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Week commencing 26 October
Chris Beauchamp insight
It is 'all systems go' this week. Central banks issue policy decisions, while a host of US and UK companies report earnings, most notably from more of the tech giants. While not all of this week's central banks are expected to raise rates, the commentary is likely to focus on whether they will have to respond to higher inflation. Amidst all this, we are watching oil prices continue to climb as tensions ramp up in the Middle East following reports that the US and Israel are considering new strikes on Iran.
Economic reports
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Weekly view
10am (London time) – German IFO index (October): expected to fall to 89.2 from 89.9. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US Chicago Fed index (September): expected to fall to -0.1 from -0.04. Markets to watch: USD crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US durable goods orders (September): orders forecast to fall 0.2% MoM, and down 0.1% excluding transportation. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm (London time) – US consumer confidence (October): expected to fall to 80 from 81.9. Markets to watch: USD crosses
2.45pm (London time) – Bank of Canada decision: rates expected to be raised 25bps to 2.5%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
3.30pm (London time) – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 23 October): stockpiles fell by 3.1 million barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
7pm (London time) – Fed rate decision: no change in rates is expected, but with oil prices pushing higher there is likely to be an increase in those expecting interest rates to rise in coming months. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US PCE price index (September), initial jobless claims (w/e 24 October): claims expected to rise to 196K from 194K. Markets to watch: USD crosses
2.15pm (London time) – ECB rate decision: rates expected to be held at 2.5%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
4am (London time) – Bank of Japan rate decision: no change in rates expected from current 1.25%. Markets to watch: JPY crosses
10am (London time) – German GDP (Q3, flash): expected to be 0% QoQ from 0.3%, and 1%, in line with last year. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
2pm (London time) – German CPI (October): prices expected to rise 0.5% MoM from 0.6%, but 3.5% from 3.3% YoY. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
Monday
10am (London time) – German IFO index (October): expected to fall to 89.2 from 89.9. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US Chicago Fed index (September): expected to fall to -0.1 from -0.04. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Tuesday
1.30pm (London time) – US durable goods orders (September): orders forecast to fall 0.2% MoM, and down 0.1% excluding transportation. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm (London time) – US consumer confidence (October): expected to fall to 80 from 81.9. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Wednesday
2.45pm (London time) – Bank of Canada decision: rates expected to be raised 25bps to 2.5%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
3.30pm (London time) – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 23 October): stockpiles fell by 3.1 million barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
7pm (London time) – Fed rate decision: no change in rates is expected, but with oil prices pushing higher there is likely to be an increase in those expecting interest rates to rise in coming months. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
Thursday
1.30pm (London time) – US PCE price index (September), initial jobless claims (w/e 24 October): claims expected to rise to 196K from 194K. Markets to watch: USD crosses
2.15pm (London time) – ECB rate decision: rates expected to be held at 2.5%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
Friday
4am (London time) – Bank of Japan rate decision: no change in rates expected from current 1.25%. Markets to watch: JPY crosses
10am (London time) – German GDP (Q3, flash): expected to be 0% QoQ from 0.3%, and 1%, in line with last year. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
2pm (London time) – German CPI (October): prices expected to rise 0.5% MoM from 0.6%, but 3.5% from 3.3% YoY. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
Company announcements
| Monday 26 Oct |
Tuesday 27 Oct |
Wednesday 28 Oct |
Thursday 29 Oct |
Friday 30 Oct |
|
| Full-year earnings | |||||
| Half/ Quarterly earnings | Verizon | HSBC Reckitt Benckiser Freeport-McMoRan Visa |
Standard Chartered Unilever Intertek GSK Chipotle eBay Alphabet Microsoft |
St James's Place Glencore Lloyds IMI Shell Haleon Computacenter WPP Sandisk Starbucks Intel Amazon |
AstraZeneca NatWest BP Chevron |
| Trading update |
Dividends
FTSE 100: Balfour Beatty, JD Sports, Whitbread
FTSE 250: Hilton Foods, Kier, Renishaw, Bloomsbury Publishing
Dividends are applied after the close of the previous day’s session for each market. So, for example, the FTSE 100 goes ex-dividend on a Thursday, but the adjustment is applied at the close of the previous day, e.g. Wednesday. The table below shows the days in which the adjustment is applied, not the ex-dividend days.
* Please note these can change without notice
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