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Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

The Week Ahead

Week commencing 13 October

Chris Beauchamp insight

US earnings season gets underway in earnest this week as banks report third quarter (Q3) figures. Railroad group CSX and United Airlines will also publish their latest earnings, providing a focus as US stock markets hit new record highs. UK corporate data is also plentiful, including housebuilder Bellway, mining firm Rio Tinto and hotel operator Whitbread. 

The important US inflation reading will still be released this week despite the government shutdown, but the weekly jobless claims figure is likely to be delayed.

Economic reports

  • Monday
  • Tuesday
  • Wednesday
  • Thursday
  • Friday
  • Weekly view

4am – China trade data (September): exports expected to rise 5.2% year-on-year (YoY). Markets to watch: CNH crosses

7am – UK unemployment rate (August): rate expected to hold at 4.7%. Average earnings expected to have risen 4.4% for the three months to August, down from 4.7% a month earlier. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

10am – German ZEW index (October): index expected to fall to 30 from 37.3. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

2.30am – China consumer price index (CPI) (September): prices expected to have fallen 0.2% YoY and risen 0.1% MoM. Markets to watch: CNH crosses

1.30pm – US CPI (September): headline CPI forecast to rise 0.4% MoM and 3% YoY, from 0.4% and 2.9% last month. Core CPI expected to be 0.3% MoM and 3% YoY, from 0.3% and 3.1%. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

1.30am – Australia employment data (September): expected to rise to 4.3% from 4.2%. Markets to watch: AUD crosses

7am – UK gross domestic product (GDP) (August): growth expected to rise to 0.1% from 0%, and hold at 0.2% for the three months to August. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

1.30pm – US retail sales, producer price index (PPI) (September), initial jobless claims (w/e 11 October):  retail sales expected to rise 0.2% and PPI to rise to 0.5% from -0.1% MoM. Claims may not be released due to the government shutdown. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

5pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 10 October): stockpiles rose by 3.72 million barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI

None

Monday

4am – China trade data (September): exports expected to rise 5.2% YoY. Markets to watch: CNH crosses

 

Tuesday

7am – UK unemployment rate (August): rate expected to hold at 4.7%. Average earnings expected to have risen 4.4% for the three months to August, down from 4.7% a month earlier. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

10am – German ZEW index (October): index expected to fall to 30 from 37.3. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

 

Wednesday

2.30am – China CPI (September): prices expected to have fallen 0.2% YoY and risen 0.1% month-on-month (MoM). Markets to watch: CNH crosses

1.30pm – US CPI (September): headline CPI forecast to rise 0.4% MoM and 3% YoY, from 0.4% and 2.9% last month. Core CPI expected to be 0.3% MoM and 3% YoY, from 0.3% and 3.1%. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

 

Thursday

1.30am – Australia employment data (September): expected to rise to 4.3% from 4.2%. Markets to watch: AUD crosses

7am – UK GDP (August): growth expected to rise to 0.1% from 0%, and hold at 0.2% for the three months to August. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

1.30pm – US retail sales, PPI (September), initial jobless claims (w/e 11 October): retail sales expected to rise 0.2% and PPI to rise to 0.5% from -0.1% MoM. Claims may not be released due to the government shutdown. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

5pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 10 October): stockpiles rose by 3.72 million barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI

 

Friday

None

Company announcements

 

 

Monday
13 October

Tuesday
14 October

Wednesday 15 October

Thursday
16 October

Friday
17 October

Full-year earnings

  Bellway  

 

 

Half/ Quarterly earnings

Rio Tinto

Bytes Technology,

DiscoverIE,

Mitie,

Oxford Instruments,

Domino's Pizza,

Ashmore,

BlackRock,

Johnson & Johnson,

Wells Fargo,

Citigroup,

JPMorgan,

Goldman Sachs 

Entain,

PageGroup,

Jupiter Fund Management,

Rathbones,

Bank of America,

Morgan Stanley,

United Airlines

Travis Perkins,

Whitbread,

Atalaya Mining,

Croda,

CSX 

Pearson

 

Trading update  

 

 

 

 

 

Dividends

FTSE ex-dividend dates (10 October):

FTSE 100: Howden JoineryDiageoSpiraxPersimmonGames WorkshopSmiths

FTSE 250: CoatsITVSeniorHaysAnglo-Eastern Plantations

Index adjustments

 

Monday
13 October
Tuesday
14 October
Wednesday
15 October
Thursday
16 October
Friday
17 October
Monday
20 October
FTSE 100     5.40      
Australia 200   0.1        
Wall Street         9.3  
US 500 0.10 0.51 0.01 0.13 0.09 0.02
Nasdaq 100            
Netherlands 25            
US Russell 2000 0.01 0.10 0.30 0.09 0.01 0.03
China H-Shares       0.9 0.6  
Japan 225            
Hong Kong HS50       1.8 1.1 1.5
South Africa 40   68.3        
France 40 2.5          
Stoxx 600 0.8          

* Please note these can change without notice

1 Dividend adjustments due to be posted on a bank holiday will usually be posted on the previous working day

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