Tesco set to trade higher ahead of Q1 results as online sales surge

Tesco is expected to see its share price climb higher ahead of its first quarter results on Friday 26 June, with grocer bolstered by the sale of its Polish business and a surge in online sales amid the Covid-19 pandemic.

Tesco is expected to see its share price climb higher ahead of its first quarter (Q1) results on Friday 26 June, with the grocer bolstered by the sale of its Polish business and a surge in online sales amid the Covid-19 pandemic.

The 12 analysts offering 12-month price targets for Tesco have a median of 275p per share with a high estimate of 310p and a low of 220p. Based on the stock trading at 227p per share at the time of publication the median target implies a potential upside of 21%, while the high and low estimate suggests the Tesco could climb as much as 36.5% or decline by 3%.

Tesco agrees sale of Polish business

Earlier this month, the British supermarket chain announced that it has agreed to sell its Polish business in a deal worth around £165 million.

The decision to sell the unit comes after the business recorded a pre-tax loss of £107 million at the end of its previous financial year, with the sale expected to be finalised later in 2020.

‘We have seen significant progress in our business in central Europe, but continue to see market challenges in Poland,’ Tesco CEO Dave Lewis said in a statement. ‘The group will now focus its central European efforts on the remaining businesses in the Czech Republic, Hungary and Slovakia.’

News of the sale had little impact on the Tesco’s share price, but investors will be eager to see how the company plans to deploy the capital raised from the sale to drive growth in other areas of the business.

Tesco sees online grocery sales surge during lockdown

According to a recent report by Kantar, online grocery sales surged in the 12 weeks to 14 June, with the coronavirus pandemic accelerating a shift in shopping habits.

British supermarkets saw take-home sales increase by 13.7% year-on-year over the 12 week period, with revenue growth soaring 18.9% over the last four weeks.

‘Consumers are also contemplating their domestic budgets,’ Fraser McKevitt, head of retail and consumer insight at Kantar said.

‘Two thirds of shoppers are very concerned about the economic outlook for the rest of 2020, and efforts to tighten purse strings can already be seen in a preference among furloughed workers for budget, own-label lines and a move away from more premium products.’

Tesco had the highest market share of the multiples during the 12 weeks to 14 June, at 26.9%, compared to 27.3% a year earlier. Sainsbury's had a market share of 14.9%, Asda 13.9% and Morrisons 10.1%. Meanwhile, Aldi's market share was 7.5%, Waitrose was 4.8% and Iceland was 2.5%.

How to trade stocks with IG

Looking to trade the Tesco and other stocks? Open a live or demo account with IG and buy (long) or sell (short) shares using derivatives like CFDs and spread bets in a few easy steps:

  1. Create an IG trading account or log in to your existing account
  2. Enter ‘Tesco’ in the search bar and select it
  3. Choose your position size
  4. Click on ‘buy’ or ‘sell’ in the deal ticket
  5. Confirm the trade

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

Seize a share opportunity today

Go long or short on thousands of international stocks.

  • Increase your market exposure with leverage
  • Get spreads from just 0.1% on major global shares
  • Trade CFDs straight into order books with direct market access

See opportunity on a stock?

Don’t miss your chance. Try a risk-free trade in your demo account, and find out whether your hunch could have paid off.

  • Log in to your demo
  • Try a risk-free trade
  • See whether your hunch pays off

See opportunity on a stock?

Don’t miss your chance. Upgrade to a live account to take advantage.

  • Trade a wide range of popular global stocks
  • Analyse and deal seamlessly on fast, intuitive charts
  • See and react to breaking news in-platform, when it matters

See opportunity on a stock?

Don’t miss your chance. Log in to take advantage while conditions prevail.

Live prices on most popular markets

  • Forex
  • Shares
  • Indices
Sell
Buy
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Sell
Buy
Sell
Buy
-
-
China 300
-
-

Prices above are subject to our website terms and agreements. Prices are indicative only. All shares prices are delayed by at least 15 mins.

Plan your trading week

Get the week’s market-moving news sent directly to your inbox every Sunday. The Week Ahead gives you a full calendar of upcoming economic events, as well as commentary from our expert analysts on the key markets to watch.


For more info on how we might use your data, see our privacy notice and access policy and privacy webpage.

You might be interested in…

Find out what charges your trades could incur with our transparent fee structure.

Discover why so many clients choose us, and what makes us a world-leading provider of spread betting and CFDs.

Stay on top of upcoming market-moving events with our customisable economic calendar.

Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 76% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage.