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Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

FX levels to watch – EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY

Dollar weakness has resumed in earnest, following a Trump interview that raises questions about the direction of US policy.

Dollar and euro notes
Source: Bloomberg

EUR/USD getting ready to bounce  

A bout of dollar weakness has provided the necessary tonic to suggest a longer-term bounce is at hand.

EUR/USD has firmly held the rising trendline we highlighted earlier in the week, and while some profit-taking is evident this morning following a weaker German CPI reading, as long as the price holds above $1.06 we should see further gains. The price still has to clear $1.0702, and if it does then we could see a push back above $1.08.

GBP/USD showing good signs

GBP/USD briefly moved above $1.2560, the high from the beginning of the month. Short-term, we may see some weakness, but two nearby rising trendlines should provide support.

A recovery above $1.2560 would then target $1.2616, the high from late March. A close below $1.2366 is needed to cancel out the bullish outlook.

USD/JPY in lower highs

Tuesday’s drop through key support continued unabated yesterday, and now USD/JPY finds itself nearing the 200-day simple moving average (SMA).

Some support at the weekly pivot of ¥108.81, combined with a long weekend, might result in a retracement but, as long as we fail to recoup the high from 10 April at ¥111.40, the sequence of lower highs will continue, maintaining the downward trend.

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