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Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

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Week commencing 19 May

Chris Beauchamp insight

UK, Canada and Japan inflation, plus flash purchasing managers index (PMI), are the main economic events to watch this week, while a quiet week for big US earnings is made up for by plenty of UK companies, including Vodafone, Marks & Spencer, Diageo and easyJet. Risk appetite has rebounded over the past week thanks to the US-China trade truce, continuing the more positive atmosphere seen since mid-April.

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Economic reports

  • Monday
  • Tuesday
  • Wednesday
  • Thursday
  • Friday
  • Weekly view

3am – China retail sales (April): forecast to rise 5.6% year-on-year (YoY), down from 5.9%. Markets to watch: CNH crosses

5.30am – RBA rate decision: a rate cut is expected here, taking interest rates to 3.85% from 4.1%. Markets to watch: AUD crosses

1.30pm – Canada consumer price index (CPI) (April): prices expected to rise 2.5% YoY from 2.3%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses

3pm – eurozone consumer confidence (May, flash): index expected to rise to -16 from -16.7. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

7am – UK CPI (April): prices expected to rise 3.3% YoY from 2.6%, and 0.2% month-on-month (MoM). Core CPI expected to be 3.3% YoY from 3.4%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 16 May): previous week saw stockpiles rise by 3.5 million barrels. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI

1.30am – Japan PMI (May, flash): services index to fall to 51.2 & manufacturing to remain at 48.5. Markets to watch: JPY crosses

8.30am – German PMI (May, flash): manufacturing to rise to 49.1 from 48.4. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

9am – German IFO index (May): business climate index expected to fall to 86.4 from 86.9. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

9.30am - UK PMI (May, flash): manufacturing PMI expected to rise to 46 from 45.4, and services to rise to 49.3 from 49. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 17 May), Chicago Fed index (April): claims expected to rise to 231K from 229K and Chicago Fed index to fall to -0.2 from -0.03. Markets to watch: USD crosses

2.45pm – US PMI (May, flash): manufacturing index forecast to rise to 50.3 from 50.2, and services to fall to 50.6 from 50.8. Markets to watch: USD crosses

3pm – US existing home sales (April): expected to fall 3% in April. Markets to watch: USD crosses

12.30am – Japan inflation (April): prices expected to rise 3.7% YoY from 3.6%, and core CPI to hold at 3.2% YoY. Markets to watch: JPY crosses

7am – UK retail sales (April): sales rose 2.6% YoY in March. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

3pm – US new home sales (April): expected to fall 4.7% in April. Markets to watch: USD crosses

Monday

3am – China retail sales (April): forecast to rise 5.6% YoY, down from 5.9%. Markets to watch: CNH crosses

 

Tuesday

5.30am – RBA rate decision: a rate cut is expected here, taking interest rates to 3.85% from 4.1%. Markets to watch: AUD crosses

1.30pm – Canada CPI (April): prices expected to rise 2.5% YoY from 2.3%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses

3pm – eurozone consumer confidence (May, flash): index expected to rise to -16 from -16.7. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

 

Wednesday

7am – UK CPI (April): prices expected to rise 3.3% YoY from 2.6%, and 0.2% MoM. Core CPI expected to be 3.3% YoY from 3.4%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 16 May): previous week saw stockpiles rise by 3.5 million barrels. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI

 

Thursday

1.30am – Japan PMI (May, flash): services index to fall to 51.2 & manufacturing to remain at 48.5. Markets to watch: JPY crosses

8.30am – German PMI (May, flash): manufacturing to rise to 49.1 from 48.4. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

9am – German IFO index (May): business climate index expected to fall to 86.4 from 86.9. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

9.30am - UK PMI (May, flash): manufacturing PMI expected to rise to 46 from 45.4, and services to rise to 49.3 from 49. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 17 May), Chicago Fed index (April): claims expected to rise to 231K from 229K and Chicago Fed index to fall to -0.2 from -0.03. Markets to watch: USD crosses

2.45pm – US PMI (May, flash): manufacturing index forecast to rise to 50.3 from 50.2, and services to fall to 50.6 from 50.8. Markets to watch: USD crosses

3pm – US existing home sales (April): expected to fall 3% in April. Markets to watch: USD crosses

 

Friday

12.30am – Japan inflation (April): prices expected to rise 3.7% YoY from 3.6%, and core CPI to hold at 3.2% YoY. Markets to watch: JPY crosses

7am – UK retail sales (April): sales rose 2.6% YoY in March. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

3pm – US new home sales (April): expected to fall 4.7% in April. Markets to watch: USD crosses

Company announcements

 

Monday
19 May

Tuesday
20 May

Wednesday
21 May

Thursday
22 May

Friday
23 May

Full-year earnings

Ryanair,

Kainos,

Big Yellow

Vodafone,

Londonmetric Property,

Cranswick

Marks & Spencer,

SSE,

Severn Trent,

JD Sports Fashion

Tate & Lyle,

British Land,

QinetiQ

 

Half/ Quarterly earnings Diageo

Diploma,

Smiths,

SSP Groupss

Currys,

4imprint,

Coats,

Target

Mitchells & Butlers,

easyJet 

 

Trading update*

 

Greggs  

 

 

 

Dividends

FTSE ex-dividend dates (1st May):

FTSE 100: BunzlKingfisherImperial BrandsWhitbreadDCC

FTSE 250: RHI MagnesitaKellerSpire HealthcareBellwayTritax Big BoxHICL InfrastructureNextEnergyGrainger

Index adjustments

 

Monday
19 May
Tuesday
20 May
Wednesday
21 May
Thursday
22 May
Friday
23 May
Monday
26 May
FTSE 100     3.79      
Australia 200   0.4 1.3   0.1  
Wall Street       4.5   8.0
US 500 0.15 0.19 0.13 0.35   0.48
Nasdaq 0.13   0.83 0.36    
Netherlands 25   0.22   0.26 0.0  
US Russell 2000 0.11 0.06 0.07 0.18   0.02
China H-Shares   2.4 2.0      
Singapore Blue Chip 0.06          
Hong Kong HS50   10.9 4.7 4.6 6.6 11.0
South Africa 40            
France 40 3.7 4.4     9.8 4.7
Stoxx 600     0.0     1.6

* Please note these can change without notice

1 Dividend adjustments due to be posted on a bank holiday will usually be posted on the previous working day

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