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The Week Ahead

Read about upcoming market-moving events and plan your trading week

Week commencing 25 October

Chris Beauchamp’s insight

It is an action-packed week, as central banks, economic data and earnings come through thick and fast. Key events of the week include the Bank of Japan and the ECB, plus preliminary GDP figures from several key economies. Earnings see a host of big names reporting, including UK banks Lloyds and NatWest, oil giant Shell and US tech titans like Facebook, Alphabet, Apple and Amazon.

Economic reports

  • Monday
  • Tuesday
  • Wednesday
  • Thursday
  • Friday
  • Weekly view

9am – German IFO index (October): business climate index to rise to 99.5. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US Chicago Fed nat’l activity index (September): previous reading 0.29. Markets to watch: USD crosses

3pm – US new home sales, consumer confidence (September): sales to rise 0.4% MoM and confidence index to edge down to 109. Markets to watch: USD crosses

7am – German GfK consumer confidence (November): index to rise to 1 from 0.3. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US durable goods orders (September): orders to fall 0.2% MoM and rise 0.4% excluding transportation orders. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

3pm – Bank of Canada policy decision: no change in 0.25% rate expected. Markets to watch: CAD crosses

3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 22 October): previous week saw stockpiles fall by 400,000 barrels. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI

4am – BoJ rate decision: no change in -0.1% rate expected. Markets to watch: JPY crosses

8.55am – German unemployment (October): rate to hold at 5.5%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

12.45pm – ECB decision: rates expected to remain on hold, but given strong inflation data some commentary around the outlook could influence EUR. Markets to watch: eurozone indices, EUR crosses

1pm – German inflation (October, preliminary): prices to rise 4.2% YoY. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US GDP (Q3, advance reading), initial jobless claims (w/e 23 October): growth to be 3.2% QoQ from 6.7% in Q2. Claims to fall to 283K. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

3pm – US pending home sales (September): sales rose 8.1% MoM in August. Markets to watch: USD crosses

6am – Japan consumer confidence (October): September reading 37.8. Markets to watch: JPY crosses

8am – German GDP (Q3, flash): growth to be 3.8% QoQ and 4.2% YoY. Markets to watch: eurozone indices, EUR crosses

10am – eurozone inflation (October, flash): YoY figure to rise to 3.7%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US personal income & spending, PCE pride index (September): income to rise 0.3% and spending to increase 0.6%, while PCE prices index rises 0.5% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses

2.45pm – US Chicago PMI (October): expected to fall to 64.6. Markets to watch: USD crosses

Monday

9am – German IFO index (October): business climate index to rise to 99.5. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US Chicago Fed nat’l activity index (September): previous reading 0.29. Markets to watch: USD crosses

Tuesday

3pm – US new home sales, consumer confidence (September): sales to rise 0.4% MoM and confidence index to edge down to 109. Markets to watch: USD crosses

Wednesday

7am – German GfK consumer confidence (November): index to rise to 1 from 0.3. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US durable goods orders (September): orders to fall 0.2% MoM and rise 0.4% excluding transportation orders. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

3pm – Bank of Canada policy decision: no change in 0.25% rate expected. Markets to watch: CAD crosses

3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 22 October): previous week saw stockpiles fall by 400,000 barrels. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI

Thursday

4am – BoJ rate decision: no change in -0.1% rate expected. Markets to watch: JPY crosses

8.55am – German unemployment (October): rate to hold at 5.5%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

12.45pm – ECB decision: rates expected to remain on hold, but given strong inflation data some commentary around the outlook could influence EUR. Markets to watch: eurozone indices, EUR crosses

1pm – German inflation (October, preliminary): prices to rise 4.2% YoY. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US GDP (Q3, advance reading), initial jobless claims (w/e 23 October): growth to be 3.2% QoQ from 6.7% in Q2. Claims to fall to 283K. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

3pm – US pending home sales (September): sales rose 8.1% MoM in August. Markets to watch: USD crosses

Friday

6am – Japan consumer confidence (October): September reading 37.8. Markets to watch: JPY crosses

8am – German GDP (Q3, flash): growth to be 3.8% QoQ and 4.2% YoY. Markets to watch: eurozone indices, EUR crosses

10am – eurozone inflation (October, flash): YoY figure to rise to 3.7%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US personal income & spending, PCE pride index (September): income to rise 0.3% and spending to increase 0.6%, while PCE prices index rises 0.5% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses

2.45pm – US Chicago PMI (October): expected to fall to 64.6. Markets to watch: USD crosses

Company announcements

Monday
25 October

Tuesday
26 October

Wednesday
27 October

Thursday
28 October

Friday
29 October

Full-year earnings

Half/ Quarterly earnings

HSBC,
Facebook
Whitbread,
Microsoft,
Alphabet,
Twitter
Wickes,
GSK,
Deutsche Bank,
Coca-Cola,
Ford,
Boeing
Lloyds,
Shell,
Caterpillar,
Apple,
Amazon
NatWest,
Chevron,
ExxonMobil

Trading update

Reckitt Benckiser,
Bunzl

Dividends

FTSE 100: Ferguson

FTSE 250: Morgan Advanced Materials, Hammerson, Dechra Pharmaceuticals, Dunelm, City of London Inv Trust, Bankers Inv Trust, Sequoia Fund, Hipgnosis Songs Fund

Dividends are applied after the close of the previous day’s session for each market. So, for example, the FTSE 100 goes ex-dividend on a Thursday, but the adjustment is applied at the close of the previous day, e.g. Wednesday. The table below shows the days in which the adjustment is applied, not the ex-dividend days.

Index adjustments

Monday
25 October
Tuesday
26 October
Wednesday
27 October
Thursday
28 October
Friday
29 October
Monday
1 November
FTSE 100

1.00
Australia 200 0.5 0.1
Wall Street
US 500 0.02 0.08 0.23 0.52 0.02 0.03
Nasdaq 0.37 1.37 0.18
Netherlands 25 0.29
EU Stocks 50 1.6 1.0
China H-Shares
Singapore Blue Chip 0.09 0.09
Hong Kong HS50
South Africa 40
Italy 40 9.2
Japan 225

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