The Week Ahead
Week commencing 9 February
Chris Beauchamp's insight
A delayed US payrolls report and monthly US inflation figures dominate the week, while Japan’s election will be key for near-term direction in Japanese yen currency pairs and the Nikkei 225. Earnings from McDonald’s provide an insight into the global economy, while Coinbase’s earnings come at an interesting time given the recent weakness in cryptocurrencies. In the United Kingdom (UK), index heavyweight AstraZeneca reports, along with BP and NatWest.
Economic reports
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Weekly view
12am – Japan general election: this sees the current PM look to provide a mandate for more fiscal stimulus. Markets to watch: Nikkei 225, JPY crosses
1.30pm – US retail sales (December): sales expected to rise 0.4%, down from 0.6%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
1.30am – China consumer price index (CPI) (January): prices expected to rise 0.6% month-on-month (MoM) and 0.7% year-on-year (YoY), from 0.2% and 0.8%. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
1.30pm – US non-farm payrolls (NFPs) (January): delayed from the previous Friday, 40,000 jobs expected for the month, down from 50,000 a month earlier. Unemployment rate expected to rise to 4.5% from 4.4%. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 6 February): previous week saw stockpiles fall by 3.5 million barrels. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
7am – UK gross domestic product (GDP) (fourth quarter (Q4), preliminary): quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) growth expected to rise to 0.2% from 0.1%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 7 February). Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm – US existing home sales (January): sales forecast to fall 3.4%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
1.30pm – US CPI (January): prices expected to rise 0.1% MoM and 2.4% YoY, down from 0.3% and 2.7% respectively. Core inflation forecast to be 0.2% MoM and 2.5% YoY, from 0.2% and 2.6%. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
Monday
12am – Japan general election: this sees the current PM look to provide a mandate for more fiscal stimulus. Markets to watch: Nikkei 225, JPY crosses
Tuesday
1.30pm – US retail sales (December): sales expected to rise 0.4%, down from 0.6%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Wednesday
1.30am – China CPI (January): prices expected to rise 0.6% MoM and 0.7% YoY, from 0.2% and 0.8%. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
1.30pm – US non-farm payrolls (January): delayed from the previous Friday, 40,000 jobs expected for the month, down from 50,000 a month earlier. Unemployment rate expected to rise to 4.5% from 4.4%. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 6 February): previous week saw stockpiles fall by 3.5 million barrels. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
Thursday
7am – UK GDP (Q4, preliminary): QoQ growth expected to rise to 0.2% from 0.1%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 7 February). Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm – US existing home sales (January): sales forecast to fall 3.4%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Friday
1.30pm – US CPI (January): prices expected to rise 0.1% MoM and 2.4% YoY, down from 0.3% and 2.7% respectively. Core inflation forecast to be 0.2% MoM and 2.5% YoY, from 0.2% and 2.6%. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
Company announcements
Dividends
FTSE ex-dividend dates (12th February 2026):
FTSE 100: Pershing Square
FTSE 250: International Public Partnerships, Rank, Greencoat UK Wind, ICG Graphite Enterprise Trust, Impax Environmental Markets, Target Healthcare, Carnival
Index adjustments
|
Monday 9 February |
Tuesday 10 February |
Wednesday 11 February |
Thursday 12 February |
Friday 13 February |
Monday 16 February |
| FTSE 100 | 0.07 | |||||
| Australia 200 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | |||
| Wall Street | 14.5 | 20.3 | 11.0 | |||
| US 500 | 0.46 | 0.19 | 0.57 | 1.16 | 0.84 | |
| Nasdaq 100 | 0.99 | 0.23 | 3.03 | 0.31 | ||
| Netherlands 25 | ||||||
| US Russell 2000 | 0.13 | 0.07 | 0.03 | 0.56 | 0.01 | 0.31 |
| China H-Shares | ||||||
| Japan 225 | ||||||
| Hong Kong HS50 | ||||||
| South Africa 40 | ||||||
| France 40 | ||||||
| Stoxx 600 | 5.6 |
* Please note these can change without notice
1 Dividend adjustments due to be posted on a bank holiday will usually be posted on the previous working day
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