The Week Ahead
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Week commencing 7 July
Chris Beauchamp insight
US markets return after their long weekend, but the calendar remains relatively sparse on both the corporate and economic fronts. An Australian rate decision and Chinese inflation are the main economic events, while UK oil giant Shell reports quarter one (Q1) figures. However, the chief focus is likely to be the return of tariffs, especially now President Trump has said that he prefers imposing tariffs to negotiating trade deals.
Economic reports
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Weekly view
None
5.30am – RBA rate decision: rates expected to be cut by 25 bps to 3.6%. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
3pm – Canada Ivey purchasing managers index (PMI) (June): expected to rise to 49 from 48.9. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
1.30am – Australia Westpac consumer confidence (July): index forecast to fall to 91 from 92.6. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
2.30am – China inflation (June): prices forecast to fall 0.3% year-on-year (YoY) and rise 0.1% MoM. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 4 July): stockpiles rose by 3.85 million barrels in the previous week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
7pm – Federal Reserve (Fed) minutes. Markets to watch: USD crosses
1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 5 July): claims expected to rise to 245K from 233K. Markets to watch: USD crosses
7am – UK gross domestic product (GDP) (May): growth fell 0.3% in April. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm – Canada employment data (June): unemployment rate expected to hold at 7%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
Monday
None
Tuesday
5.30am – RBA rate decision: rates expected to be cut by 25 bps to 3.6%. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
3pm – Canada Ivey PMI (June): expected to rise to 49 from 48.9. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
Wednesday
1.30am – Australia Westpac consumer confidence (July): index forecast to fall to 91 from 92.6. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
2.30am – China inflation (June): prices forecast to fall 0.3% YoY and rise 0.1% MoM. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 4 July): stockpiles rose by 3.85 million barrels in the previous week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
7pm – Fed minutes. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Thursday
1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 5 July): claims expected to rise to 245K from 233K. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Friday
7am – UK GDP (May): growth fell 0.3% in April. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm – Canada employment data (June): unemployment rate expected to hold at 7%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
Company announcements
Dividends
FTSE ex-dividend dates (10 July):
FTSE 100: Halma, Games Workshop
FTSE 250: WH Smith, Bytes Technology, CMC Markets, Oxford Instruments, Merchants Trust
Index adjustments
|
Monday 7 July |
Tuesday 8 July |
Wednesday 9 July |
Thursday 10 July |
Friday 11 July |
Monday 14 July |
| FTSE 100 | 0.33 | |||||
| Australia 200 | 0.0 | 0.3 | ||||
| Wall Street | 4.2 | |||||
| US 500 | 0.03 | 0.07 | 0.89 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.59 |
| Nasdaq 100 | 0.12 | 0.39 | 0.07 | |||
| Netherlands 25 | ||||||
| US Russell 2000 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.04 | 0.12 | 0.31 | 0.09 |
| China H-Shares | 3.3 | |||||
| Singapore Blue Chip | ||||||
| Hong Kong HS50 | ||||||
| South Africa 40 | ||||||
| France 40 | ||||||
| Stoxx 600 |
* Please note these can change without notice
1 Dividend adjustments due to be posted on a bank holiday will usually be posted on the previous working day
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