The next bitcoin halving is expected to happen around mid-2028. Discover what bitcoin halving is, why it happens, how you could profit from it, what the associated risks are and more.
Call 0800 195 3100 or email newaccounts.uk@ig.com to talk about opening an account.
Bitcoin halving (or halvening) is an event where the reward for mining new blocks is halved, meaning miners receive 50% fewer bitcoins for verifying transactions. Bitcoin halvings are scheduled to occur once every 210,000 blocks – roughly every four years – until the maximum supply of 21 million bitcoins has been generated by the network.
Bitcoin halvings reduce the supply of new coins, so prices could rise if demand remains strong. This has happened in the months before and after previous halvings, causing the price of bitcoin (BTC) to appreciate rapidly. However, the circumstances surrounding each halving are different and demand for the cryptocurrency can experience drastic fluctuations.
The next bitcoin halving is expected to occur mid-2028, when the number of blocks hits 1,050,000. It will see the block reward fall from 3.125 BTC to 1.5625 BTC. The exact date of the halving isn’t yet known as the time it takes the network to generate new blocks varies, with an average of one block every ten minutes.
Event | Date | Block number | Block reward | New total of coins |
Bitcoin launches | 3 January 2009 | 0 (genesis block) | 50 BTC | 10,500,000 BTC |
1st halving | 28 Novemeber 2012 | 210,000 | 25 BTC | 5,250,000 BTC |
2nd halving | 9 July 2016 | 420,000 | 12.5 BTC | 2,625,000 BTC |
3rd halving | 11 May 2020 | 630,000 | 6.25 BTC | 1,312,500 BTC |
4th halving | 20 April 2024 | 840,000 | 3.125 BTC | 656,250 BTC |
5th halving | Expected mid-2028 | 1,050,000 | 1.5625 BTC | 328,125 BTC |
A bitcoin halving occurs after 210,000 blocks have been mined – this happens approximately every four years. This is expected to continue until around the year 2140, when all 21 million coins have been mined.
With us, you’ll take beneficial ownership of the cryptocurrencies you buy, held by our partner Uphold. You’ll profit if you sell your coins when the price rises beyond your original buy price. If you sell them at a price that’s lower than the original buy price, you’ll incur a loss.
The last bitcoin halving happened on 20 April 2024 at a block height of 840,000 – this was bitcoin's fourth halving event. Block height is a position in a blockchain, counted by the number of confirmed blocks before it. During this halving, the block reward was reduced from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC per block.
During the bitcoin halving of 20 April 2024, the cryptocurrency was trading at approximately $64,000. The price was relatively volatile in the weeks leading up to the halving, having reached an all-time high of around $73,000 in March 2024 before experiencing a retracement.
This data has been sourced from coinmarketcap.com. Please note that all figures refer to the past and that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. It’s also worth noting that this chart is in USD (US Dollars), results may be different in other currencies. The return may increase or decrease as a result of currency fluctuations.
Please note that all figures refer to historical performance, which is not a reliable indicator of future results. All amounts are quoted in US dollars, and outcomes may differ in other currencies. Returns may increase or decrease due to currency fluctuations. This data has been sourced from coinmarketcap.com.
It’s not yet clear how the next halving will impact bitcoin’s price. Many commentators believe that the price will follow a similar pattern to the previous four halvings, rising after the event itself as the supply of new coins is constrained.
However, any price rise will depend on how demand for bitcoin shapes up over the course of the halving. Demand is by no means certain to increase – or even remain static – as there are other well-established cryptocurrencies competing for users.
Bitcoin halving is built into the network’s underlying blockchain software, which dictates the rate at which new bitcoins are created. The software requires computers in the network to compete to verify transactions through a process known as ‘mining’.
Transactions are verified in groups called ‘blocks’ and the network is coded to halve the reward received by miners after every 210,000 blocks. The reward is a number of new bitcoins, eg 3.125 BTC per block, when they can prove that the transactions they’ve selected are valid.
When the block reward is halved, some users may calculate that their mining activity will no longer be profitable due to costs such as electricity and hardware. Some users may stop mining altogether if the price of bitcoin doesn’t rise to offset the reward cut.
Having less users leads to a reduction of processing power in the network. But it shouldn’t affect the speed at which blocks are mined, as the software automatically adjusts the difficulty of verifying transactions to maintain a steady rate.
When the maximum supply of 21 million bitcoins has been mined, users will no longer receive bitcoins for verifying blocks. However, they’ll continue to receive transaction fees – contributed by those making payments – as an incentive to verify transactions.
It’s estimated that the last new bitcoin will be mined in the year 2140. At this point, the cryptocurrency could become deflationary as coins can be ‘lost’ through user error – for example, by sending coins to an invalid address.
Bitcoin halves due to the design of its software, which was created by a mysterious person or group using the assumed pseudonym ‘Satoshi Nakamoto’.
While Satoshi Nakamoto hasn’t explained the reasons behind halvings, many have speculated that the system was designed to distribute coins more quickly at the beginning to incentivise people to join the network and mine new blocks. Under this theory, block rewards were programmed to halve at regular intervals because the value of each coin rewarded was deemed likely to increase as the network expanded.
Another theory is that the halvings were put in place to introduce deflationary measures into the coin, so the number of new coins rewarded per block is pre-determined. In the fiat monetary system, overprinting by central banks can result in sustained reduction in the value of the currency. In bitcoin, this risk is hedged through the fixed total supply available and the pre-determined rate of printing new bitcoins.
One criticism of bitcoin’s design – including halvings and the finite supply of 21 million coins – is that it encourages users to save rather than spend. This may have fuelled boom and bust cycles in the past, with users hoarding coins – in hopes that coins will increase in value over time – only to cash out at key levels. Some have compared bitcoin to pyramid and Ponzi schemes, arguing that the system’s design has disproportionately rewarded users who got in early.
Can I make money from the BTC halving?
Yes, it’s possible to make money from BTC halving. Historically, the price of bitcoin has risen significantly after halving events. So, buying and holding bitcoin (to sell at a later date) could be profitable. But, it’s important to note that past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
What will BTC’s price be after the next halving?
Many have speculated that BTC’s price will rise in the weeks before and after the next halving event. This is in part because the halving is expected to draw increased attention to bitcoin, but also because it will reduce the supply of new coins entering circulation.
However, any price change will depend on how demand for bitcoin shapes up over the course of the halving. Nevertheless, despite precedent in the first four halvings, there’s no guarantee that the crypto’s price will rise.
How can I invest in the next bitcoin halving?
You can invest in bitcoin with us using a spot crypto account. It enables you to buy and hold coins. So, you’ll use it to take beneficial ownership of cryptocurrencies, with your coins held by our third-party partner Uphold. You’ll profit if you sell your coins when the price rises beyond your original buy price. If you sell them for a price that’s lower than the original buy price, you’ll incur a loss.
How do I reduce the risks of investing in bitcoin?
Like with any investment activity, there’s risk involved when buying and holding bitcoin. Ways in which you can reduce your investment risk include doing research to ensure that you understand how bitcoin works and how different factors could impact its market price.
Explore the diverse investment options with us on the go.
Discover our wide range of shares, funds and investment trusts.
Invest in a low-cost, expert-managed portfolio that’s tailored for you.
The footer below includes standard risk disclosures and regulatory information applicable to IG’s broader range of investment services, including regulated financial instruments.
This page relates to unregulated crypto products, which are not covered by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) and do not benefit from regulatory protections such as the Financial Services Compensation Scheme (FSCS) or the Financial Ombudsman Service (FOS).
Please ensure you understand the specific risks associated with unregulated crypto assets.