The Week Ahead

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Week commencing 17 June

For information for week commencing 24 June, sign up above to receive a link straight to your inbox.

Chris Beauchamp’s insight

The Federal Reserve (Fed) decision is the key event of the week, and while the central bank is unlikely to cut rates, it may issue some dovish guidance.

Other key events include eurozone and UK CPI, the Bank of England (BoE) rate decision, and flash PMIs on Friday. Corporate data is relatively absent, but we do have full-year figures from Ashtead, Dixons Carphone and Berkeley Group.


Economic reports

  • Monday
  • Tuesday
  • Wednesday
  • Thursday
  • Friday
  • Weekly view

1.30pm – US Empire State mfg index (June): expected to fall to 12.8 from 17.8. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

2.30am – RBA minutes: these will explain the decision to cut rates at the last meeting. Markets to watch: AUD crosses

10am – eurozone CPI (May): MoM inflation to be 0.3% from 0.7%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

10am – German ZEW index (June): economic sentiment index to rise to 1 from -2.1. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US housing starts & building permits (May): permits to rise 1.5% MoM, and starts to fall 2.4% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses

12.50am – Japan trade balance (May): exports expected to fall 1.8% year-on-year. Markets to watch: JPY crosses

9.30am – UK CPI (May): CPI to rise 2.25 YoY and 0.7% MoM, while core CPI rises 1.9% YoY and 0.3% MoM. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

1.30pm – Canada CPI (May): CPI to rise 2% YoY. Markets to watch: CAD crosses

3.30pm – US EIA crude inventories (w/e 14 June): stockpiles to rise by 4.5 million barrels. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI

7pm – FOMC decision: despite expectations driven by the change in Fed Funds Futures, the committee is unlikely to cut rates. But a more dovish tone is likely, but with this very much baked into the price, there may not be much downside in the US dollar. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

9.30am – UK retail sales: expected to rise 4.6% YoY. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

12pm – BoE rate decision: no change in rates expected. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

1.30pm – US Philadelphia Fed index (June), initial jobless claims (w/e ): Philadelphia index to fall to 12 from 16.6, previous week’s reading on claims was 222K. Markets to watch: USD crosses

3pm – eurozone consumer confidence (June, flash): expected to fall to -7.6 from -6.5. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

12.30am – Japan CPI (May): prices to rise 1% YoY. Markets to watch: JPY crosses

8.30am – German mfg & services PMI (June, flash): mfg to rise to 45.1 and services to rise to 55.9. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

9am – eurozone mfg & services PMI (June, flash): mfg to rise to 49.8 and services to rise to 53.2. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

2.45pm – US mfg & services PMI (June, flash): mfg index to rise to 51 from 50.5, while services rises to 51.5 from 50.9. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

3pm – US existing home sales (May): sales expected to rise 2.7% MoM. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

Monday

1.30pm – US Empire State mfg index (June): expected to fall to 12.8 from 17.8. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

Tuesday

2.30am – RBA minutes: these will explain the decision to cut rates at the last meeting. Markets to watch: AUD crosses

10am – eurozone CPI (May): MoM inflation to be 0.3% from 0.7%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

10am – German ZEW index (June): economic sentiment index to rise to 1 from -2.1. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US housing starts & building permits (May): permits to rise 1.5% MoM, and starts to fall 2.4% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses

Wednesday

12.50am – Japan trade balance (May): exports expected to fall 1.8% year-on-year. Markets to watch: JPY crosses

9.30am – UK CPI (May): CPI to rise 2.25 YoY and 0.7% MoM, while core CPI rises 1.9% YoY and 0.3% MoM. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

1.30pm – Canada CPI (May): CPI to rise 2% YoY. Markets to watch: CAD crosses

3.30pm – US EIA crude inventories (w/e 14 June): stockpiles to rise by 4.5 million barrels. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI

7pm – FOMC decision: despite expectations driven by the change in Fed Funds Futures, the committee is unlikely to cut rates. But a more dovish tone is likely, but with this very much baked into the price, there may not be much downside in the US dollar. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

Thursday

9.30am – UK retail sales: expected to rise 4.6% YoY. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

12pm – BoE rate decision: no change in rates expected. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

1.30pm – US Philadelphia Fed index (June), initial jobless claims (w/e ): Philadelphia index to fall to 12 from 16.6, previous week’s reading on claims was 222K. Markets to watch: USD crosses

3pm – eurozone consumer confidence (June, flash): expected to fall to -7.6 from -6.5. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

Friday

12.30am – Japan CPI (May): prices to rise 1% YoY. Markets to watch: JPY crosses

8.30am – German mfg & services PMI (June, flash): mfg to rise to 45.1 and services to rise to 55.9. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

9am – eurozone mfg & services PMI (June, flash): mfg to rise to 49.8 and services to rise to 53.2. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

2.45pm – US mfg & services PMI (June, flash): mfg index to rise to 51 from 50.5, while services rises to 51.5 from 50.9. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

3pm – US existing home sales (May): sales expected to rise 2.7% MoM. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses


Company announcements

Monday 17 June

Tuesday 18 June

Wednesday 19 June

Thursday 20 June

Friday 21 June

Full-year earnings

Ashtead,
Telecom Plus

Severfield,
Berkeley Group,
Mulberry

Dixons Carphone

Half/Quarterly earnings

Safestore,
Adobe Systems

Blue Prism,
Oracle

Trading update

N Brown


Dividends

Upcoming

FTSE 100: Land Securities, Compass, United Utilities

FTSE 250: Big Yellow, Tate & Lyle, Stobart

Dividends are applied after the close of the previous day’s session for each market. So, for example, the FTSE 100 goes ex-dividend on a Thursday, but the adjustment is applied at the close of the previous day e.g. Wednesday. The table below shows the days in which the adjustment is applied, not the ex-dividend days.

Index adjustments

Monday 17 June Tuesday 18 June Wednesday 19 June Thursday 20 June Friday 21 June Monday 24 June
FTSE 100 1.90
Australia 200 0.2
Wall Street
US 500 0.09 0.01 0.27 0.22
Nasdaq 0.97
France 40 3.1 1.2 2.0
Netherlands 25
EU Stocks 50 1.3
China H-Shares 6.7 3.3 4.6 1.7 57.4
Singapore Blue Chip
Hong Kong HS50 15.0 8.9 6.5 71.8
South Africa 40 29.7
Italy 40 62.1
Japan 225

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Week commencing 24 June

Joshua Mahony’s insight

Coming off the back of a hugely volatile week, there is plenty to sink our teeth into for the coming days. Particular attention will be paid on the German Ifo and eurozone inflation data, coming off the back of a dovish stance from Mario Draghi. Final GDP readings from the UK and US could turn heads if we see any final revisions.

Meanwhile, the week ends with the all-important G20 meeting, where markets will hope Trump and Xi Jinping make headway on a trade deal between the world’s two largest economies.

The corporate calendar is slowing somewhat, yet with firms like Nike, FedEx, Greene King, and UK oil & gas releasing their latest figures, volatility is still likely.


Economic reports

  • Monday
  • Tuesday
  • Wednesday
  • Thursday
  • Friday
  • Weekly view

9.00am – German IFO index (June): business climate index to fall to 97 from 97.9. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – Chicago Fed nat’l activity index (June): expected to fall to -6.4 from -5.3. Markets to watch: USD crosses

12.50am – BoJ meeting minutes. Markets to watch: JPY crosses

3pm – US new home sales (May): forecast to fall 2.8% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses

7am – German GfK consumer confidence (July): index expected to rise to 10.4 from 10.1. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US durable goods orders (May): orders to rise 0.2% MoM overall, and also increase 0.2% MoM excluding transportation. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

3.30pm – US EIA crude inventories (w/e 21 June): Stockpiles fell by 3.1 million last week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI

10am – eurozone business confidence (June): index to fall to 0.25 from 0.3. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1pm – German CPI (June, preliminary): prices expected to rise 1.4% YoY. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US GDP (Q1, final), initial jobless claims (w/e 22 June): growth expected to be 3.1% QoQ Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

3pm – US pending home sales (May): forecast to rise 0.6% MoM and fall 2.6% YoY. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

12.30am: Japan unemployment rate (May): rate to hold at 2.4%. Markets to watch: JPY crosses

9.30am – UK GDP (Q1, final): growth expected to be 1.8% YoY and 0.5% QoQ. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

10am – eurozone inflation (June, flash): prices to rise 1.3% YoY and 0.8% MoM. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US personal income and spending (May): income to rise 0.3% and spending to rise 0.4% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses

2.45pm – US Chicago PMI (June): index to rise to 54.3 from 54.2. Markets to watch: USD crosses

3pm – US Michigan consumer sentiment (June, final): index expected to fall to 97.9 from 100. Markets to watch: USD crosses

Monday

9.00am – German IFO index (June): business climate index to fall to 97 from 97.9. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – Chicago Fed nat’l activity index (June): expected to fall to -6.4 from -5.3. Markets to watch: USD crosses

Tuesday

12.50am – BoJ meeting minutes. Markets to watch: JPY crosses

3pm – US new home sales (May): forecast to fall 2.8% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses

Wednesday

7am – German GfK consumer confidence (July): index expected to rise to 10.4 from 10.1. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US durable goods orders (May): orders to rise 0.2% MoM overall, and also increase 0.2% MoM excluding transportation. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

3.30pm – US EIA crude inventories (w/e 21 June): Stockpiles fell by 3.1 million last week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI

Thursday

10am – eurozone business confidence (June): index to fall to 0.25 from 0.3. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1pm – German CPI (June, preliminary): prices expected to rise 1.4% YoY. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US GDP (Q1, final), initial jobless claims (w/e 22 June): growth expected to be 3.1% QoQ Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

3pm – US pending home sales (May): forecast to rise 0.6% MoM and fall 2.6% YoY. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

Friday

12.30am: Japan unemployment rate (May): rate to hold at 2.4%. Markets to watch: JPY crosses

9.30am – UK GDP (Q1, final): growth expected to be 1.8% YoY and 0.5% QoQ. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

10am – eurozone inflation (June, flash): prices to rise 1.3% YoY and 0.8% MoM. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US personal income and spending (May): income to rise 0.3% and spending to rise 0.4% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses

2.45pm – US Chicago PMI (June): index to rise to 54.3 from 54.2. Markets to watch: USD crosses

3pm – US Michigan consumer sentiment (June, final): index expected to fall to 97.9 from 100. Markets to watch: USD crosses


Company announcements


Dividends

Upcoming

FTSE 100: British Land, Experian, Burberry

FTSE 250: JD Sports

Dividends are applied after the close of the previous day’s session for each market. So, for example, the FTSE 100 goes ex-dividend on a Thursday, but the adjustment is applied at the close of the previous day e.g. Wednesday. The table below shows the days in which the adjustment is applied, not the ex-dividend days.

Index adjustments

Monday 24 June Tuesday 25 June Wednesday 26 June Thursday 27 June Friday 28 June Monday 1 July
FTSE 100 1.90
Australia 200 0.2
Wall Street
US 500 0.09 0.01 0.27 0.22
Nasdaq 0.97
France 40 3.1 1.2 2.0
Netherlands 25
EU Stocks 50 1.3
China H-Shares 6.7 3.3 4.6 1.7 57.4
Singapore Blue Chip
Hong Kong HS50 15.0 8.9 6.5 71.8
South Africa 40 29.7
Italy 40 62.1
Japan 225

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Enjoy flexible access to more than 16,000 global markets, with reliable execution

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Trade on the move with our natively designed, award-winning trading app

Feel secure with a trusted provider

With 45 of experience, we’re proud to offer a truly market-leading service

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