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Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

FX levels to watch – EUR/USD and GBP/USD

Both EUR/USD and GBP/USD are strengthening following periods of downside. However, with the threat of downside still looming, the longevity of such a rebound is worth questioning.

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EUR/USD strengthening within triangle formation

EUR/USD sold off sharply from the crucial $1.1744 level last week, continuing the triangle formation that has been in play throughout July. With the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) up ahead, a break above that level would point towards a bullish start to the week, as the pair heads back towards the upper threshold of the triangle formation.

Ultimately, a break above $1.1744, or below $1.1574, would provide a breakout signal. Until then, the triangle remains key, with the price likely to head higher from here if the 200-day SMA is broken.

GBP/USD regaining ground after deep pullback

GBP/USD has posted a deep retracement, following on from the rally into the 76.4% resistance level. This points towards a potential period of downside, with a break below $1.3071 required to provide evidence of an impending period of further downside.

This morning we are seeing the pair rally through the $1.3131 resistance level, pointing towards further short-term upside. The question over whether such short-term upside breaks through the $1.3214 resistance level or not is going to be key to determining whether this is a short-term rebound or the beginning of a more bullish phase. 

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