The Week Ahead
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Week commencing 14 September
Chris Beauchamp insight
This week may well set the tone for the rest of the year. The Fed, BoE and Bank of Japan all meet, with two out of the three expected to raise rates. Depending on the communications around these meetings, markets may be looking at more hikes before year end. Also key this week will be UK inflation and employment data, while a limited week for corporate news nonetheless sees retail giant Next report first-half figures.
Economic reports
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Weekly view
1.30pm (London time) – Canada inflation (August): prices expected to rise 3% YoY. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
3am (London time) – China industrial production & retail sales (August): production forecast to be up 5% and sales up 1% YoY. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
7am (London time) – UK unemployment data: July unemployment rate expected to hold at 4.9%, average earnings expected to rise 4%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
10am (London time) – German ZEW index (September): expected to fall to 21 from 34.2. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US Empire State mfg index (September): index expected to drop to 14. Markets to watch: USD crosses
7am (London time) – UK inflation (August): prices forecast to rise 3.1% YoY from 2.9%, and 0.5% from 0.3% MoM. Core inflation expected to be 2.6% YoY, in line with last month. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US retail sales (August): sales forecast to rise 0.3% MoM. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
3.30pm (London time) – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 11 September): stockpiles fell by 390,000 barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
7pm (London time) – Fed rate decision: a 25bps rise is becoming more likely from the world's most powerful central bank, which would see rates rise to 4%. Commentary at the meeting around the potential for more hikes is likely to drive market volatility. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses, gold
12pm (London time) – Bank of England rate decision: while no rate increase is expected, an increase in committee members arguing for a rate hike could drive upside in the pound. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US initial jobless claims (w/e 12 September): claims expected to rise to 208K from 206K. Markets to watch: USD crosses
12.30am (London time) – Japan inflation (August): prices expected to rise 2.1% YoY. Markets to watch: JPY crosses
4am (London time) – Bank of Japan rate decision: rates expected to rise 25bps to 1.25%. Markets to watch: JPY crosses
7am (London time) – UK retail sales (August): sales expected to rise 0.7% from -0.5%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
Monday
1.30pm (London time) – Canada inflation (August): prices expected to rise 3% YoY. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
Tuesday
3am (London time) – China industrial production & retail sales (August): production forecast to be up 5% and sales up 1% YoY. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
7am (London time) – UK unemployment data: July unemployment rate expected to hold at 4.9%, average earnings expected to rise 4%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
10am (London time) – German ZEW index (September): expected to fall to 21 from 34.2. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US Empire State mfg index (September): index expected to drop to 14. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Wednesday
7am (London time) – UK inflation (August): prices forecast to rise 3.1% YoY from 2.9%, and 0.5% from 0.3% MoM. Core inflation expected to be 2.6% YoY, in line with last month. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US retail sales (August): sales forecast to rise 0.3% MoM. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
3.30pm (London time) – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 11 September): stockpiles fell by 390,000 barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
7pm (London time) – Fed rate decision: a 25bps rise is becoming more likely from the world's most powerful central bank, which would see rates rise to 4%. Commentary at the meeting around the potential for more hikes is likely to drive market volatility. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses, gold
Thursday
12pm (London time) – Bank of England rate decision: while no rate increase is expected, an increase in committee members arguing for a rate hike could drive upside in the pound. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US initial jobless claims (w/e 12 September): claims expected to rise to 208K from 206K. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Friday
12.30am (London time) – Japan inflation (August): prices expected to rise 2.1% YoY. Markets to watch: JPY crosses
4am (London time) – Bank of Japan rate decision: rates expected to rise 25bps to 1.25%. Markets to watch: JPY crosses
7am (London time) – UK retail sales (August): sales expected to rise 0.7% from -0.5%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
Company announcements
| Monday 14 Sep |
Tuesday 15 Sep |
Wednesday 16 Sep |
Thursday 17 Sep |
Friday 18 Sep |
|
| Full-year earnings | Kier | Pan African Resources Barratt Redrow |
Galliford Try | ||
| Half/ Quarterly earnings | Trustpilot Wickes |
Next | |||
| Trading update |
Dividends
FTSE 100: None
FTSE 250: Foresight, Bridgepoint, Unite, Rank, Costain, PPHE Hotels, Goodwin, Energean
Dividends are applied after the close of the previous day’s session for each market. So, for example, the FTSE 100 goes ex-dividend on a Thursday, but the adjustment is applied at the close of the previous day, e.g. Wednesday. The table below shows the days in which the adjustment is applied, not the ex-dividend days.
Index adjustments
| Monday 14-Sep |
Tuesday 15-Sep |
Wednesday 16-Sep |
Thursday 17-Sep |
Friday 18-Sep |
Monday 21-Sep |
|
| FTSE 100 | ||||||
| Australia 200 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0.4 | ||
| Wall Street | 8.2 | 2.6 | ||||
| US 500 | 1.28 | 0.28 | 0.22 | 0.04 | 0.60 | 0.62 |
| Nasdaq | 1.80 | 0.33 | 2.18 | |||
| Netherlands 25 | ||||||
| EU Stocks 50 | 0.8 | |||||
| China H-Shares | 3.1 | 0.3 | 4.1 | 0.6 | ||
| Singapore Blue Chip | ||||||
| Hong Kong HS50 | 0.3 | |||||
| South Africa 40 | 297.2 | 269 | ||||
| Japan 225 | 0.9 |
* Please note these can change without notice
1 Dividend adjustments due to be posted on a bank holiday will usually be posted on the previous working day
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