The Week Ahead
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Week commencing 7 July
Chris Beauchamp insight
US markets return after their long weekend, but the calendar remains relatively sparse on both the corporate and economic fronts. An Australian rate decision and Chinese inflation are the main economic events, while UK oil giant Shell reports Q1 figures. However, the chief focus is likely to be the return of tariffs, especially now President Trump has said that he prefers imposing tariffs to negotiating trade deals.
Economic reports
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Weekly view
None
5.30am (London time) – RBA rate decision: rates expected to be cut by 25 bps to 3.6%. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
3pm (London time) – Canada Ivey PMI (June): expected to rise to 49 from 48.9. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
1.30am (London time) – Australia Westpac consumer confidence (July): index forecast to fall to 91 from 92.6. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
2.30am (London time) – China inflation (June): prices forecast to fall 0.3% YoY and rise 0.1% MoM. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
3.30pm (London time) – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 4 July): stockpiles rose by 3.85 million barrels in the previous week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
7pm (London time) – Fed minutes. Markets to watch: USD crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US initial jobless claims (w/e 5 July): claims expected to rise to 245K from 233K. Markets to watch: USD crosses
7am (London time) – UK GDP (May): growth fell 0.3% in April. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm (London time) – Canada employment data (June): unemployment rate expected to hold at 7%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
Monday
None
Tuesday
5.30am (London time) – RBA rate decision: rates expected to be cut by 25 bps to 3.6%. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
3pm (London time) – Canada Ivey PMI (June): expected to rise to 49 from 48.9. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
Wednesday
1.30am (London time) – Australia Westpac consumer confidence (July): index forecast to fall to 91 from 92.6. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
2.30am (London time) – China inflation (June): prices forecast to fall 0.3% YoY and rise 0.1% MoM. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
3.30pm (London time) – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 4 July): stockpiles rose by 3.85 million barrels in the previous week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
7pm (London time) – Fed minutes. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Thursday
1.30pm (London time) – US initial jobless claims (w/e 5 July): claims expected to rise to 245K from 233K. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Friday
7am (London time) – UK GDP (May): growth fell 0.3% in April. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm (London time) – Canada employment data (June): unemployment rate expected to hold at 7%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
Company announcements
Dividends
FTSE 100: Halma, Games Workshop
FTSE 250: WHSmith, Bytes Technology, CMC Markets, Oxford Instruments PLC, Merchants Trust
Dividends are applied after the close of the previous day’s session for each market. So, for example, the FTSE 100 goes ex-dividend on a Thursday, but the adjustment is applied at the close of the previous day, e.g. Wednesday. The table below shows the days in which the adjustment is applied, not the ex-dividend days.
* Please note these can change without notice
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