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Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

USD supported after US jobs and ahead of CPI data

Strong US data continues to support a stronger dollar as traders consider the upside surprise for the incoming consumer price data on Thursday.

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Strong US jobs data

Friday's non-farm payrolls (NFPs) showed that 263,000 jobs were created in the United States last month.

The unemployment rate fell to 3.5%, from 3.7% in August, and average hourly earnings rose 0.3% on last month, and 5% on September 2021.

The number of people employed in the US is now higher than it was before the start of the Covid-19 pandemic. And according to the latest report of the bureau of statistics, job openings fell to 10.1 million, their lowest level since May 2021, while only six million people are looking for a job.

Meanwhile global equity markets fell after the publication of US jobs data for September.

On Friday the S&P 500 dropped 2.8%, while the Nasdaq shed 3.8%. US stock and bond markets will remain closed today for Colombus Day.

Overnight the APAC region followed suit, and European equity markets opene lower this morning.

Interest rates

All this reflects a tight market that gives enough room to the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to continue to raise interest rates to bring inflation down.

This Thursday, consumer price index (CPI) is expected to rise by 8.1% in September year-on-year (YoY), after 8.3% in August. Core CPI increase is expected to accelerate to 6.5%, after 6.3% in August, matching the peak recorded in March 2022, a then 40-year high.

Should inflation data rise more than expected, like it did last month, it could give the dollar a leg up and send equity markets lower.

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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