Dow mixed but Nasdaq 100 and Nikkei start to show renewed bullish momentum
Indices have held up relatively well despite the rise in monthly US inflation growth, but caution prevails ahead of the ECB decision.
Dow struggles to push higher
The index has spent the week trying to break higher, but gains above 34,700 have proven impossible to sustain. For the moment, while the buyers have not been able to seize control, sellers have been unable to drive the price lower, with 34,540 acting as an area of support.
Last week’s low at 34,280, and then the late August low around 34,050 could provide support. A close above the 50-day SMA would provide a more bullish view and could see the price test the 35,000 level again.
Nasdaq 100 holds above 50-day MA
Here the bulls are showing signs of strength, keeping the index above the 50-day SMA and stepping yesterday to hold the price above 15,260. A close above 15,575 might help to catalyse a more bullish view, as it would see the price push on above the late August high. From there, the 15,750 and 15,930 highs from July come into view.
The recovery from the August low is intact, though a drop back below 15,200 would put pressure on that, and potentially open the way to another test of the 100-day SMA and then the August lows around 14,690.
Nikkei 225 surges
Steady gains in the first three days of the week were followed up by a surge on Thursday that has taken the index back to the early September highs. A close above 33,337 would mark a bullish breakout, with the next target being the early August peak at 33,40, followed up by the lower highs of July and then June.
Overall the rally from the August low is still in place, with the bounce of the past week taking place off a higher low. A close back below 32,400 would negate this bullish view in the short-term.
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