The Week Ahead
Read about upcoming market-moving events and plan your trading week
Week commencing 9 December
Chris Beauchamp's insight
US and Chinese inflation data dominate the week, along with rate decisions from the Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank of Canada and the European Central Bank (ECB). The latter two are expected to cut rates, with a 50 basis point (bps) cut a possibility for the ECB. Meanwhile corporate data continues to thin out in the final weeks of the year, though Oracle and Adobe report earnings this week.
Economic reports
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Weekly view
1.30am – China consumer price index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI) (November): CPI expected to increase to 0.5% Year-over-year (YoY) from 0.3%, and to -0.2% month on month (MoM) from -0.3%. PPI forecast to reduce to 3% from 2.9% YoY. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
3.30am – RBA rate decision: rates forecast to be held at 4.35%. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
1.30pm – US CPI (November): prices forecast to rise 0.2% MoM, in line with last month, while YoY is expected to slow to 2.6%. Core CPI expected to hold at 0.3% MoM and 3.3% YoY. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
2.45pm – Bank of Canada decision: rates expected to be cut to 3.5% from 3.75%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 6 December): stockpiles fell by 5 million barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
7am – UK gross domestic product (GDP) (October): growth rose 0.1% for the three months to September. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.15pm – ECB rate decision: rates expected to be cut by 25bps to 3%, though a 50bps cut is a possibility. Markets to watch: eurozone indices, EUR crosses
1.30pm – US PPI (November): prices forecast to rise 0.3% MoM from 0.2%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
11.50pm – Japan Tankan index quarter 4 (Q4): index expected to hold at 13. Markets to watch: JPY crosses
None
Monday
1.30am – China CPI, PPI (November): CPI expected to increase to 0.5% YoY from 0.3%, and to -0.2% MoM from -0.3%. PPI forecast to reduce to 3% from 2.9% YoY. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
Tuesday
3.30am – RBA rate decision: rates forecast to be held at 4.35%. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
Wednesday
1.30pm – US CPI (November): prices forecast to rise 0.2% MoM, in line with last month, while YoY is expected to slow to 2.6%. Core CPI expected to hold at 0.3% MoM and 3.3% YoY. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
2.45pm – Bank of Canada decision: rates expected to be cut to 3.5% from 3.75%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 6 December): stockpiles fell by 5 million barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
Thursday
7am – UK GDP (October): growth rose 0.1% for the three months to September. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.15pm – ECB rate decision: rates expected to be cut by 25bps to 3%, though a 50bps cut is a possibility. Markets to watch: eurozone indices, EUR crosses
1.30pm – US PPI (November): prices forecast to rise 0.3% MoM from 0.2%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
11.50pm – Japan Tankan index (Q4): index expected to hold at 13. Markets to watch: JPY crosses
Friday
None
Company announcements
Dividends
FTSE 100: Associated British Foods, DS Smith
FTSE 250: Sirius Real Estate, Ninety One, Investec, Cranswick, discoverIE, SDCL Energy Efficiency, ZIGUP, Assura, Baltic Classifieds
Dividends are applied after the close of the previous day’s session for each market. So, for example, the FTSE 100 goes ex-dividend on a Thursday, but the adjustment is applied at the close of the previous day, e.g. Wednesday. The table below shows the days in which the adjustment is applied, not the ex-dividend days.
Index adjustments
|
Monday 9 December |
Tuesday 10 December |
Wednesday 11 December |
Thursday 12 December |
Friday 13 December |
Monday 16 December |
| FTSE 100 | 1.23 | |||||
| Australia 200 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | |||
| Wall Street | 6.5 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 8.1 | ||
| US 500 | 0.12 | 0.09 | 0.05 | 0.76 | 0.85 | 0.07 |
| Nasdaq | 0.16 | 0.39 | 2.16 | 0.88 | ||
| Netherlands 25 | ||||||
| EU Stocks 50 | ||||||
| China H-Shares | ||||||
| Singapore Blue Chip | ||||||
| Hong Kong HS50 | 0.7 | |||||
| South Africa 40 | 44.7 | |||||
| Italy 40 | 3.8 | |||||
| Japan 225 |
* Please note these can change without notice
1 Dividend adjustments due to be posted on a bank holiday will usually be posted on the previous working day
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