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Weekly volatility report

A weekly look at some of the main movers in financial markets, covering a variety of asset classes.

The risers

Lean Hogs: this market is up 7% in a week, building on an existing rally that has barely paused since late February.

Fears of African swine fever in China have driven prices higher on expectations of lower supply. As a result, lean hogs have surged. Indeed, the rally has gone parabolic over the past month, with the latest surge taking the price above the 8513 level last seen in mid-2017. A sharp retracement may be in store, but 8513 will be initial support.

Cocoa: this has been a two-way market for some months now, but the price has recently broken out of a descending trend channel.

The breakthrough resistance around 2300 has been followed up with further gains, including above the previous high of mid-February at 2350. Further gains target 2450.

Platinum: it has been a good few months for platinum prices, which have hit a ten-month high.

The price has clocked up higher highs and higher lows since mid-February and has now pushed above the November high of 878. A possible bearish wedge is being formed, but for now a pullback may find support around 860. Further gains target 914.

The fallers

VIX: the volatility index has seen another decline, falling back from the 17 level that has acted as resistance in March and April.

The decline has stabilised around 15.5, but further falls target the lows of March at 14.8. A rebound targets 17.5, the peak seen in March and April.

Silver: the price has lost ground since mid-February, and it looks to be breaking lower from a bullish wedge.

This breakdown would then target $14.00 in the near term. A rebound requires a close above $15.30 to open the way to $15.60 and then $16.20.

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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