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Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

FX levels to watch: GBP/USD, EUR/USD and AUD/USD

Recent gains for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and AUD/USD have done little to boost sentiment, with a bearish reversal looking likely to come into play from here.

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GBP/USD falters at 61.8% retracement

GBP/USD has been gaining ground as markets digest the potential culmination of Brexit talks which have produced a proposal for parliament and EU member states to consider. There is undoubtedly a chance that this could be the beginning of a wider recovery if the agreement was voted through.

However, it is worthwhile noting that there is a very strong chance that it will be rejected, leaving talks in limbo. This possibility is worth considering as it could provide a substantial downward move for sterling. With that in mind, we need to see a break through $1.3167 to provide confidence that markets are willing to run with the bullish side of the story. Until then, there is a chance the sceptics among us will drive GBP/USD lower. Only upon seeing a positive resolution from the UK parliament and EU nations would it seem sensible to gain a more bullish long-term view for sterling.

EUR/USD rebound unlikely to last

EUR/USD has been gaining ground following last week’s sell-off, with the selling pressure easing somewhat. However, the wider bearish trend remains intact, and there is a strong chance that this rebound is going to falter before long.

With that in mind, watch for a potential bearish reversal in the near future, with short-term upside being viewed as a precursor to another bearish shift. This bearish view remains in play unless we see a rally above the $1.15 swing high.

AUD/USD downside likely after overnight retracement

AUD/USD managed to regain some ground following a fall below the $0.7182 swing low. That break below $0.7182 means that the upside we have been seeing is likely to be a retracement of the $0.73-$0.7164 sell-off, before we turn lower once more.

However, with price the heading towards the $0.7193 support level, that next leg lower could be upon us, with a break below there pointing towards another downturn. Only with a rally above $0.73 would the pair start to look bullish once more.

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