Ether has broken key support levels as tech-sector fears, shifting US interest-rate expectations and leveraged liquidations fuel a deep risk-off move.
Over the past six weeks, the cryptocurrency market has undergone a dramatic reversal, with more than $1 trillion wiped from the sector’s value.
Concerns about stretched tech valuations and uncertainty surrounding the trajectory of US interest rates have triggered a sweeping sell-off across speculative assets.
According to data provider CoinGecko, the value of roughly 18,000 tracked tokens has fallen by 25 percent since their peak last month, erasing approximately $1.1 trillion in combined market capitalisation.
Bitcoin has slid by a similar magnitude, shedding a quarter of its value and falling to its lowest level since April.
Analysts note that losses among traders using large leveraged positions have accelerated the pace of the market’s decline, helping to turn what had been a powerful rally - fuelled in part by Donald Trump’s pledge to make the United States a global “bitcoin superpower” - into a stark retreat.
Ether (ETH) has not escaped this downturn. In the past few weeks, it has struggled under the weight of broader market weakness and mounting risk aversion.
Prices have fallen through important technical support levels, with recent declines taking ETH below the $3,100.00 mark.
Some analysts highlight that Ether-based exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have suffered deeper cost-basis losses compared with their Bitcoin counterparts in recent weeks, suggesting the market currently views ETH as the riskier asset.
Ether’s inability to break above resistance near $3,660.00 has further underscored this fragile backdrop, raising the possibility of additional declines if sentiment fails to improve.
Liquidity conditions have also deteriorated. Both Bitcoin and Ether slid to multi-month lows during a recent period of thin weekend trading, as shifting expectations around Federal Reserve (Fed) policy again weighed on digital assets.
At the same time, institutional behaviour has become increasingly important to understanding the market’s tone.
Reports indicate that BitMine Immersion acquired roughly $173 million in Ether even as other market participants appeared to retreat, with the company’s chairman suggesting that at least one significant market-maker may be scaling back its crypto operations. If true, such a withdrawal would reduce liquidity further and make price swings more severe, even on relatively modest volumes.
Despite these challenges, not all analysts have turned bearish. Some argue that if Ether can hold its current support levels, a rebound toward the $3,600.00 area remains possible.
Still, given the decisively risk-off environment and ETH’s recent technical failures, downside risks persist.
A continued deterioration in global risk sentiment - whether due to interest-rate concerns, ongoing selling in high-growth tech stocks or additional leveraged unwinding - could push Ether toward lower price zones that several strategists have identified as potential next stops.
Ultimately, Ether’s short-term trajectory remains tightly linked to macroeconomic conditions and the broader retreat in speculative assets.
While the long-term fundamentals of the Ethereum ecosystem - including staking, institutional engagement and network activity - remain supportive, those structural strengths have been overshadowed by the speed and scale of the current market correction.
Until risk appetite stabilises and liquidity improves, Ether is likely to continue trading in the shadow of the trillion-dollar sell-off that has swept through the crypto world.
Ether bearish case:
While Ether remains below its 10 November high at $3,658.13, the August-to-November downtrend remains intact.
A sustained fall through the 4 November low at $3,060.29 may lead to the June high at $2,879.45 being reached.
Ether bullish case:
Were Ether to rise and close on a daily basis above its 16 November high at $3,247.21, a gradual advance towards the October-to-November resistance line and the August low at $3,352.94-to-$3,356.65 may ensue. This resistance area would need to be exceeded for the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at $3,479.44 to be revisited, though.
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