The Week Ahead
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A heads up on potential price movements and markets to watch
Week commencing 9 June
Chris Beauchamp insight
This week will be dominated by the inflation data in the US and China, of which the former is likely to be the most important. Investors are on alert for indications that Trump’s tariffs have caused prices to rise, which might require the US central bank to become more hawkish, and perhaps even think about rate increases if inflation starts to accelerate.
UK investors will watch the spending review on Wednesday, which may provide clues about any infrastructure spending to boost the UK economy. UK supermarket giant Tesco releases an update next week, as do housebuilders Bellway and Crest Nicholson, while in the US Oracle is one of the last major names to report earnings.
Economic reports
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Weekly view
2.30am – China inflation (May): prices expected to fall 0.2% year-on-year (YoY) from -0.1% in April. MoM figure forecast to be 0%, from 0.1% in April. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
4am – China trade data (May): exports expected to fall 4% YoY from April’s 8.1% rise. Imports to fall 3% from the 0.2% drop in April. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
1.30am – Australia Westpac consumer confidence (June): index forecast to edge down to 92 from 92.1. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
7am – UK employment data (April): rate expected to hold at 4.5% in April. Average hourly earnings rose 5.5% in April. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm – US CPI (May): prices expected to rise 0.4% month-on-month (MoM) from 0.2%, and 2.6% YoY from 2.3%. Core inflation forecast to be 0.3% from 0.2% MoM, and 2.9% from 2.8% YoY. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
12.30pm – UK spending review: the chancellor will unveil her latest spending review, designed to boost UK economic growth. Markets to watch: FTSE 350, GBP crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 6 June): stockpiles fell by 4.3 million barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
7am – UK gross domestic product (GDP) (April): growth forecast to be 0.6% for the 3 months to April, from 0.7% in March. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm – US producer price index (PPI) (May), initial jobless claims (w/e 7 June): PPI forecast to be 0.2% from -0.5% MoM. Claims forecast to rise to 250K from 247K. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm – US Michigan consumer confidence (June, preliminary): index expected to rise to 55 from 52.2. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Monday
2.30am – China inflation (May): prices expected to fall 0.2% YoY from -0.1% in April. MoM figure forecast to be 0%, from 0.1% in April. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
4am – China trade data (May): exports expected to fall 4% YoY from April’s 8.1% rise. Imports to fall 3% from the 0.2% drop in April. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
Tuesday
1.30am – Australia Westpac consumer confidence (June): index forecast to edge down to 92 from 92.1. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
7am – UK employment data (April): rate expected to hold at 4.5% in April. Average hourly earnings rose 5.5% in April. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
Wednesday
1.30pm – US CPI (May): prices expected to rise 0.4% MoM from 0.2%, and 2.6% YoY from 2.3%. Core inflation forecast to be 0.3% from 0.2% MoM, and 2.9% from 2.8% YoY. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
12.30pm – UK spending review: the chancellor will unveil her latest spending review, designed to boost UK economic growth. Markets to watch: FTSE 350, GBP crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 6 June): stockpiles fell by 4.3 million barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
Thursday
7am – UK GDP (April): growth forecast to be 0.6% for the 3 months to April, from 0.7% in March. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm – US PPI (May), initial jobless claims (w/e 7 June): PPI forecast to be 0.2% from -0.5% MoM. Claims forecast to rise to 250K from 247K. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Friday
3pm – US Michigan consumer confidence (June, preliminary): index expected to rise to 55 from 52.2. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Company announcements
Dividends
FTSE ex-dividend dates (12th June):
FTSE 100: Land Securities, JD Sports, Intermediate Capital, Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust
FTSE 250: 3i Infrastructure, RS Group, C&C Group, Empiric Student Property, Worldwide Healthcare Trust
Index adjustments
|
Monday 09 June |
Tuesday 10 June |
Wednesday 11 June |
Thursday 12 June |
Friday 13 June |
Monday 16 June |
| FTSE 100 | 1.18 | |||||
| Australia 200 | 0.1 | 0.1 | ||||
| Wall Street | 6.8 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 18.6 | ||
| US 500 | 0.21 | 0.07 | 0.10 | 1.01 | 0.98 | 0.19 |
| Nasdaq 100 | 0.18 | 0.13 | 0.34 | 2.65 | 0.62 | |
| Netherlands 25 | 0.2 | |||||
| US Russell 2000 | 0.15 | 0.05 | 0.14 | 0.48 | 0.26 | 0.06 |
| China H-Shares | 4.6 | 12.0 | 12.3 | 1.5 | 5.0 | |
| Singapore Blue Chip | ||||||
| Hong Kong HS50 | 9.6 | 36.1 | 25.1 | 6.1 | 9.5 | |
| South Africa 40 | ||||||
| France 40 | 1.3 | |||||
| Stoxx 600 |
* Please note these can change without notice
1 Dividend adjustments due to be posted on a bank holiday will usually be posted on the previous working day
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