Some of the caution in the market may have been instigated by signs of slowing in the US housing market, suggest by a report today from the National Association of Realtors. The NAR’s pending homes sales index dropped 0.4% in July, which should in theory translate into lower existing home sales next month.
May’s big rise in the pending home sales index did not translate into strong existing home sales in June as rising mortgage rates are causing potential buyers to rethink their options, according to the NAR. Rising house prices will not have helped the situation and we will see more pricing data tomorrow with the home price index from Case-Shiller.
One of the key features of this week’s economic news will be what the major central banks are up to. The Fed begins its latest two-day meeting tomorrow and there is a good chance that Ben Bernanke will give his clearest, most specific signals yet for when the Fed intends to start reducing its monthly asset purchases.
The ECB and the Bank of England are also due to meet this week to decide on their own monetary policy, and it is likely to be forward guidance that has the biggest impact on the market rather than the rate decisions themselves.
For now, investors are playing it safe, and that means money being kept off the table, which is hampering the US stock market.