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Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

ASX 200 afternoon report: July 3, 2023

Your ASX 200 afternoon report.

Source: Bloomberg

The ASX 200 trades 47 points higher (0.66%) at 7251 at 3.55 pm AEST.

The ASX 200 has gained on the first day of a new quarter, following a positive lead from US equity markets on Friday night as investors cheered the release of softer-than-expected inflation data.

The PCE Price index eased to 3.8% YoY vs a downwardly revised 4.3% in April - the lowest reading since April 2021. The Feds preferred measure of inflation, core PCE, eased to 4.6% YoY compared to market expectations of 4.7%.

While easing inflation and mega tech were the drivers of Friday’s rally in the US, the ASX 200 has today relied on some good old-fashioned heavy lifting from the Materials and Energy sectors.

Yancoal added 3.5% to $4.74, Whitehaven coal added 1.56%, and New Hope Coal added 1.55% to $4.93. The iron ore behemoths gained as Rio Tinto added 0.87% to $115.69, Fortescue added 0.81% to $22.36, and BHP added 0.69% to $45.30.

The Consumer Discretionary Sector added 1.5% today, hoping for an RBA pause tomorrow. We think otherwise and are calling for a 25bp rate hike tomorrow to 4.35%. Myer added 4.25% to $0.62c, Super Retail Group added 2.54% to $11.72, JB Hi-Fi added 2.45% to $44.82, and Harvey Norman added 2.16% to $3.56.

The big banks firmed, with ANZ, the best of the bunch, up 0.63% to $23.86. CBA added 0.54% to $100.81, Westpac added 0.4% to $21.43, Macquarie added 0.31% to $178.17, and NAB added 0.15% to $26.41.

The ASX 200 technology sector has ignored the lead provided by the tech-heavy Nasdaq to be today’s biggest loser. Wisetech fell 3.43% to $77.07, Sezzle fell 3.01% to $20.92, and Technology One fell 1.73% to $15.38.

Elsewhere, United Malt shares gained 8.86% to $4.79 after it reached an agreement for France’s Malteries Soufflet to buy the company at $5 a share.

ASX 200 technical analysis

The ASX 200 has spent the past three months trading sideways between resistance at 7370/7390 and support at 7075/7055. Until the ASX 200 sees a sustained break of either of these levels, further sideways-range trading is expected. Aware that a sustained break of range extremes should see the ASX 200 extend the move by 150 points (~2%) in the direction of the break.

ASX 200 daily chart

Source: TradingView
  1. TradingView: the figures stated are as of July 3, 2023. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. This report does not contain and is not to be taken as containing any financial product advice or financial product recommendation.

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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