Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Friday’s price action means that the bullish outlook for crude is retained, but for gold a turn could be at hand. 

Gold bars
Source: Bloomberg

Gold about to turn lower?

Friday’s rally got crushed in the latter half of the session, leaving gold under the crucial $1264 level and stuck below the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at $1256 for yet another session.

The next area to watch on the downside is $1240, and then below this to the 50-day SMA at $1234. Following on from this, we have the rising trend off the December low, which would suggest a move back to $1230. A rally has to clear $1264, and then break Friday’s high at $1271.

WTI still bullish

Although Friday’s session finished off the highs the uptrend remains intact. It looks like we will see further gains, if WTI can clear the $53.19 high, leaving the way clear to $55.67.

The short-term trend off the March lows remains intact, and it would need a firm drop below the $51.34 level to even suggest that the bulls have lost control. 

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 79% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage.