The Week Ahead

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Week commencing 11 November

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Chris Beauchamp’s insight

Key economic events this week include UK GDP, employment data, CPI and retail sales, along with US CPI and German GDP.

Earnings from the US are relatively quiet, although we do have figures from Cisco and Nvidia, along with a host of first-half earnings from Vodafone and others in the UK.

Economic reports

  • Monday
  • Tuesday
  • Wednesday
  • Thursday
  • Friday
  • Weekly view

9.30am – UK trade balance, GDP (September): trade deficit to rise to £2.2 billion. GDP to fall 0.1% MoM and rise 0.5% for the three months to September. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

12.30am – NAB business confidence (October): index to rise to 1 from 0. Markets to watch: AUD crosses

9.30am – UK employment data: October claimant count to fall to 17,800 from 21,100, while the rate holds at 3.9%. Average earnings to rise 3.8% including bonus. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

10am – German ZEW index (November): economic sentiment to rise to -22.7 from -22.8. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

11.30pm – Australia Westpac consumer confidence (November): index to rise to 93.5. Markets to watch: AUD crosses

7am – German CPI (October): CPI to rise 1.1% YoY. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

9.30am – UK CPI (October): prices to rise 1.8% YoY and 0.2% MoM, and core CPI to rise 1.6% YoY. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

10am – eurozone industrial production (September): expected to fall 2.2% YoY. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US CPI (October): CPI to rise 0.3% MoM and 1.7% YoY, and core CPI to rise 0.2% MoM and 2.5% YoY. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

11.50pm – Japan GDP (Q3, preliminary): expected to rise 0.4% QoQ and 1.3% YoY. Markets to watch: JPY crosses

12.30am – Australia employment data (October): rate to rise to 5.3% from 5.2%. Markets to watch: AUD crosses

2am – China retail sales (October): expected to rise 7.8% YoY. Markets to watch: CNH crosses

7am – Germany GDP (Q3, flash): forecast to fall 0.1% QoQ and rise 0.6% YoY. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

9.30am – UK retail sales (October): sales to rise 3.2% YoY and fall 0.2% MoM. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

10am – eurozone GDP (Q3, preliminary): expected to rise 0.2% QoQ and 1.1% YoY. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 9 November): claims expected to rise to 219K from 211K. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

4pm – US EIA crude inventories (w/e 8 November): stockpiles fell by 2.8 million barrels last week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI

10am – eurozone CPI (October): expected to rise 0.2% MoM and 0.7% YoY, and core CPI to rise 1.1% YoY. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US retail sales (October), Empire state mfg index (November): sales forecast to rise 0.2% MoM, while the Empire manufacturing index remains at 4. Markets to watch: USD crosses

Monday

9.30am – UK trade balance, GDP (September): trade deficit to rise to £2.2 billion. GDP to fall 0.1% MoM and rise 0.5% for the three months to September. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

Tuesday

12.30am – NAB business confidence (October): index to rise to 1 from 0. Markets to watch: AUD crosses

9.30am – UK employment data: October claimant count to fall to 17,800 from 21,100, while the rate holds at 3.9%. Average earnings to rise 3.8% including bonus. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

10am – German ZEW index (November): economic sentiment to rise to -22.7 from -22.8. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

11.30pm – Australia Westpac consumer confidence (November): index to rise to 93.5. Markets to watch: AUD crosses

Wednesday

7am – German CPI (October): CPI to rise 1.1% YoY. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

9.30am – UK CPI (October): prices to rise 1.8% YoY and 0.2% MoM, and core CPI to rise 1.6% YoY. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

10am – eurozone industrial production (September): expected to fall 2.2% YoY. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US CPI (October): CPI to rise 0.3% MoM and 1.7% YoY, and core CPI to rise 0.2% MoM and 2.5% YoY. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

11.50pm – Japan GDP (Q3, preliminary): expected to rise 0.4% QoQ and 1.3% YoY. Markets to watch: JPY crosses

Thursday

12.30am – Australia employment data (October): rate to rise to 5.3% from 5.2%. Markets to watch: AUD crosses

2am – China retail sales (October): expected to rise 7.8% YoY. Markets to watch: CNH crosses

7am – Germany GDP (Q3, flash): forecast to fall 0.1% QoQ and rise 0.6% YoY. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

9.30am – UK retail sales (October): sales to rise 3.2% YoY and fall 0.2% MoM. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

10am – eurozone GDP (Q3, preliminary): expected to rise 0.2% QoQ and 1.1% YoY. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 9 November): claims expected to rise to 219K from 211K. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

4pm – US EIA crude inventories (w/e 8 November): stockpiles fell by 2.8 million barrels last week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI

Friday

10am – eurozone CPI (October): expected to rise 0.2% MoM and 0.7% YoY, and core CPI to rise 1.1% YoY. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US retail sales (October), Empire state mfg index (November): sales forecast to rise 0.2% MoM, while the Empire manufacturing index remains at 4. Markets to watch: USD crosse

Company announcements

Monday 11 November

Tuesday 12 November

Wednesday 13 November

Thursday 14 November

Friday 15 November

Full-year earnings

Half/Quarterly earnings

Vodafone,
Electrocomponents,
Aveva,
Experian,
Premier Foods,
Land Securities

TalkTalk,
British Land,
JD Wetherspoon,
SSE,
Cisco

Great Portland Estates,
Firstgroup,
National Grid,
NVIDIA,
Viacom,
Walmart

Trading update Micro Focus

Meggitt ,
ITV

Tullow Oil,
Smiths Group,
Taylor Wimpey,
BBA Aviation,
OneSavings Bank

Cineworld,
Ted Baker,
Burberry

Dividends

Upcoming

FTSE 100: Bunzl, Sainsbury, GlaxoSmithKline, Shell

FTSE 250: Airtel Africa, Marks & Spencer

Dividends are applied after the close of the previous day’s session for each market. So, for example, the FTSE 100 goes ex-dividend on a Thursday, but the adjustment is applied at the close of the previous day e.g. Wednesday. The table below shows the days in which the adjustment is applied, not the ex-dividend days.

Index adjustments

Monday 11 November Tuesday 12 November Wednesday 13 November Thursday 14 November Friday 15 November Monday 18 November
FTSE 100 15.91
Australia 200 10.8 9.1 0.4 0.3
Wall Street 7.0 11.2
US 500 0.16 0.11 0.78 0.55 0.06 0.23
Nasdaq 0.46 0.10 1.27 0.51 0.15
France 40 0.2
Netherlands 25 1.22
EU Stocks 50 0.9
China H-Shares
Singapore Blue Chip 0.06 0.07
Hong Kong HS50
South Africa 40 15.1
Italy 40 61.1
Japan 225

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Fast execution on a huge range of markets

Enjoy flexible access to more than 16,000 global markets, with reliable execution

Deal seamlessly, wherever you are

Trade on the move with our natively designed, award-winning trading app

Feel secure with a trusted provider

With 45 of experience, we’re proud to offer a truly market-leading service

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