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Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

Bitcoin tests resistance area which may cap

​​Bitcoin is digging into its $111,982.45-to-$113,510.23 resistance area which may cap ahead of Friday’s options expiry.

Close up image of a gold bitcoin standing up on it's side atop a light brown wooden surface. Source: Bloomberg

Written by

Axel Rudolph FSTA

Axel Rudolph FSTA

Senior Technical Analyst

Published on:

​​​Bitcoin roundup

Bitcoin's recent pullback may have been exacerbated by “max pain” positioning in options markets. With a $17.5 billion options expiry looming on Friday, the “max pain” price - the strike level that causes the greatest collective loss for option holders - is positioned near $107,000.00. That could act as a magnet if selling pressure intensifies.

Some analysts argue that the recent decline could offer a compelling entry point for the rest of 2025, especially if broader conditions improve.

​Looking forward, a few key themes are likely to determine Bitcoin’s next moves. First, central bank and macro policy announcements will be critical: any indication of further easing or dovish pivoting could reignite momentum. Second, institutional and whale demand will matter more than ever; if large capital continues flowing in during dips, it limits how far downside can go. Finally, technical and derivatives levels - options max pain zones, key support ranges, and open interest clusters - must be monitored closely, since they often dictate short-term inflection points in such a leveraged, sentiment-sensitive market.

​Bitcoin drops to key support zone

​Bitcoin bearish scenario:

​Bitcoin is digging into the lower boundary of its $111,982.45-to-$113,510.23 resistance zone which may cap this week. If so, the June peak and 4 September low at $110,617.03-to-$109,385.95 may be revisited. Further down lie last week's low at $108,709.05 and also the early September low at $107,286.25.

​Bitcoin bullish scenario:

​As long as Bitcoin remains above last week's $108,709.05 low and managed to break through the $111,982.45-to-$113,510.23 resistance area, recent bullish momentum may be maintained.

​In this case the 24 September high at $114,042.32 may be reached as well as the mid-September low at $114,398.76.​​

Bitcoin daily candlestick chart

Bitcoin daily candlestick chart Source: TradingView

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