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Week commencing 26 June

Chris Beauchamp, market analyst

Watch out for US durable goods orders and consumer confidence readings this week, while we also get some more Chinese data to shed more light on the economic performance of this vital economy.

Company updates remain light, although Tullow Oil and Petrofac should provide more information on how these firms are dealing with the impact of abundant supply of oil. 

Economic reports

Week commencing 26 June

Monday

9am – German IFO business climate (June): expected to rise to 115.1 from 114.6. Markets to watch: eurozone indices, EUR crosses

1.30pm – US durable goods orders, Chicago Federal index (May): durable goods orders expected to fall 0.5% MoM from a 0.7% fall a month earlier, while the Chicago Federal index rises to 0.54 from 0.49. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

Tuesday

3pm – US consumer confidence (June): expected to fall to 116.9 from 117.9. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

Wednesday

3pm – US pending home sales (May): expected to rise 2% YoY. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

3.30pm – US EIA crude inventories (w/e 23 June): stockpiles forecast to fall by 500,000 barrels, from a 2.4 million drop a week earlier. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI 

Thursday

10am – eurozone business confidence (June): forecast to rise to 0.95 from 0.9. Markets to watch: eurozone indices, EUR crosses

1pm – German CPI (June, preliminary): expected to rise 1.3%, after a 1.5% increase a month earlier. Market to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US GDP growth (Q1, final), initial jobless claims (w/e 24 June): growth expected to be 1.2% QoQ, jobless claims expected to be 243K from 241K a week earlier. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

Friday

12.30am – Japan CPI (May): price growth expected to be 0.3% YoY from 0.4%. Markets to watch: Nikkei, JPY crosses

2am – China manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMI (June): manufacturing survey expected to be 51.4 from 51.2, while the non- manufacturing number expected to rise to 54.6 from 54.5. Markets to watch: China indices, CNY crosses

8.55am – Germany unemployment (June): rate expected to hold at 5.7%, while the number of unemployed falls by 10,600. Markets to watch: eurozone indices, EUR crosses

9.30am – UK GDP (Q1, final): growth expected to be 0.2% QoQ and 2% YoY. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

10am – eurozone CPI (June, flash): expected to be 1.2% from 1.4% YoY, while core CPI holds at 0.9%. Market to watch: EUR crosses

2.45pm – US Chicago PMI (June): expected to fall to 58 from 59.4. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

Weekly view

Monday

9am – German IFO business climate (June): expected to rise to 115.1 from 114.6. Markets to watch: eurozone indices, EUR crosses

1.30pm – US durable goods orders, Chicago Federal index (May): durable goods orders expected to fall 0.5% MoM from a 0.7% fall a month earlier, while the Chicago Federal index rises to 0.54 from 0.49. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

Tuesday

3pm – US consumer confidence (June): expected to fall to 116.9 from 117.9. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

Wednesday

3pm – US pending home sales (May): expected to rise 2% YoY. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

3.30pm – US EIA crude inventories (w/e 23 June): stockpiles forecast to fall by 500,000 barrels, from a 2.4 million drop a week earlier. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI 

Thursday

10am – eurozone business confidence (June): forecast to rise to 0.95 from 0.9. Markets to watch: eurozone indices, EUR crosses

1pm – German CPI (June, preliminary): expected to rise 1.3%, after a 1.5% increase a month earlier. Market to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US GDP growth (Q1, final), initial jobless claims (w/e 24 June): growth expected to be 1.2% QoQ, jobless claims expected to be 243K from 241K a week earlier. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

Friday

12.30am – Japan CPI (May): price growth expected to be 0.3% YoY from 0.4%. Markets to watch: Nikkei, JPY crosses

2am – China manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMI (June): manufacturing survey expected to be 51.4 from 51.2, while the non- manufacturing number expected to rise to 54.6 from 54.5. Markets to watch: China indices, CNY crosses

8.55am – Germany unemployment (June): rate expected to hold at 5.7%, while the number of unemployed falls by 10,600. Markets to watch: eurozone indices, EUR crosses

9.30am – UK GDP (Q1, final): growth expected to be 0.2% QoQ and 2% YoY. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

10am – eurozone CPI (June, flash): expected to be 1.2% from 1.4% YoY, while core CPI holds at 0.9%. Market to watch: EUR crosses

2.45pm – US Chicago PMI (June): expected to fall to 58 from 59.4. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

Company announcements

  Monday 26 Tuesday 27 Wednesday 28 Thursday 29 Friday 30
Full-year earnings

 

Carpetright,

Northgate

Stagecoach,

Dixons Carphone

Greene King,

DS Smith

 

Half/Quarterly earnings

 

Shawbrook

General Mills,

Monsanto

H&M,

Nike

 

Trading update

 

Petrofac,

Debenhams

Tullow Oil,

Bunzl,

Kier Group

John Wood Group

Trinity Mirror,

Synthomer,

Serco

Upcoming dividends

FTSE ex-dividend dates (29 June):

FTSE 100: Compass Group (27 June, special dividend), Int’l Cons Airlines, Coca-Cola HBC, British Land, Royal Mail, Babcock

FTSE 250: NEX Group, Cranswick, Tate & Lyle

Index dividend adjustments

  Monday  Tuesday  Wednesday  Thursday  Friday  Monday
FTSE 100

 

 

 

 

 

 
Australia 200

 

 

11.5

0.1

 

 
Wall Street

 

 

 

 

3.4  
US 500   0.48 0.08 0.12 0.22  
Nasdaq   0.4   0.7    
France 40           2.3
Netherlands 25           0.53
EU Stocks 50           0.8
China H-Shares 2.7 7.2 51.6   53.1 7.2
Singapore Blue Chip            
Hong Kong HS50     36.2 7.3 62  
South Africa 40   9        
Italy 40            
Japan 225   26.2        

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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