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Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Gold’s rally goes on, with further gains made, while oil may have exhausted its bullish momentum. 

Oil pump
Source: Bloomberg

Gold on the rise

It’s been a great few days for gold longs, with the push to the $1245 area confirming the bullish momentum. A steady rising trend on the hourly chart should provide the guide here, dips towards $1240 today, or along the trendline in coming sessions, or to the 50-hour SMA (currently $1235) should be viewed as buying opportunities.

The confluence of the 50- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) could lead to some hesitancy around $1245, but a firm push above $1248 should clear the way nicely for a test of $1260 and higher.

WTI trying hard to break the $50 mark

The WTI price has spent two days trying to break through the zone around $49.40-$50, with horizontal resistance plus the 50- and 200-day SMAs holding back progress. Having recovered the post-March rising trendline, we may see a push higher today, with dip buyers entering so far this morning.

A close above $50 could spark a swift move to the 100-day SMA at $51.55. A failure to push on higher today and a drop back below $48 would likely spell the end of the bounce from last week’s lows. 

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