Take Brexit Britain and Trump’s America. Add climate change, instability in the Middle East, cryptocurrencies, and self-driving cars… and you have the world in 2018: hopeful, yet seemingly unpredictable.
We have assembled 11 unlikely events that - if they somehow happened - have the potential to profoundly affect the world as we know it.
To assess the political, economic, financial, and social impacts, IG brought together global economic/political experts to give their perspectives and predictions.
Explore some of the great unknowns facing us all today
Category: Economy Region: Global
Our panel of experts (interviewed March-May 2018):
Professor of Political Science and Diplomacy, Pusan National University
Robert Kelly is a Professor in the Department of Political Science and Diplomacy, Pusan National University in South Korea. His work focuses on international security and political economy. His areas of interest are East Asian security, US foreign policy, the Middle East, the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund. Kelly has appeared as an analyst on television news services, including the BBC and CNN.
Market Analyst, IG
Joshua Mahony is a Market Analyst at IG. He joined IG in 2015 following a three-year stint as a forex market analyst. He has featured regularly within both written press and TV over the years. Coming from an economics background, Mahony has worked within Deutsche Bank and Barclays Capital investment banks. He holds both CFTe and MSTA technical analysis qualifications.
CEO, Ipsos MORI
Ben Page is Chief Executive of Ipsos MORI. A graduate of Oxford University, Page is a frequent writer and speaker on trends, leadership and performance management. He has previously worked for companies including Shell, BAE Systems, Sky TV and IBM. Page has also worked closely with ministers and senior policy makers across government, leading on work for Downing Street, the Cabinet Office, the Home Office and the Department of Health.
We asked our experts to rate how likely it is that oil will return to $100 per barrel.
Panel members also rated the impact they would expect this event to have.