The Week Ahead
Week commencing 11 May
Chris Beauchamp's insight
Following on from non-farm payrolls last week, this week’s big datapoint is US inflation, likely to be the key driver for the whole week. German ZEW data is expected to show a deterioration of sentiment among businesses thanks to the conflict in the Middle East. US earnings season has begun to thin out, now that most of the heavyweight names have reported, but in the UK Vodafone, Greggs and Imperial Brands are among those reporting.
Economic reports
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Weekly view
2.30am – China inflation (April): previous reading 1% YoY. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
3pm – US existing home sales (April): sales expected to fall 0.7% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses
10am - German ZEW index (May): economic sentiment index expected to fall to -26 from -17. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
1.30pm – US inflation (April): prices forecast to rise 0.5% MoM and 3.6% YoY, from 0.9% and 3.3%. Core CPI expected to be 0.2% MoM and 2.6%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
1.30pm – US PPI (April): prices expected to rise 0.2%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 8 May): stockpiles fell by 2.3 million barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
7am – UK GDP (Q1, preliminary): growth expected to be 0.3% QoQ from 0.1%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm – US retail sales (April): sales forecast to rise 0.1%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
1.30pm – US NY Empire mfg index (May): index to slum to 4 from 11. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Monday
2.30am – China inflation (April): previous reading 1% YoY. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
3pm – US existing home sales (April): sales expected to fall 0.7% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Tuesday
10am - German ZEW index (May): economic sentiment index expected to fall to -26 from -17. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
1.30pm – US inflation (April): prices forecast to rise 0.5% MoM and 3.6% YoY, from 0.9% and 3.3%. Core CPI expected to be 0.2% MoM and 2.6%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Wednesday
1.30pm – US PPI (April): prices expected to rise 0.2%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 8 May): stockpiles fell by 2.3 million barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
Thursday
7am – UK GDP (Q1, preliminary): growth expected to be 0.3% QoQ from 0.1%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm – US retail sales (April): sales forecast to rise 0.1%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Friday
1.30pm – US NY Empire mfg index (May): index to slum to 4 from 11. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Company announcements
Dividends
FTSE ex-dividend dates (11th May):
FTSE 100: Pershing Square, Coca-Cola HBC, Tesco, BP, GSX, Unilever, HSBC
FTSE 250: Morgan Sindall, PageGroup, Lancashire Holdings, Balfour Beatty
Index adjustments
|
Monday 30 March |
Tuesday 31 March |
Wednesday 1 April |
Thursday 2 April |
Friday 3 April |
Monday 6 April |
| FTSE 100 | 0.71 | |||||
| Australia 200 | 0.2 | 0.4 | ||||
| Wall Street | 8.4 | 9.2 | ||||
| US 500 | 0.60 | 0.28 | 0.48 | 0.50 | 0.06 | |
| Nasdaq 100 | 0.99 | 1.59 | 2.25 | 0.13 | ||
| Netherlands 25 | ||||||
| US Russell 2000 | 1.07 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.04 | 0.07 | |
| China H-Shares | 2.3 | |||||
| Japan 225 | ||||||
| Hong Kong HS50 | 3.9 | |||||
| South Africa 40 | 201 | |||||
| France 40 | 7.8 | |||||
| Stoxx 600 | 2.6 | 4.9 |
* Please note these can change without notice
1 Dividend adjustments due to be posted on a bank holiday will usually be posted on the previous working day
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