CFDs are a leveraged product and can result in losses that exceed deposits. Please ensure you fully understand how CFDs work and what their risks are, and take care to manage your exposure. CFDs are a leveraged product and can result in losses that exceed deposits. Please ensure you fully understand how CFDs work and what their risks are, and take care to manage your exposure.

Nasdaq outperforms, Dow and DAX finish higher

Retail bias in heavier short territory for the tech-heavy Nasdaq on a lack of retracement.

Dow Technical analysis, overview, strategies, and levels

The Dow managed to undo some of the losses registered the day before, failing to reach either of its key pivot points and in turn unable to offer a strategic play off of the key levels. Amongst its components, Disney, Apple (which hit a record high) and Microsoft were the outperformers, the handful finishing in the red including Dow, Walmart (following its strong session the day before after a report it would launch an Amazon Prime competitor), and Merck. As a sector, materials suffered the heaviest casualties, while tech, consumer discretionary, and financials outperformed. In earnings, Walgreens will be releasing its figures, and when it comes to US data we'll get unemployment claims today expected to remain above a million, and PPI (Producer Price Index) figures tomorrow.

IG client* and CoT sentiment for Dow

A lack of a price drop has meant retail bias remains in majority short territory, rising to 56% as of this morning.

Dow chart with retail and institutional sentiment

Nasdaq Technical analysis, overview, strategies, and levels

It's become a common theme for the Nasdaq, its price making fresh highs but offering little beyond its key pivot points, with a break of yesterday's 1st Resistance level once again testing conformist buy breakout strategies on a lack of upside follow through. Chinese e-commerce outperformed with Biogen (the biotech company submitting an Alzheimer's drug to the FDA for approval), while in the bottom Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Fastenal, and Tesla. From a technical standpoint, all its main indicators are flashing green unlike other indices in this report where although the overview is bullish, it has stalled more heavily and failed to offer fresh record highs.

IG client* and CoT sentiment for Nasdaq

That has also meant that retail short bias is heaviest here by a healthy margin, rising from 70% to 73% on yesterday's price moves and in much greater need of a retracement to unwind shorts initiated at far lower price levels.

Nasdaq chart with retail and institutional sentiment

DAX Technical analysis, overview, strategies, and levels

As with the Dow and FTSE, the price movement here was also limiting and within its key pivot points, as its bull trend technical overview stalls heavily near the highs, and where on most days has tested buy breakout strategies with a lack of significant follow through. Amongst its outperformers, RWE and Deutsche Post (whose earnings beat expectations) stood out, and while Wirecards's volatility dropped (relatively speaking), it still experienced the largest percentage change and finishing at the very bottom. A stronger Asian session this morning has taken futures higher and closer to today's 1st Resistance level, and in German data we've got trade expected to show a larger-than-previous surplus.

IG client* and CoT sentiment for DAX

Retail bias here (like the FTSE) is little changed on a relative lack of change in price, but unlike the UK index where the bias is heavy to the long side, here it's majority short.

DAX chart with retail and institutional sentiment

*The percentage of IG client accounts with positions in this market that are currently long or short. Calculated to the nearest 1%, as of today morning 8am.

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CFDs are a leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losses that exceed your initial deposit, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved.

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