Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Gold is trying to bounce off the 50-day SMA, while oil is still unable to stage a breakout. 

Gold bar
Source: Bloomberg

Gold pauses after steady drop

Gold has taken the price back to the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at $1290 after the fall from the September high. Below here, the 100-day SMA at $1268 comes into play.

A bounce from the current level needs to move back above $1307, but overall it still looks like a new higher low has been created in the trend off the July lows.

WTI still stuck below trendline

No change has been seen in the overall outlook here so far for WTI. The price continues to hit its head against the February downtrend, and any breakout requires a daily close above $51.

Meanwhile, a turn below $49.40 would suggest that a bigger drop is at hand, with further support possible at $47.40.

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 79% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage.