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Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Crude tumbles out of a two-month range, following a big rise in US inventories, while gold keeps falling, albeit at a slower pace.

Gold bars
Source: Bloomberg

Gold continues to tumble

Gold drifted lower throughout yesterday and overnight, following the move below the crucial $1216-$1220 support zone.

This market has been remarkably consistent, yet with the key $1200 level coming into view, there could be some form of reaction in that area. In any case, as long as we continue to create lower highs and lower lows, a bearish outlook remains in place. 

Brent drops to a new 2017 low

Brent tumbled through a host of support levels yesterday, following another big build on the inventories number. Crucially, we have now seen a move below the $53.83 support level, which underpinned the past two months of the price action. As such, it looks as though a top is in place for the moment, with the further downside likely.

The lack of any near-term swing high means creating a decent trade can be difficult. An hourly close back below yesterday’s low of $53.00 would provide a sell signal, partially negating the chance of a big bounce to recover some of yesterday’s sell-off. That also has the benefit of providing a new swing high, upon which to base our stops. Until then, further gains certainly are a possibility given yesterday’s incredible moves.

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