The Week Ahead

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Week commencing 26 October

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Joshua Mahony’s insight

A big week ahead on both the economic and corporate front, with growth and central banks dominating the macro calendar over the course of the week. Central banks from Canada, Japan, and the eurozone look likely to make any changes to monetary policy, yet growth fears could spark a wave of dovish rhetoric. Meanwhile, on the growth front, the week brings the first Q3 readings for both the US and eurozone.

On the corporate front, a huge raft of major names produce their latest earning. UK will see a focus on the banking sector, with HSBC, Lloyds, and NatWest all reporting. Meanwhile, tech comes into view for the US, with Microsoft, Apple, Facebook, Twitter, Amazon, and Alphabet all coming into play. Meanwhile, the energy sector will also play a significant role over the course of the week, with numbers from Chevron, Exxon Mobil, Royal Dutch Shell, and BP all reporting.

Economic reports

  • Monday
  • Tuesday
  • Wednesday
  • Thursday
  • Friday
  • Weekly view

1.30pm – Germany Ifo business climate (October): expected to fall to 91.1 from 93.4. Markets to watch: DAX, EUR crosses

1.30pm – US durable goods orders (Sept): MoM orders expected to fall to 0.1%, from 0.4%. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

3.00pm – BoC rate decision: expected to keep rates steady at 0.25%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses

3.30pm – US EIA crude inventories (w/e 23 Oct): previous week saw stockpiles fall by 1 million barrels. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI

4am – BoJ interest rate decision: Expected to keep rates steady at 0.1%. Markets to watch: JPY crosses.

1.30pm – US GDP (Q3), and unemployment claims (w/e 24 Oct): Q3 GDP expected to rise to 32%, following a Q2 figure of -31.4%. Initial jobless claims forecast to fall to 750k, from 787k, with continuing claims down to 7.9 million from 8.373 million. Markets to watch: Global indices, USD crosses

1.45pm – ECB rate decision: expected to keep rates steady at 0%. Markets to watch: Eurozone indices, EUR crosses

12.30am – Japan unemployment rate (Sept): expected to fall to 2.9%, from 3%. Markets to watch: JPY crosses

11am – eurozone GDP (Q3) and CPI inflation (Oct): Quarterly GDP expected to rise to 7.5%, from -11.8%. YoY growth forecast to remain negative at -8%, from -14.7%. CPI inflation predicted to rise to 0.2% MoM (from 0.1%). Markets to watch: EUR crosses, European indices

Monday

1.30pm – Germany Ifo business climate (October): expected to fall to 91.1 from 93.4. Markets to watch: DAX, EUR crosses

Tuesday

1.30pm – US durable goods orders (Sept): MoM orders expected to fall to 0.1%, from 0.4%. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

Wednesday

3.00pm – BoC rate decision: expected to keep rates steady at 0.25%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses

3.30pm – US EIA crude inventories (w/e 23 Oct): previous week saw stockpiles fall by 1 million barrels. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI

Thursday

4am – BoJ interest rate decision: Expected to keep rates steady at 0.1%. Markets to watch: JPY crosses.

1.30pm – US GDP (Q3), and unemployment claims (w/e 24 Oct): Q3 GDP expected to rise to 32%, following a Q2 figure of -31.4%. Initial jobless claims forecast to fall to 750k, from 787k, with continuing claims down to 7.9 million from 8.373 million. Markets to watch: Global indices, USD crosses

1.45pm – ECB rate decision: expected to keep rates steady at 0%. Markets to watch: Eurozone indices, EUR crosses

Friday

12.30am – Japan unemployment rate (Sept): expected to fall to 2.9%, from 3%. Markets to watch: JPY crosses

11am – eurozone GDP (Q3) and CPI inflation (Oct): Quarterly GDP expected to rise to 7.5%, from -11.8%. YoY growth forecast to remain negative at -8%, from -14.7%. CPI inflation predicted to rise to 0.2% MoM (from 0.1%). Markets to watch: EUR crosses, European indices

Dividends

Upcoming

FTSE 100: None

FTSE 250: Hilton Food Group

Dividends are applied after the close of the previous day’s session for each market. So, for example, the FTSE 100 goes ex-dividend on a Thursday, but the adjustment is applied at the close of the previous day e.g. Wednesday. The table below shows the days in which the adjustment is applied, not the ex-dividend days.

Index adjustments

Monday 26 October Tuesday 27 October Wednesday 28 October Thursday 29 October Friday 30 October Monday 2 November
FTSE 100

1.60
Australia 200 0.3
Wall Street
US 500 0.05 0.27 0.36 0.07 0.02
Nasdaq 1.22 0.22 0.11
Netherlands 25 0.56 0.3
EU Stocks 50 1.3 0.7
China H-Shares
Singapore Blue Chip 0.10 0.28
Hong Kong HS50
South Africa 40
Italy 40
Japan 225

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Enjoy flexible access to more than 17,000 global markets, with reliable execution

Deal seamlessly, wherever you are

Trade on the move with our natively designed, award-winning trading app

Feel secure with a trusted provider

With 45 years' experience, we’re proud to offer a truly market-leading service

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