EUR/USD and AUD/USD continue to rise while EUR/GBP struggles
EUR/USD and AUD/USD continue last week’s advances as the US Dollar weakens while EUR/GBP looks subdued.
EUR/USD nears its early May high
EUR/USD’s advance from its mid-May $1.035 low is in the process of breaking through its two-month downtrend line at $1.0571 and is getting ever closer to the early May high at $1.0642, ahead of Germany’s Gfk consumer confidence and first quarter (Q1) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) releases on Wednesday.
The cross also rallied amid comments from the European Central Bank’s (ECB) President Christine Lagarde, essentially pre-committing to a 25 basis point (bp) hike in July and September. A rise and daily chart close above the recent high at $1.0642 would confirm at least an interim bottoming formation with the mid-April low at $1.0758 being targeted in this scenario. Another potential upside target is seen along the 55-day simple moving average (SMA) at $1.0791, near the 2022 downtrend line at $1.0855.
Minor support below Friday’s $1.0533 low can be seen between the April and 6 May lows at $1.0483 to $1.0472. Provided this area underpins, the odds favour a continued advance, at least in the course of this week.
EUR/GBP flirts with the 200-day SMA
EUR/GBP is seen sliding back towards its two-month support line at £0.8419, ahead of Tuesday’s UK manufacturing and services PMI for May.
Below the support line meanders the 55-day SMA at £0.8403 and sits last week’s low at £0.8393 which, together with the early May low at £0.8368, is key for the currency pair’s uptrend. If slipped through, the technical picture would become bearish again.
For now, further sideways trading around the 200-day SMA at £0.8445 seems to be on the cards. Last week’s high at £0.8495 needs to be exceeded, for the late March high at £0.8512 to be back in focus. Further up sits last Monday’s high at £0.8534.
AUD/USD continues to rise post Australia’s Labor party election victory
AUD/USD continues to advance and is currently piercing through its two-month downtrend line at $0.7086 following Anthony Albanese’s victory in Australia’s elections. He will form the first Labor government in almost a decade and is only the fourth Labor leader since World War Two.
Ahead of Australian manufacturing and services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data the cross looks bid and is approaching its March low at $0.7166. Support below the early May low and 11 May high at $0.7053 to $0.7031 comes in along the one-month support line at $0.7008.
Only a currently unexpected drop through last Wednesday’s low at $0.695 would engage the 10 May low at $0.6911 below which the currency pair’s near two-year low can be spotted at $0.6829. In case of it giving way, the June 2020 trough at $0.6777 would be next in line.
This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.
Start trading forex today
Find opportunity on the world’s most-traded – and most-volatile – financial market.
- Trade spreads from just 0.6 points on EUR/USD
- Analyse with clear, fast charts
- Speculate wherever you are with our intuitive mobile apps
See an FX opportunity?
Try a risk-free trade in your demo account, and see whether you’re onto something.
- Log in to your demo
- Take your position
- See whether your hunch pays off
See an FX opportunity?
Don’t miss your chance – upgrade to a live account to take advantage.
- Get spreads from just 0.6 points on popular pairs
- Analyse and deal seamlessly on fast, intuitive charts
- See and react to breaking news in-platform
See an FX opportunity?
Don’t miss your chance. Log in to take your position.
Live prices on most popular markets
You might be interested in…
Find out what charges your trades could incur with our transparent fee structure.
Discover why so many clients choose us, and what makes us a world-leading provider of spread betting and CFDs.
Stay on top of upcoming market-moving events with our customisable economic calendar.