The Week Ahead
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Week commencing 9 September
Chris Beauchamp's insight
This week’s events take place in the shadow of the previous week’s payrolls report and next week’s Federal Reserve bank (Fed) rate decision. US consumer price index (CPI) provides a useful interlude between the two, though it can be argued that inflation isn’t really the main event now that the Fed has signalled a focus on the jobs market. The European Central Bank (ECB) is also expected to cut rates this week. Given the overriding focus on the macro picture, it is a relief that the equity calendar is so light.
Economic reports
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Weekly view
2.30am – China inflation (August): CPI forecast to be 0.5% Year-over-year (YoY) and 0.3% Month on month (MoM), from 0.5% and 0.5% respectively. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
7am – UK unemployment rate (July): forecast to rise to 4.5%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
7am – UK GDP (July): forecast to rise 0.2%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm – US CPI (August): prices expected to rise by 0.2% MoM and 2.6% YoY, from 0.2% and 2.9%. Core CPI to rise 0.3% and 3.2% respectively, from 0.2% and 3.2%. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 6 September): Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
1.15pm – ECB rate decision: rates expected to be cut to 4% from 4.25%. Markets to watch: eurozone indices, EUR crosses
1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 7 Sep), PPI (August): claims fell to 227K in the preceding week, while producer price index (PPI) forecast to hold at 0.1% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm – US Michigan confidence index (September, preliminary): index expected to fall to 67.4 from 67.9. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Monday
2.30am – China inflation (August): CPI forecast to be 0.5% YoY and 0.3% MoM, from 0.5% and 0.5% respectively. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
Tuesday
7am – UK unemployment rate (July): forecast to rise to 4.5%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
Wednesday
7am – UK GDP (July): forecast to rise 0.2%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm – US CPI (August): prices expected to rise by 0.2% MoM and 2.6% YoY, from 0.2% and 2.9%. Core CPI to rise 0.3% and 3.2% respectively, from 0.2% and 3.2%. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 6 September): Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
Thursday
1.15pm – ECB rate decision: rates expected to be cut to 4% from 4.25%. Markets to watch: eurozone indices, EUR crosses
1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 7 Sep), PPI (August): claims fell to 227K in the preceding week, while PPI forecast to hold at 0.1% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Friday
3pm – US Michigan confidence index (September, preliminary): index expected to fall to 67.4 from 67.9. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Company announcements
Dividends
FTSE 100: Berkeley Group , Endeavour Mining, Intertek, M&G
FTSE 250: Baltic Classifieds, Goodwin, Grafton, Direct Line, Alpha Group, Int’l Public Partnerships, Apax Global, Bakkavor
Dividends are applied after the close of the previous day’s session for each market. So, for example, the FTSE 100 goes ex-dividend on a Thursday, but the adjustment is applied at the close of the previous day, e.g. Wednesday. The table below shows the days in which the adjustment is applied, not the ex-dividend days.
Index adjustments
|
Monday 9 September |
Tuesday 10 September |
Wednesday 11 September |
Thursday 12 September |
Friday 13 September |
Monday 16 September |
FTSE 100 | 1.18 | |||||
Australia 200 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 19.5 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
Wall Street | 6.9 | 2.6 | 3.2 | 18.9 | ||
US 500 | 0.15 | 0.06 | 0.13 | 0.94 | 1.01 | 0.12 |
Nasdaq | 0.16 | 0.47 | 2.50 | 0.40 | ||
Netherlands 25 | ||||||
EU Stocks 50 | ||||||
China H-Shares | 0.3 | 4.3 | 9.8 | 1.0 | ||
Singapore Blue Chip | 0.12 | |||||
Hong Kong HS50 | 2.0 | 9.9 | 22.7 | 4.2 | 1.9 | |
South Africa 40 | 324.9 | |||||
Italy 40 | ||||||
Japan 225 |
* Please note these can change without notice
1 Dividend adjustments due to be posted on a bank holiday will usually be posted on the previous working day
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With 50 years of experience, we’re proud to offer a truly market-leading service