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Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

​Dow drops while EUR/JPY probes support and natural gas remains sidelined

​​​Dow drops while EUR/JPY probes support and natural gas remains sidelined amid heightened tensions in the Middle East.

Dow Jones Source: Bloomberg

Written by

Axel Rudolph FSTA

Axel Rudolph FSTA

Senior Technical Analyst

Article publication date:

​​​Dow to drop on Israeli missile strike

​Having briefly traded in 4-month highs at 43,115, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is expected to fall below its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at 42,497 amid heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

​Support below the 5 June low at 42,212 can be spotted around the late May low at 41,828 and the 15 May low at 41,778.

​Critical support is the 23 May low at 41,354, a fall through which may lead to a much deeper correction taking place.

​Minor resistance is seen along the 200-day SMA at 42,497 and at Thursday's 42,606 low.

Dow Jones chart Source: TradingView

​EUR/JPY tests support zone

EUR/JPY's advance has taken it to ¥166.74, to within inches of its ¥166.69 October 2024 peak which capped.

​The previous major resistance area, now because of inverse polarity a support zone, at ¥165.21-to-¥164.17 is being tested but is expected to hold.

​A rise above the ¥166.69-to-¥166.74 resistance area would likely engage the June 2024 low at ¥167.53.

EUR/JPY chart Source: TradingView

​Natural gas futures remain sidelined

​The recent advance in US natural gas futures prices stalled between the late March low and May highs at 321.4-to-327.5, at 327.2, before it gave way to a sell-off to the 55-day SMA at 300.0. Further range trading around it is on the cards.

​Support may be found between the late May and current June lows at 295.7-to-294.4. A fall through this area would likely engage the April-to-June uptrend line at 289.9 and the 200-day SMA at 286.5.

​A rise above Thursday's 311.7 high may lead to the 321.4-to-327.5 being back in the picture.​​

Natural gas chart Source: TradingView