The Week Ahead
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Week commencing 5 October
Chris Beauchamp insight
US services PMI kicks off the week, with markets focused on whether the US economy is losing momentum, while the FOMC minutes on Wednesday provide further clues on the Fed's rate path. UK construction PMI and euro area retail sales are also in focus, followed by US jobless and US consumer sentiment. Oil markets get the latest EIA inventory data midweek, while Australia and Canada provide key consumer and labour-market updates. On the sparse corporate front, Tesco is to report half-year earnings in the UK and Delta Airlines Q3 results in the US.
Economic reports
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Weekly view
3pm (London time) – US ISM services PMI (September): expected to fall to 54 from 55.4. Markets to watch: USD crosses
12.30am (London time) – Australia Westpac consumer confidence index (October): index expected to fall to 83.4 from 84.4. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
9.30am (London time) – UK construction PMI (September): forecast to rise to 45.5 from 44.3. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
10am (London time) – Euro area retail sales (August): expected to rise to -0.4% from -0.6%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
3pm (London time) – Canada Ivey PMI (September): expected to fall to 53 from 64.3. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
3.30pm (London time) – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 2 October): stockpiles rose by 922,000 barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
7pm (London time) – FOMC minutes. Markets to watch: USD crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US initial jobless claims (w/e 3 October): expected at 200,000. Markets to watch: USD crosses
1.30pm (London time) – Canada unemployment rate (September): expected to rise to 6.5% from 6.4%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
3pm (London time) – US Michigan consumer sentiment (October, preliminary): expected to rise to 48.6 from 48.1. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Monday
3pm (London time) – US ISM services PMI (September): expected to fall to 54 from 55.4. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Tuesday
12.30am (London time) – Australia Westpac consumer confidence index (October): index expected to fall to 83.4 from 84.4. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
9.30am (London time) – UK construction PMI (September): forecast to rise to 45.5 from 44.3. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
10am (London time) – Euro area retail sales (August): expected to rise to -0.4% from -0.6%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
3pm (London time) – Canada Ivey PMI (September): expected to fall to 53 from 64.3. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
Wednesday
3.30pm (London time) – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 2 October): stockpiles rose by 922,000 barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
7pm (London time) – FOMC minutes. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Thursday
1.30pm (London time) – US initial jobless claims (w/e 3 October): expected at 200,000. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Friday
1.30pm (London time) – Canada unemployment rate (September): expected to rise to 6.5% from 6.4%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
3pm (London time) – US Michigan consumer sentiment (October, preliminary): expected to rise to 48.6 from 48.1. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Company announcements
Dividends
FTSE 100: Barratt Redrow, Kingfisher
FTSE 250: Taylor Wimpey, WPP, Johnson Service, AG Barr, Law Debenture Corp
Dividends are applied after the close of the previous day’s session for each market. So, for example, the FTSE 100 goes ex-dividend on a Thursday, but the adjustment is applied at the close of the previous day, e.g. Wednesday. The table below shows the days in which the adjustment is applied, not the ex-dividend days.
Index adjustments
| Monday 05-Oct |
Tuesday 06-Oct |
Wednesday 07-Oct |
Thursday 08-Oct |
Friday 09-Oct |
Monday 12-Oct |
|
| FTSE 100 | 0.32 | |||||
| Australia 200 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | ||
| Wall Street | 9.8 | 5.6 | ||||
| US 500 | 0.54 | 0.19 | 0.04 | 1.02 | 0.64 | |
| Nasdaq | 1.49 | 0.48 | 0.07 | |||
| Netherlands 25 | ||||||
| EU Stocks 50 | 0.9 | |||||
| China H-Shares | 10.1 | 21.7 | ||||
| Singapore Blue Chip | ||||||
| Hong Kong HS50 | ||||||
| South Africa 40 | 281.9 | |||||
| Japan 225 |
* Please note these can change without notice
1 Dividend adjustments due to be posted on a bank holiday will usually be posted on the previous working day
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