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Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Gold continues to consolidate around the trendline resistance, while crude drifts lower in the wake of an intraday head and shoulders formation.

Source: Bloomberg

Gold keeps on consolidating

Gold has seen yesterday’s gains erased overnight, as the price consolidates around descending trendline resistance. That trendline originates from mid-2016, highlighting that over the long term we continue to create lower highs.

The ability to break higher from this sideways period would point towards a move into the next major resistance zone of $1303-$1307. Alternately, an hourly close below $1279 would point towards a more protracted move lower.

WTI continues to trend lower – for now

WTI has been selling off throughout the beginning of this week, with yesterday’s head and shoulders completion pointing towards further losses. Crucially, thus far we are only seeing a fairly gradual move lower, which highlights the possibility of this being a short term pause before we move higher again.

A bullish short term view would come with a break through $53.29. Until then, it is likely the sellers will come in once more when the price is back above the 50-hour simple moving average (SMA).

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