Commodities underpin all economic activity. After a landmark year for precious metals in 2025, discover which hard and soft commodities to watch in 2026, and how to invest or trade them with us.
Silver was the standout commodity of 2025 while copper posted its strongest annual gain since 2009. Looking ahead, several analysts expect precious metals to outperform in 2026, while crude oil faces headwinds.
While stocks and forex always seem to get the lion's share of investor attention, commodities are perhaps the most important assets worldwide. This is because commodities underpin the economic system in a fundamental way; every company in the world ultimately generates profit through the commodity chain.
Commodities are split into two segments: hard commodities are defined as natural resources which are usually mined or extracted from the ground, such as oil, gold, or copper. Soft commodities are grown and usually require maintenance during production, such as livestock, wheat, or sugar.
Investing in commodities arguably gives investors an excellent advantage in that they provide significant diversification in a portfolio. This is because commodities' performance historically demonstrates a low correlation with other major asset classes, such as cash, fixed income, or stocks.
2025 proved this point emphatically. While equities experienced volatility driven by trade war fears and geopolitical tensions, the commodities sector, and in particular precious metals, delivered some of the strongest returns seen in decades. Investors who had diversified into gold, silver and copper were well rewarded.
You can either trade in commodities directly, or trade using spread betting or CFDs to benefit from leverage. We also offer many ETFs and ETCs that are based on commodities, and there are thousands of commodity-focused resource stocks on offer, such as Rio Tinto, Glencore and Anglo American.
Keep in mind, leverage means you can gain or lose money faster than expected. Because your position size is far greater than your deposit, you could lose more money than you put in. Be aware also that past performance is not an indicator of future returns.
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Exchange Traded Commodities (ETCs) are financial instruments designed to enable indirect investing and trading on commodities, but without you having to take direct ownership.
They act as debt instruments designed to track the performance of a single commodity or a basket of commodities, making them a popular choice for investors seeking precise exposure to specific commodities. They offer a wide variety of options, ranging from hard commodities like metals and oil to soft commodities like grains and coffee.
ETCs are designed to track the price of the underlying material asset, meaning their value will be influenced by factors that affect the price of the commodity itself. For instance, when trading wheat, elements like weather patterns and crop yields can impact its price.
Some ETCs also provide leveraged or inverse exposure, catering to sophisticated trading strategies, and many come with currency-hedged options to account for foreign exchange risks.
However, ETCs do also carry counterparty risk as they are structured as debt instruments, and their returns can be eroded by costs associated with storage or rolling futures contracts, particularly for physically backed ETCs or those tracking futures. Additionally, ETCs often focus on individual commodities, which can make them unattractive to investors seeking diversification.
Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) are far better known than ETCs. While ETCs give you exposure to commodities, ETFs do the same thing but with securities instead. Like an ETC, you're investing in or trading on a financial product that tracks the performance of underlying assets without you having to take ownership of any of them.
However, a commodity ETF will take their price from futures contracts of that commodity, rather than containing the physical asset.
Investing directly in commodities futures can be both impractical and expensive. There's even the occasional report of a trader who has forgotten to close a futures position who is forced to take physical delivery of a commodity.
Further, futures themselves are relatively complex, typically have large contract sizes, come with margin demands, and include a component of open-ended risk that needs to be covered by the trader. This can make them unattractive to some retail investors, especially those without starting their investing journey.
Most commonly, commodity ETFs track a benchmark index which either measures the price of a single commodity or a basket of multiple commodities. Most are synthetic ETFs which track commodity futures, and therefore may perform better or worse than the spot price of the commodity itself. Of course, some commodity ETFs will directly invest. However, this is the exception, rather than the rule.
One of their key advantages is diversification, as many commodity ETFs invest in a basket of commodities or commodity-producing companies, spreading risk across multiple assets.
They are also highly liquid, trading like stocks on major exchanges, and physically-backed ETFs eliminate counterparty risk by holding the underlying commodity directly. Additionally, ETFs can offer tax benefits depending on their structure and jurisdiction. However, commodity ETFs may face tracking errors, particularly when investing in futures or related equities, as these assets don't always perfectly mimic commodity price movements.
Furthermore, expense ratios for ETFs can be higher compared to ETCs, and their indirect exposure may dilute the pure impact of commodity price changes due to broader market trends.
When trading, it's important to note that the relationship between commodities and stocks is not linear. Some commodity prices have an inverse reaction to stocks, while others move in a parallel direction. There are several factors that impact the price of the underlying commodities and stocks, such as market forces, weather patterns, and economic and political stability.
Copper was the first metal used by humans, while the earliest recorded oil production occurred in China around 327 AD.
Some of the best performing commodities over the past year include:
Some of the worst performing commodities were:
Below is a selection of several popular ETFs and ETCs:
Looking into 2026, the commodity complex faces a mixed but nuanced outlook. The World Bank forecasts global commodity prices will decline modestly for a fourth consecutive year overall, but this aggregate figure masks significant divergences between sectors.
Precious metals are widely expected to remain among the leading performers. Gold enters 2026 with several major banks forecasting even higher prices, with some technical models pointing toward $6,000 or more if the current macro environment of elevated debt, geopolitical uncertainty and continued central bank accumulation persists. Silver remains highly volatile in its price discovery with some analysts pointing to a divergence between western and eastern market pricing.
For copper, while near-term volatility remains high given tariff uncertainty and trade policy noise, the long-term structural case may appear compelling: copper consumption is projected to rise by around 50% by 2040, driven by AI infrastructure, EV production, grid modernisation and renewable energy. Supply, however, is structurally slow to respond, with major greenfield mines requiring at least 10 to 15 years to come online, and existing operations face declining ore grades.
Agricultural commodities are expected to ease gently, with stable growing conditions in most regions keeping grain, soybean, and corn markets well supplied. Coffee and cattle remain potential exceptions, where supply tightness could create opportunities.
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