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The Week Ahead
Read about upcoming market-moving events and plan your trading week
Week commencing 24 January
Chris Beauchamp’s insight
Earnings season is in full flow, and major names like Tesla, Microsoft and Apple report this week. But we also have a vital Fed decision on Wednesday, where the US central bank is expected to lay out a more hawkish policy that may include rate rises as early as March. In addition, flash PMIs from around the globe will provide the potential for further volatility.
Economic reports
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Weekly view
12.30am – Japan PMIs (January, flash): services PMI to fall to 52 and mfg to drop to 54. Markets to watch: Nikkei, JPY crosses
8.15am – 9am – French, German, eurozone PMIs (January, flash): some weakness expected in these readings, but they are still forecast to remain firmly in expansion territory. Markets to watch: eurozone indices, EUR crosses
9.30am – UK PMIs (January, flash): services PMI to rise to 54 and mfg PMI to fall to 57. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
2.45pm – US PMIs (January, flash): mfg PMI to fall to 57 and services to fall to 57.1. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
12.30am – Australia inflation (Q4): prices to rise 0.5% QoQ. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
9am – German IFO index (January): business climate index to rise to 96.5. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
3pm – US consumer confidence (January): index to fall to 113. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm – Bank of Canada rate decision: no change in rates expected, but more hawkish commentary may boost CAD. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
3pm – US new home sales (December): sales expected to rise 0.3% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 21 January): previous week saw stockpiles rise by 515,000 barrels. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
7pm – FOMC rate decision: while policy is not expected to change, recent hawkish commentary suggests that a rate rise may come as soon as March. Other commentary surrounding the winding down of QE is also to be expected. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
1.30pm – US durable goods orders (December), GDP (Q4, preliminary), initial jobless claims (w/e 22 January): orders expected to fall 0.2% MoM, while GDP to grow 5.8% QoQ from 2.3% in Q3. Claims to rise to 295K from 286K. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
3pm – US pending home sales (December): sales to rise 0.4% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses
1.30pm – US PCE price index (December): the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, index expected to rise 0.4% MoM and 5.9% YoY. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Monday
12.30am – Japan PMIs (January, flash): services PMI to fall to 52 and mfg to drop to 54. Markets to watch: Nikkei, JPY crosses
8.15am – 9am – French, German, eurozone PMIs (January, flash): some weakness expected in these readings, but they are still forecast to remain firmly in expansion territory. Markets to watch: eurozone indices, EUR crosses
9.30am – UK PMIs (January, flash): services PMI to rise to 54 and mfg PMI to fall to 57. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
2.45pm – US PMIs (January, flash): mfg PMI to fall to 57 and services to fall to 57.1. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
Tuesday
12.30am – Australia inflation (Q4): prices to rise 0.5% QoQ. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
9am – German IFO index (January): business climate index to rise to 96.5. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
3pm – US consumer confidence (January): index to fall to 113. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Wednesday
3pm – Bank of Canada rate decision: no change in rates expected, but more hawkish commentary may boost CAD. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
3pm – US new home sales (December): sales expected to rise 0.3% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 21 January): previous week saw stockpiles rise by 515,000 barrels. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
7pm – FOMC rate decision: while policy is not expected to change, recent hawkish commentary suggests that a rate rise may come as soon as March. Other commentary surrounding the winding down of QE is also to be expected. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
Thursday
1.30pm – US durable goods orders (December), GDP (Q4, preliminary), initial jobless claims (w/e 22 January): orders expected to fall 0.2% MoM, while GDP to grow 5.8% QoQ from 2.3% in Q3. Claims to rise to 295K from 286K. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
3pm – US pending home sales (December): sales to rise 0.4% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Friday
1.30pm – US PCE price index (December): the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, index expected to rise 0.4% MoM and 5.9% YoY. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Company announcements
|
Monday |
Tuesday |
Wednesday |
Thursday |
Friday |
| Full-year earnings |
|
H&M | |||
| Half/ Quarterly earnings
|
Philips, IBM |
Logitech, Microsoft, AMD, Verizon, Johnson & Johnson |
Tesla, Boeing, Intel, AT&T |
Diageo, McDonald’s, Apple |
Caterpillar, Chevron |
| Trading update
|
Computacenter | Pets at Home | Tate & Lyle, easyJet |
Dividends
FTSE 100: None
FTSE 250: Pennon, Victrex, Paragon Banking Group, City of London Inv Trust
Dividends are applied after the close of the previous day’s session for each market. So, for example, the FTSE 100 goes ex-dividend on a Thursday, but the adjustment is applied at the close of the previous day, e.g. Wednesday. The table below shows the days in which the adjustment is applied, not the ex-dividend days.
Index adjustments
|
Monday 24 January |
Tuesday 25 January |
Wednesday 26 January |
Thursday 27 January |
Friday 28 January |
31 January |
| FTSE 100 |
|
|||||
| Australia 200 | ||||||
| Wall Street | ||||||
| US 500 | 0.02 | 0.06 | 0.28 | 0.52 | 0.08 | 0.02 |
| Nasdaq | 1.41 | 0.19 | ||||
| Netherlands 25 | ||||||
| EU Stocks 50 | ||||||
| China H-Shares | ||||||
| Singapore Blue Chip | 0.12 | 0.08 | ||||
| Hong Kong HS50 | ||||||
| South Africa 40 | 7.5 | |||||
| Italy 40 | ||||||
| Japan 225 | 1.6 |
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