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Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

Earnings look ahead – easyJet, Royal Mail, AstraZeneca

A look at company earnings this week.

Royal Mail
Source: Bloomberg

easyJet (first-half earnings 15 May)

It has been a tough couple of years for easyJet, but it is beginning to look like the firm has turned a corner. Recent updates have been better, with improvements in both profits and dividends forecasted. Demand for cheap airline tickets remains robust, as does its expansion into new routes and hubs. Although Alitalia might be a big mouthful to swallow, it would give easyJet yet more routes as it continues its life-or-death struggle with rival Ryanair. At around 15 times forward earnings the shares are not too demandingly valued, with further room for growth. The firm is expected to report a 59% rise in earnings, although it is still expected to report a loss per share of 13p, while revenue is expected to rise 15.5% to £2.1 billion.

The shares have broken out from the £17.00 high that has held so far this year. The next resistance levels are £17.70, £18.46 and £19.28. Dips in the price should continue to find buyers, with £15.66 as near-term support and the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), currently £14.43, after this.

Royal Mail (full-year earnings 17 May)

Royal Mail shares have been gloriously unaffected by the broader market volatility, hitting new highs and rising by almost a third compared to the FTSE’s miserable 0.75% gain. The outgoing CEO has done much to transform the business, overseeing the group’s move into the private sphere and strengthening the balance sheet. In addition, she has struck deals with pay and pensions with the unions, while cutting back on staff and introducing automation. A renewed focus on parcels has aided performance as well, and with a yield of 4% and a forward price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 15, the firm looks to be in a promising position. Royal Mail is expected to report earnings of 42p per share, down 5% over the year, and a 4% rise in revenue to £10.2 billion.

Having gained near 70% since the lows of November, some weakness is likely heading into earnings. Support is possible around £5.85 (close to the current rising trendline), followed by £5.49.

AstraZeneca (Q1 earnings 18 May)

Headline expectations are not promising for AstraZeneca, with a 43% drop in headline earnings for the quarter forecast, down to 55.8 cents per share, while revenues are forecast to decline slightly, to $5.3 billion. It is a case of ‘jam tomorrow, not jam today’, with 2018 expected to be a tough year overall. There are growth opportunities, including in serious illnesses such as cancer, while the improvement in China continues to provide a boost to growth. AstraZeneca is not cheap at 21 times earnings, but it does have some reasons to be positive.

While the shares continue to record higher lows, the price has been unable to break firmly above the November high at £52.74. Further declines will see £46.90 tested, and then the rising trendline at £45.42. Above £52.74, the June high at £55.19 comes into play.

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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