The Week Ahead
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Week commencing 20 October
Chris Beauchamp insight
Tech earnings and inflation data dominate the week. Netflix, Tesla and Amazon make up the first wave of the big-cap members of the Magnificent 7, though others like oil giant Halliburton and defence firm Lockheed also report. In the UK Unilever and InterContinental Hotels, among others, release trading statements.
Inflation data from Canada, the UK, Japan and the US is also published, the last of these having been delayed due to the government shutdown. The next Fed decision is just over a week away, so this report is likely to pay a key role in deliberations on the Fed committee.
Economic reports
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Weekly view
3am (London time) – China GDP (Q3): growth expected to be 5.4% from 5.2%. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
1.30pm (London time) – Canada CPI (September): prices expected to rise to 2.2% YoY from 1.9% and core CPI to rise to 2.7% from 2.6% YoY. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
7am (London time) – UK CPI (September): prices forecast to rise 4% YoY and 0.2% MoM, from 3.8% and 0.3%. Core CPI to rise to 3.7% from 3.6% YoY. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
3.30pm (London time) – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 17 October): stockpiles rose by 3.5 million barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
1.30pm (London time) – US Chicago Fed index (September): index expected to fall to -0.4 from -0.14. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm (London time) – US existing home sales (September): forecast to slow 0.4% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm (London time) – eurozone consumer confidence (October, flash): index expected to fall to -15.4 from -14.9. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
12.30am (London time) – Japan inflation (September): prices expected to rise 2.8% YoY from 2.7%. Markets to watch: JPY crosses
7am (London time) – UK retail sales (September): sales forecast to rise 0.3% MoM. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
8.30am (London time) – German mfg PMI (October, flash): index expected to fall to 49 from 49.5. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
9.30am (London time) – UK PMI (October, flash): services PMI expected to rise to 51.1 and manufacturing to rise to 46.7. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US CPI (September): Delayed from 15 October. Prices expected to have risen 3% YoY from 2.9%, and 0.4% MoM, in line with August. Core CPI to be 3% YoY from 3.1% and 0.3% MoM, in line with August. Markets to watch: USD crosses
2.45pm (London time) – US PMI (October, flash): manufacturing PMI expected to rise to 52.1 from 52, and services to rise to 54.3 from 54.2. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Monday
3am (London time) – China GDP (Q3): growth expected to be 5.4% from 5.2%. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
Tuesday
1.30pm (London time) – Canada CPI (September): prices expected to rise to 2.2% YoY from 1.9% and core CPI to rise to 2.7% from 2.6% YoY. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
Wednesday
7am (London time) – UK CPI (September): prices forecast to rise 4% YoY and 0.2% MoM, from 3.8% and 0.3%. Core CPI to rise to 3.7% from 3.6% YoY. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
3.30pm (London time) – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 17 October): stockpiles rose by 3.5 million barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
Thursday
1.30pm (London time) – US Chicago Fed index (September): index expected to fall to -0.4 from -0.14. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm (London time) – US existing home sales (September): forecast to slow 0.4% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm (London time) – eurozone consumer confidence (October, flash): index expected to fall to -15.4 from -14.9. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
Friday
12.30am (London time) – Japan inflation (September): prices expected to rise 2.8% YoY from 2.7%. Markets to watch: JPY crosses
7am (London time) – UK retail sales (September): sales forecast to rise 0.3% MoM. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
8.30am (London time) – German mfg PMI (October, flash): index expected to fall to 49 from 49.5. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
9.30am (London time) – UK PMI (October, flash): services PMI expected to rise to 51.1 and manufacturing to rise to 46.7. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US CPI (September): Delayed from 15 October. Prices expected to have risen 3% YoY from 2.9%, and 0.4% MoM, in line with August. Core CPI to be 3% YoY from 3.1% and 0.3% MoM, in line with August. Markets to watch: USD crosses
2.45pm (London time) – US PMI (October, flash): manufacturing PMI expected to rise to 52.1 from 52, and services to rise to 54.3 from 54.2. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Company announcements
| Monday 20 Oct |
Tuesday 21 Oct |
Wednesday 22 Oct |
Thursday 23 Oct |
Friday 24 Oct |
|
| Full-year earnings | Softcat | ||||
| Half/ Quarterly earnings | Netflix Inc (24 Hours) Coca-Cola Co (24 Hours) Lockheed Martin Corp (Extended Hours) General Motors Co (Extended Hours) Halliburton |
Tesla Motors Inc (24 Hours) IBM Corp (Extended Hours) |
Intel Corp (24 Hours) Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc Ford Motor Co (24 Hours) American Airlines Group Inc (Extended Hours) |
||
| Trading update | Segro PLC XP Power Ltd |
Aberdeen Hunting PLC Inchcape InterContinental Hotels Group PLC London Stock Exchange Group PLC RELX PLC Rentokil Initial PLC Unilever PLC |
Dividends
FTSE 100: BAE Systems PLC
FTSE 250: PayPoint PLC, Moonpig Group PLC, Morgan Advanced Materials PLC, JSC TBC Bank, Marshalls PLC, JD Wetherspoon PLC
Dividends are applied after the close of the previous day’s session for each market. So, for example, the FTSE 100 goes ex-dividend on a Thursday, but the adjustment is applied at the close of the previous day, e.g. Wednesday. The table below shows the days in which the adjustment is applied, not the ex-dividend days.
Index adjustments
| Monday 20-Oct |
Tuesday 21-Oct |
Wednesday 22-Oct |
Thursday 23-Oct |
Friday 24-Oct |
Monday 27-Oct |
|
| FTSE 100 | 1.67 | |||||
| Australia 200 | 0.1 | |||||
| Wall Street | 6.5 | |||||
| US 500 | 0.02 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| Nasdaq | 0.02 | 0.33 | ||||
| Netherlands 25 | 0.1 | 0.30 | ||||
| EU Stocks 50 | 0.9 | |||||
| China H-Shares | 1.5 | |||||
| Singapore Blue Chip | ||||||
| Hong Kong HS50 | ||||||
| South Africa 40 | 64.3 | |||||
| Japan 225 |
* Please note these can change without notice
1 Dividend adjustments due to be posted on a bank holiday will usually be posted on the previous working day
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