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The Week Ahead
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Week commencing 12 November
Chris Beauchamp, market analyst
After weeks of activity and high profile events, this week is slightly quieter. UK data, such as the consumer price index (CPI) and unemployment, dominate the economic agenda, but we also have CPI from the US and the eurozone.
Key earnings this week are from Vodafone and Royal Mail in the UK, plus Cisco and Wal-Mart in the US.
Economic reports
Week commencing 12 November
Monday
None
Tuesday
12.30am – Australia NAB business confidence (October): index to rise to 12 from 6. Market to watch: AUD crosses
9.30am – UK employment data: claimant count to rise by 3200 from 18,500 in October, while unemployment rate holds at 4%, and average hourly earnings rise 2.6% in September. Market to watch: GBP croses
10am – German ZEW (November): economic sentiment to rise to -12 from -24.7. Market to watch: EUR crosses
11.30pm – Australia Westpac consumer confidence (November): index to rise to 103 from 101.5. Market to watch: AUD crosses
11.50pm – Japan GDP (Q3, preliminary): forecast to be -0.3% QoQ from 0.7%. Market to watch: JPY crosses
Wednesday
7am – German GDP (Q3, flash): QoQ to fall to -0.2% from 0.5%, and YoY to be 1.7% from 2%. Market to watch: EUR crosses
9.30am – UK CPI (October): prices to rise 0.2% MoM and 2.6% YoY from 0.1% and 2.4% respectively. Core CPI to be 2.2% from 1.9% YoY. Market to watch: GBP crosses
10am – eurozone GDP (Q3, 2nd estimate): QoQ growth to be 0.2% from 0.4%. Market to watch: EUR crosses
1.30pm – US CPI (October): prices to rise 0.3% MoM and 2.4% YoY, from 0.1% and 2.3% respectively. Core CPI to rise 0.2% MoM from 0.1%. Market to watch: USD crosses
Thursday
12.30am – Australia employment data (October): unemplyoement rate to rise to 5.3% from 5%. Market to watch: AUD crosses
9.30am – UK retail sales (October): sales to fall 0.4% MoM and rise 3.6% YoY from -0.8% and 3% respectively. Market to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm – US Empire state mfg index (November), retail sales (October): index to fall to 20.5 from 21.1. Sales to rise 0.4% MoM from 0.1%. Market to watch: USD crosses
4pm – US EIA crude inventories (w/e 9 November): delayed by a day due to Veterans Day, stockpiles to rise by 1.9 million barrels from an increase of 5.7 million a week earlier. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
Friday
10am – eurozone CPI (October): prices to rise 0.1% MoM from 0.5%, and increase 2.2% YoY from 2.1%. Core CPI to be 0.9% YoY. Market to watch: EUR crosses
Weekly view
Monday
None
Tuesday
12.30am – Australia NAB business confidence (October): index to rise to 12 from 6. Market to watch: AUD crosses
9.30am – UK employment data: claimant count to rise by 3200 from 18,500 in October, while unemployment rate holds at 4%, and average hourly earnings rise 2.6% in September. Market to watch: GBP croses
10am – German ZEW (November): economic sentiment to rise to -12 from -24.7. Market to watch: EUR crosses
11.30pm – Australia Westpac consumer confidence (Novemnber): index to rise to 103 from 101.5. Market to watch: AUD crosses
11.50pm – Japan GDP (Q3, preliminary): forecast to be -0.3% QoQ from 0.7%. Market to watch: JPY crosses
Wednesday
7am – German GDP (Q3, flash): QoQ to fall to -0.2% from 0.5%, and YoY to be 1.7% from 2%. Market to watch: EUR crosses
9.30am – UK CPI (October): prices to rise 0.2% MoM and 2.6% YoY from 0.1% and 2.4% respectively. Core CPI to be 2.2% from 1.9% YoY. Market to watch: GBP crosses
10am – eurozone GDP (Q3, 2nd estimate): QoQ growth to be 0.2% from 0.4%. Market to watch: EUR crosses
1.30pm – US CPI (October): prices to rise 0.3% MoM and 2.4% YoY, from 0.1% and 2.3% respectively. Core CPI to rise 0.2% MoM from 0.1%. Market to watch: USD crosses
Thursday
12.30am – Australia employment data (October): unemplyoement rate to rise to 5.3% from 5%. Market to watch: AUD crosses
9.30am – UK retail sales (October): sales to fall 0.4% MoM and rise 3.6% YoY from -0.8% and 3% respectively. Market to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm – US Empire state mfg index (November), retail sales (October): index to fall to 20.5 from 21.1. Sales to rise 0.4% MoM from 0.1%. Market to watch: USD crosses
4pm – US EIA crude inventories (w/e 9 November): delayed by a day due to Veterans Day, stockpiles to rise by 1.9 million barrels from an increase of 5.7 million a week earlier. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
Friday
10am – eurozone CPI (October): prices to rise 0.1% MoM from 0.5%, and increase 2.2% YoY from 2.1%. Core CPI to be 0.9% YoY. Market to watch: EUR crosses
Company announcements
Upcoming dividends (15 November)
FTSE 100: Bunzl, GlaxoSmithKline, Shell, Marks & Spencer, Sainsbury's, Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust
FTSE 250: Genus, Dunelm, Spire Healthcare, Sophos
Dividends are applied after the close of the previous day’s session for each market. So, for example, the FTSE 100 goes ex-dividend on a Thursday, but the adjustment is applied at the close of the previous day e.g. Wednesday. The table below shows the days in which the adjustment is applied, not the ex-dividend days.
Index dividend adjustments
| Monday 12 November | Tuesday 13 November | Wednesday 14 November | Thursday 15 November | Friday 16 November | Monday 19 November | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTSE 100 |
|
|
16.10 |
|||
| Australia 200 | 12.0 |
0.1 | 0.3 | |||
| Wall Street |
|
3.1 | 14.3 | |||
| US 500 | 0.09 | 0.71 | 0.87 | 0.20 | 0.09 | 0.21 |
| Nasdaq | 3.53 | 1.51 | 0.04 | 0.10 | 0.27 | |
| France 40 | 0.2 | |||||
| Netherlands 25 | 1.30 | |||||
| EU Stocks 50 | ||||||
| China H-Shares | ||||||
| Singapore Blue Chip | 0.07 | 0.06 | ||||
| Hong Kong HS50 | 8.4 | |||||
| South Africa 40 | 14.0 | |||||
| Italy 40 | 44.7 | |||||
| Japan 225 |
|
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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.
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