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Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

FX levels to watch – EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD

The dollar continues to flounder against the euro and sterling, yet with AUD/USD turning lower, could the Aussie be set for a period of weakness?

Euro and US dollar notes
Source: Bloomberg

EUR/USD to retrace from key resistance?

EUR/USD is moving lower this morning, following on from a rally into the February high of $1.0829. That level is going to be crucial in determining whether we are set for a more protracted move higher. However, for now it looks like we could start to retrace some of this week’s gains, with an hourly close below $1.0775 pointing towards a deeper pullback.

It is worth noting that while the short-term trend remains firmly bullish, the fact we are seeing a pullback from a key resistance level means it makes more sense to either get long a break through $1.0829, or short a move back below $1.0719. Until then, we are in discovery mode.

GBP/USD retracement could give further upside

GBP/USD has similarly gained in the face of a weaker dollar this week, with overnight price action taking the pair into a March high. The next major historical resistance level of note is $1.2561, and until then it looks like it is worth sticking with the trend. As such, pullbacks are seen as buying opportunities, unless we break the previous low of $1.2424.

AUD/USD reverses from key resistance zone

AUD/USD has shown its true colours this week, with the pair failing to break through the crucial trendline and horizontal resistance at $0.7740. The creation of lower highs and lower lows points towards further losses, where a bearish outlook is in place unless we see a push back through $0.7685.

Given that we are seeing this move despite dollar weakness across the board, it makes sense that a return to dollar strength could see selling ramped up heavily. Follow events in Washington (Trump’s healthcare bill) very carefully.

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