Hays, LXI Reit, Dechra, Pollen Street, Genus, Grafton, Tritax Big Box
Dividends are applied after the close of the previous day’s session for each market. So, for example, the FTSE 100 goes ex-dividend on a Thursday, but the adjustment is applied at the close of the previous day e.g. Wednesday. The table below shows the days in which the adjustment is applied, not the ex-dividend days.
Index adjustments
| Monday 2 March | Tuesday 3 March | Wednesday 4 March | Thursday 5 March | Friday 6 March | Monday 9 March | |
| FTSE 100 |
|
16.46 | ||||
| Australia 200 | 19.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | ||
| Wall Street | 5.6 | |||||
| US 500 | 0.65 | 0.08 | 0.34 | 0.08 | ||
| Nasdaq | 1.36 | 0.05 | ||||
| France 40 | ||||||
| Netherlands 25 | ||||||
| EU Stocks 50 | 0.7 | |||||
| China H-Shares | ||||||
| Singapore Blue Chip | ||||||
| Hong Kong HS50 | 6.8 | 1.3 | ||||
| South Africa 40 | 0.0 | |||||
| Italy 40 | ||||||
| Japan 225 |
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Fast execution on a huge range of markets
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Deal seamlessly, wherever you are
Trade on the move with our natively designed, award-winning trading app
Feel secure with a trusted provider
With 45 of experience, we’re proud to offer a truly market-leading service
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