The Week Ahead

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Week commencing 24 February

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Chris Beauchamp’s insight

German GDP, US durable goods order and eurozone business confidence are key economic data points next week, while in the UK corporate earnings move into high gear, full-year earnings from a host of companies dominate the week, including Rio Tinto, Taylor Wimpey, WPP and Rolls-Royce.

In the US earnings season is mostly done, but retailers such as JC Penney and IT firm HP publish their Q4 figures.

Economic reports

  • Monday
  • Tuesday
  • Wednesday
  • Thursday
  • Friday
  • Weekly view

9am – Germany IFO index (February): business climate index to rise to 96 from 95.9. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US Chicago Fed Nat’l Activity Index (January): expected to fall to -0.9 from -0.3. Markets to watch: USD crosses

7am – German GDP (Q4, final): YoY figure to fall to 0.4% from 0.6%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

3pm – US consumer confidence (February): forecast to rise to 132.4 from 131.6. Markets to watch: USD crosses

3pm – US new home sales (January): forecast to fall 1.5% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses

3.30pm – US EIA crude inventories (w/e 21 February): previous week saw stockpiles rise by 414,000 barrels. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI

10am – eurozone business confidence (February): index to fall to -0.4 from -0.2. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US GDP (Q4, 2nd estimate), durable goods orders (January), initial jobless claims (w/e 22 February): GDP to grow 2.1% QoQ, durable goods orders to fall 1.5% MoM and rise 0.2% excluding transportation, and initial jobless claims to rise to 221K from 220K. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

3pm – US pending home sales (January): expected to rise 2.9% YoY. Markets to watch: USD crosses

11.30pm – Japan unemployment rate (January): expected to rise to 2.3% from 2.2%. Markets to watch: JPY crosses

7.45am – France GDP (Q4, final): forecast to fall 0.1% QoQ. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

8.55am – Germany unemployment (February): expected to hold at 5%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

10am – eurozone inflation (February, flash): prices to rise 1.2% YoY and core CPI to rise 1.1% YoY. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1pm – Germany inflation (February, preliminary): expected to hold at 1.7%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US personal income & spending (January): spending and income to rise 0.3% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses

1.30pm – Canada GDP (Q4): expected to rise 0.3% QoQ. Markets to watch: CAD crosses

2.45pm - US Chicago PMI (February): forecast to rise to 45.8 from 42.9. Markets to watch: USD crosses

3pm – US Michigan confidence index (February, final): index to rise to 100.5 from 99.8. Markets to watch: USD crosses

Monday

9am – Germany IFO index (February): business climate index to rise to 96 from 95.9. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US Chicago Fed Nat’l Activity Index (January): expected to fall to -0.9 from -0.3. Markets to watch: USD crosses

Tuesday

7am – German GDP (Q4, final): YoY figure to fall to 0.4% from 0.6%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

3pm – US consumer confidence (February): forecast to rise to 132.4 from 131.6. Markets to watch: USD crosses

Wednesday

3pm – US new home sales (January): forecast to fall 1.5% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses

3.30pm – US EIA crude inventories (w/e 21 February): previous week saw stockpiles rise by 414,000 barrels. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI

Thursday

10am – eurozone business confidence (February): index to fall to -0.4 from -0.2. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US GDP (Q4, 2nd estimate), durable goods orders (January), initial jobless claims (w/e 22 February): GDP to grow 2.1% QoQ, durable goods orders to fall 1.5% MoM and rise 0.2% excluding transportation, and initial jobless claims to rise to 221K from 220K. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

3pm – US pending home sales (January): expected to rise 2.9% YoY. Markets to watch: USD crosses

11.30pm – Japan unemployment rate (January): expected to rise to 2.3% from 2.2%. Markets to watch: JPY crosses

Friday

7.45am – France GDP (Q4, final): forecast to fall 0.1% QoQ. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

8.55am – Germany unemployment (February): expected to hold at 5%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

10am – eurozone inflation (February, flash): prices to rise 1.2% YoY and core CPI to rise 1.1% YoY. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1pm – Germany inflation (February, preliminary): expected to hold at 1.7%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US personal income & spending (January): spending and income to rise 0.3% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses

1.30pm – Canada GDP (Q4): expected to rise 0.3% QoQ. Markets to watch: CAD crosses

2.45pm - US Chicago PMI (February): forecast to rise to 45.8 from 42.9. Markets to watch: USD crosses

3pm – US Michigan confidence index (February, final): index to rise to 100.5 from 99.8. Markets to watch: USD crosses

Dividends

Upcoming

FTSE 100: easyJet , Diageo, Barclays, AstraZeneca, HSBC

FTSE 250: Beazley, Plus500

Dividends are applied after the close of the previous day’s session for each market. So, for example, the FTSE 100 goes ex-dividend on a Thursday, but the adjustment is applied at the close of the previous day e.g. Wednesday. The table below shows the days in which the adjustment is applied, not the ex-dividend days.

Index adjustments

Monday 24 February Tuesday 25 February Wednesday 26 February Thursday 27 February Friday 28 February Monday 2 March
FTSE 100

Australia 200
Wall Street
US 500
Nasdaq
France 40
Netherlands 25
EU Stocks 50
China H-Shares
Singapore Blue Chip
Hong Kong HS50
South Africa 40
Italy 40
Japan 225

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Fast execution on a huge range of markets

Enjoy flexible access to more than 16,000 global markets, with reliable execution

Deal seamlessly, wherever you are

Trade on the move with our natively designed, award-winning trading app

Feel secure with a trusted provider

With 45 years of experience, we’re proud to offer a truly market-leading service

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