The Week Ahead
Week commencing 24 August
Axel Rudolph's insight
German business climate, US consumer confidence, core PCE inflation, durable goods orders and EIA crude oil inventories will be closely watched alongside last week’s strong crypto rally ahead of possible updates on policy at Jackson Hole where the world’s central bankers will gather later in the week. On the corporate front, Q2 Nvidia earnings will round off earnings season.
Economic reports
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Weekly view
1.30pm – US Chicago Fed index (July): expected to rise to 0.1 from -0.2. Markets to watch: USD crosses
9am – German IFO business climate index (August): expected to fall to 85.9 from 86.6. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
3pm – US consumer confidence (August), new home sales (July): confidence forecast to rise to 90.9 from 90.8. New home sales to fall 1.3% MoM versus a 1.6% rise in June. Markets to watch: USD crosses
2.30am – Australia inflation (July): forecast to be 3.2% YoY and 0.7% MoM, from 3.8% and -0.1% respectively. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
1.30pm – US PCE price index (July), GDP (Q2, 2nd estimate), durable goods orders: core price index expected to rise 0.3% MoM, GDP to be 1.5% and durable goods expected to rise 0.3% excluding transportation orders, from 0.6%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 21 August): stockpiles rose by 4.405 million barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
Jackson Hole Economic Symposium starts: the world’s central bankers gather in the US to discuss policy. Previous meetings have resulted in important updates on policy. Markets to watch: Major indices & FX
7am – German consumer confidence (September): confidence expected to fall to -30 from -29.6.
1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 22 August): forecast at 210k versus 206K in the prior week. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Jackson Hole meeting continues
8.55am – German unemployment rate (August): expected to fall to 6.3% from 6.4%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
1.30pm – Canada GDP (Q2): growth expected to be 0.6% QoQ from 0%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
2.45pm – US Chicago PMI (August): index forecast to fall to 56.1 from 57.6. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm – Non Farm Payrolls Annual Revision (prel): previously -911K
Monday
1.30pm – US Chicago Fed index (July): expected to rise to 0.1 from -0.2. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Tuesday
9am – German IFO business climate index (August): expected to fall to 85.9 from 86.6. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
3pm – US consumer confidence (August), new home sales (July): confidence forecast to rise to 90.9 from 90.8. New home sales to fall 1.3% MoM versus a 1.6% rise in June. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Wednesday
2.30am – Australia inflation (July): forecast to be 3.2% YoY and 0.7% MoM, from 3.8% and -0.1% respectively. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
1.30pm – US PCE price index (July), GDP (Q2, 2nd estimate), durable goods orders: core price index expected to rise 0.3% MoM, GDP to be 1.5% and durable goods expected to rise 0.3% excluding transportation orders, from 0.6%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 21 August): stockpiles rose by 4.405 million barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
Thursday
Jackson Hole Economic Symposium starts: the world’s central bankers gather in the US to discuss policy. Previous meetings have resulted in important updates on policy. Markets to watch: Major indices & FX
7am – German consumer confidence (September): confidence expected to fall to -30 from -29.6.
1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 22 August): forecast at 210k versus 206K in the prior week. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Friday
Jackson Hole meeting continues
8.55am – German unemployment rate (August): expected to fall to 6.3% from 6.4%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
1.30pm – Canada GDP (Q2): growth expected to be 0.6% QoQ from 0%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
2.45pm – US Chicago PMI (August): index forecast to fall to 56.1 from 57.6. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm – Non Farm Payrolls Annual Revision (prel): previously -911K
Company announcements
|
Dividends
FTSE ex-dividend dates (27th August):
FTSE 100: Glencore, AutoTrader, Games Workshop, Croda, Alliance Witan
FTSE 250: Dr Martens, Currys, ZIGUP, HICL Infrastructure, RHI Magnesita, Clarkson, Quilter, Michael Page, Serco, Genuit, Savills
Index adjustments
|
Monday 30 March |
Tuesday 31 March |
Wednesday 1 April |
Thursday 2 April |
Friday 3 April |
Monday 6 April |
| FTSE 100 | 0.71 | |||||
| Australia 200 | 0.2 | 0.4 | ||||
| Wall Street | 8.4 | 9.2 | ||||
| US 500 | 0.60 | 0.28 | 0.48 | 0.50 | 0.06 | |
| Nasdaq 100 | 0.99 | 1.59 | 2.25 | 0.13 | ||
| Netherlands 25 | ||||||
| US Russell 2000 | 1.07 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.04 | 0.07 | |
| China H-Shares | 2.3 | |||||
| Japan 225 | ||||||
| Hong Kong HS50 | 3.9 | |||||
| South Africa 40 | 201 | |||||
| France 40 | 7.8 | |||||
| Stoxx 600 | 2.6 | 4.9 |
* Please note these can change without notice
1 Dividend adjustments due to be posted on a bank holiday will usually be posted on the previous working day
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