Skip to content

Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

Bitcoin Falls 15% as Fed Comments and US Shutdown Shake Risk Appetite​

​​Bitcoin is back under pressure after Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s hawkish remarks and the US government shutdown spooked markets. Despite $3.55 billion in ETF inflows in early October, BTC has dropped around 15% from its record high, testing key support near $103,600 in mid-October as traders weigh macro risks.​

Image of a gold Bitcoin coin standing upright on its side on a light brown wooden desk. Source: Bloomberg

Written by

Axel Rudolph FSTA

Axel Rudolph FSTA

Senior Technical Analyst

Published on:

​​​Bitcoin back under pressure

Bitcoin has remained in focus as fresh institutional flows and macro-events converge to shape its near-term outlook.

​Whereas Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) welcomed $3.55 billion in global inflows in the week ending 4 October - the biggest single-week influx to date – it suffered along with other cryptocurrencies following the Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell’s recent hawkish comments and the ongoing US government shutdown which rattle risk assets generally.

​Bitcoin dropped by around 15% from its early October $126,219.03 record high to around the current $107,550.00 region.

​Despite the recent dip, derivatives data show that funding rates on the exchange Binance remain persistently positive, signalling that many traders are still leaning long.

​What these developments amount to is a tug-of-war between bullish structural narratives and immediate risk factors. On one hand, the magnitude of institutional inflows bolsters the idea that Bitcoin is becoming a mainstream portfolio asset. On the other hand, macro headwinds and technical pullbacks reveal how quickly sentiment can shift in the crypto markets.

​In the coming days, attention will be on whether Bitcoin can hold above key support at its mid-October low at $103,604.99 and resume its advance towards new highs, or whether further profit-taking and external shocks will pressure the asset back to the psychological $100,000.00 mark.

Bitcoin daily candlestick chart

Bitcoin daily candlestick chart Source: TradingView

Important to know

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.