Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Is gold’s rally losing steam? It might seem so, while in oil prices key inventory data has seen sellers take control. 

BG gold bars
Source: Bloomberg

Gold rally not finished yet

The price remains stuck below $1234 but given the momentum we have seen here since late December, it does not yet look like the rally is ending.

Further upside targets lie at $1248 and then at $1271, but it will take a move below $1211, and the weekly pivot, to suggest that a real turn lower is in the offing. 

Brent clings on to support at $54

Yesterday’s inventory data from the American Petroleum Institute sent oil falling rapidly to its lowest level in approximately three weeks. Now we look to see if support around $54 holds, as it has since December.

A break below here would head towards $52.90 and then potentially as far as the 200-day simple moving average at $50.36.

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

Find articles by analysts

Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 79% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage.