The Week Ahead

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Week commencing 2 March

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Chris Beauchamp’s insight

Economic data this week will take a back seat to the coronavirus concerns and any possible government or central bank response. However, some weakness in the China or eurozone data will confirm that the virus is having an impact.

On the corporate front, US earnings season is all but done, but the UK remains busy with full-year earnings coming thick and fast on Tuesday and Thursday, and Ryanair passenger figures for February expected on Monday. This last might have a comment on the virus and how it is affecting business, similar to that released by IAG and easyJet last week.

Economic reports

  • Monday
  • Tuesday
  • Wednesday
  • Thursday
  • Friday
  • Weekly view

1.45am – China Caixin mfg PMI (February): forecast to fall to 45.7 from 51.1. Markets to watch: China indices, CNH crosses

3pm – US ISM mfg PMI (February): forecast to fall to 50.2 from 50.9. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

3.30am – RBA rate decision: no change is expected but the current crisis may shape the discussions. Markets to watch: AUD crosses

9.30am – UK construction PMI (February): forecast to fall to 46.3 from 48.4. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

10am – eurozone unemployment data (January), inflation (February, flash): unemployment rate to remain at 7.4% while inflation rises 1.2%YoY. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

12.30am – Australia GDP (Q4): forecast to rise 0.4% QoQ and 2% YoY. Markets to watch: AUD crosses

1.45am – China Caixin services PMI (February): expected to rise to 52.6 from 51.8. Markets to watch: CNH crosses

1.15pm – US ADP employment report (February): 191K jobs expected to have been created. Markets to watch: USD crosses

3pm – Bank of Canada rate decision: no change to 1.75% rate expected. Markets to watch: CAD crosses

3pm – US ISM non-manufacturing PMI (February): index to hold at 55.5. Markets to watch: USD crosses

3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 28 February): stockpiles to fall by 79,000 barrels. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI

1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 29 February): claims to rise to 226K from 219K. Markets to watch: USD crosses

1.30pm – US non-farm payrolls (February): 178K job expected to have been created from 225K, while unemployment rate holds at 3.6%. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

1.30pm – Canada employment data (February): 10K jobs to be created while unemployment rate rises to 5.6% from 5.5%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses

3pm – Canada Ivey PMI (February): index to fall to 56 from 57.3. Markets to watch: CAD crosses

Monday

1.45am – China Caixin mfg PMI (February): forecast to fall to 45.7 from 51.1. Markets to watch: China indices, CNH crosses

3pm – US ISM mfg PMI (February): forecast to fall to 50.2 from 50.9. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

Tuesday

3.30am – RBA rate decision: no change is expected but the current crisis may shape the discussions. Markets to watch: AUD crosses

9.30am – UK construction PMI (February): forecast to fall to 46.3 from 48.4. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

10am – eurozone unemployment data (January), inflation (February, flash): unemployment rate to remain at 7.4% while inflation rises 1.2%YoY. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

Wednesday

12.30am – Australia GDP (Q4): forecast to rise 0.4% QoQ and 2% YoY. Markets to watch: AUD crosses

1.45am – China Caixin services PMI (February): expected to rise to 52.6 from 51.8. Markets to watch: CNH crosses

1.15pm – US ADP employment report (February): 191K jobs expected to have been created. Markets to watch: USD crosses

3pm – Bank of Canada rate decision: no change to 1.75% rate expected. Markets to watch: CAD crosses

3pm – US ISM non-manufacturing PMI (February): index to hold at 55.5. Markets to watch: USD crosses

3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 28 February): stockpiles to fall by 79,000 barrels. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI

Thursday

1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 29 February): claims to rise to 226K from 219K. Markets to watch: USD crosses

Friday

1.30pm – US non-farm payrolls (February): 178K job expected to have been created from 225K, while unemployment rate holds at 3.6%. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

1.30pm – Canada employment data (February): 10K jobs to be created while unemployment rate rises to 5.6% from 5.5%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses

3pm – Canada Ivey PMI (February): index to fall to 56 from 57.3. Markets to watch: CAD crosses

Company announcements

Dividends

Upcoming

FTSE 100: BHP, Rio Tinto, Persimmon, Evraz, RSA Insurance, Standard Chartered

FTSE 250: Oxford Instruments, SSP, Safestore, McCarthy & Stone, Renishaw, ST Modwen, Redrow, Ashmore, Hays, LXI Reit, Dechra, Pollen Street, Genus, Grafton, Tritax Big Box

Dividends are applied after the close of the previous day’s session for each market. So, for example, the FTSE 100 goes ex-dividend on a Thursday, but the adjustment is applied at the close of the previous day e.g. Wednesday. The table below shows the days in which the adjustment is applied, not the ex-dividend days.

Index adjustments

Monday 2 March Tuesday 3 March Wednesday 4 March Thursday 5 March Friday 6 March Monday 9 March
FTSE 100

16.46
Australia 200 19.7 0.8 0.8 0.8
Wall Street 5.6
US 500 0.65 0.08 0.34 0.08
Nasdaq 1.36 0.05
France 40
Netherlands 25
EU Stocks 50 0.7
China H-Shares
Singapore Blue Chip
Hong Kong HS50 6.8 1.3
South Africa 40 0.0
Italy 40
Japan 225

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Fast execution on a huge range of markets

Enjoy flexible access to more than 16,000 global markets, with reliable execution

Deal seamlessly, wherever you are

Trade on the move with our natively designed, award-winning trading app

Feel secure with a trusted provider

With 45 of experience, we’re proud to offer a truly market-leading service

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