FTSE could fall to 200-DMA
Although dropping back this morning, the FTSE 100 has yet to breach 6740, a level that has supported the index throughout the week. For the time being bears will have to wait for a clear break of this zone, which would open the way to the 200-day moving average at 6680.
This week’s price action reminded us that 6900 is the big level to break on the upside and for the moment it looks like the index is not able to muster the strength. Interim resistance may also be found at 6850.
DAX runs out of momentum
What had threatened to be a possible breakout to the downside yesterday for the DAX turned into a strong move higher that took it back to 10,800.
However, we have run out of momentum again this morning, establishing 10,800 as the major level on the upside that must be broken before further gains are possible.
The 10,600 level continues to be support in any dip lower, with buyers stepping in over and over again to hold this level. A close below here would be bearish, although the hourly uptrend is still yet to be tested.
Dow gains capped
Gains on the Dow Jones continue to be capped by a downtrend off the December highs, but dips below 17,200 continue to be bought for the time being. Whether this will weaken once the month-end is out of the way remains to be seen, but the 17,100 area, the low from December and also around the 200-DMA could well halt any major selling below this point.
The 50-DMA around 17,690 is going to be the first target for any rally, although there is little sign of one developing at present.