The Week Ahead
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A calendar of next week's biggest market-moving events, including key economic reports and company announcements
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Week commencing 29 September
Chris Beauchamp insight
US employment figures dominate the week, in the form of the ADP report, the monthly JOLTS figures, weekly jobless claims and then non-farm payrolls (NFP) on Friday. Even the ISM purchasing managers indices (PMIs) will be watched to see if the employment sub-indices provide further insight. Tesco’s interim earnings and Nike’s latest quarterly report are the corporate highlights of the week.
Economic reports
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Weekly view
3pm – US pending home sales (August): forecast to rise 1.7% month-on-month (MoM). Markets to watch: USD crosses
2.30am – China National Bureau of Statistic (NBS) PMI (September): manufacturing expected to rise to 49.9 from 49.4, while non-manufacturing to rise to 50.7 from 50.3. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
2.45am – China RatingDog PMI (September): manufacturing PMI expected to rise to 50.8 from 50.5, while services PMI is forecast to rise to 53.3 from 53. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
5.30am – RBA rate decision: rates expected to be held at 3.6%. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
1pm – German inflation (September, preliminary): prices expected to rise 2.3% year-on-year (YoY) and 0.1% MoM, from 2.2% and 0.1%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
2.45pm – US Chicago PMI (September): index expected to fall to 41 from 41.5. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm – US consumer confidence (August), JOLTS job openings (September): confidence to fall to 95 from 97.4, while JOLTS ease to 7.1 million. Markets to watch: USD crosses
10am – eurozone inflation (September): prices forecast to rise 2.2% YoY and 0.1% MoM, in line with last month. Core consumer price index (CPI) to hold at 2.3%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
1.15pm – US ADP employment report (September): 40,000 jobs expected to have been created, down from 54K last month. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
3pm – US ISM manufacturing PMI (September): index to rise to 49 from 48.7. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 26 September): stockpiles fell by 600,000 barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 27 September): claims fell to 218K in the preceding week. Markets to watch: USD crosses
1.30pm – US NFPs (September): payrolls expected to rise to 39K from 22K, while the unemployment rate holds at 4.3%. Average hourly earnings expected to rise 3.7% YoY, in line with August, but 0.2% MoM, down from August’s 0.3%. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
3pm – US ISM services PMI (September): index to fall to 51 from 52. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Monday
3pm – US pending home sales (August): forecast to rise 1.7% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Tuesday
2.30am – China National Bureau of Statistic (NBS) PMI (September): manufacturing expected to rise to 49.9 from 49.4, while non-manufacturing to rise to 50.7 from 50.3. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
2.45am – China RatingDog PMI (September): manufacturing PMI expected to rise to 50.8 from 50.5, while services PMI is forecast to rise to 53.3 from 53. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
5.30am – RBA rate decision: rates expected to be held at 3.6%. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
1pm – German inflation (September, preliminary): prices expected to rise 2.3% YoY and 0.1% MoM, from 2.2% and 0.1%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
2.45pm – US Chicago PMI (September): index expected to fall to 41 from 41.5. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm – US consumer confidence (August), JOLTS job openings (September): confidence to fall to 95 from 97.4, while JOLTS ease to 7.1 million. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Wednesday
10am – eurozone inflation (September): prices forecast to rise 2.2% YoY and 0.1% MoM, in line with last month. Core CPI to hold at 2.3%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
1.15pm – US ADP employment report (September): 40,000 jobs expected to have been created, down from 54K last month. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
3pm – US ISM manufacturing PMI (September): index to rise to 49 from 48.7. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 26 September): stockpiles fell by 600,000 barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
Thursday
1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 27 September): claims fell to 218K in the preceding week. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Friday
1.30pm – US non-farm payrolls (September): payrolls expected to rise to 39K from 22K, while the unemployment rate holds at 4.3%. Average hourly earnings expected to rise 3.7% YoY, in line with August, but 0.2% MoM, down from August’s 0.3%. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
3pm – US ISM services PMI (September): index to fall to 51 from 52. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Company announcements
Monday |
Tuesday |
Wednesday |
Thursday |
Friday |
|
Full-year earnings |
Close Brothers |
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Half/ Quarterly earnings |
Carnival | Tesco | |||
| Trading update |
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Dividends
FTSE ex-dividend dates (2nd October):
FTSE 100: British American Tobacco, Weir, Smith & Nephew, F&C Investment Trust
FTSE 250: Kainos, Breedon, Morgan Sindall, Bodycote, Travis Perkins, TP ICAP, Spectris, RIT Capital, Hunting, Johnson Service Group, Wickes, Law Debenture, Pantheon Infrastructure, Petershill Partners
Index adjustments
|
Monday 29 September |
Tuesday 30 September |
Wednesday 1 October |
Thursday 2 October |
Friday 3 October |
Monday 6 October |
| FTSE 100 | 5.63 | |||||
| Australia 200 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | |
| Wall Street | 7.6 | 9.2 | ||||
| US 500 | 0.67 | 0.33 | 0.08 | 0.75 | 0.49 | 0.05 |
| Nasdaq 100 | 0.86 | 1.61 | 2.44 | |||
| Netherlands 25 | 0.2 | |||||
| US Russell 2000 | 1.11 | 0.12 | 0.02 | 0.11 | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| China H-Shares | ||||||
| Japan 225 | ||||||
| Hong Kong HS50 | 3.9 | |||||
| South Africa 40 | 60.4 | |||||
| France 40 | 7.8 | 1.9 | ||||
| Stoxx 600 | 2.7 |
* Please note these can change without notice
1 Dividend adjustments due to be posted on a bank holiday will usually be posted on the previous working day
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