The Week Ahead
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Week commencing 29 September
Chris Beauchamp insight
US employment figures dominate the week, in the form of the ADP report, the monthly JOLTS figures, weekly jobless claims and then non-farm payrolls on Friday. Even the ISM PMIs will be watched to see if the employment sub-indices provide further insight. Tesco's interim earnings and Nike's latest quarterly report are the corporate highlights of the week.
Economic reports
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Weekly view
3pm (London time) – US pending home sales (August): forecast to rise 1.7% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses
2.30am (London time) – China National Bureau of Statistic (NBS) PMI (September): manufacturing expected to rise to 49.9 from 49.4, while non-manufacturing to rise to 50.7 from 50.3. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
2.45am (London time) – China RatingDog PMI (September): manufacturing PMI expected to rise to 50.8 from 50.5, while services PMI is forecast to rise to 53.3 from 53. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
5.30am (London time) – RBA rate decision: rates expected to be held at 3.6%. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
1pm (London time) – German inflation (September, preliminary): prices expected to rise 2.3% YoY and 0.1% MoM, from 2.2% and 0.1%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
2.45pm (London time) – US Chicago PMI (September): index expected to fall to 41 from 41.5. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm (London time) – US consumer confidence (August), JOLTS job openings (September): confidence to fall to 95 from 97.4, while JOLTS ease to 7.1 million. Markets to watch: USD crosses
10am (London time) – eurozone inflation (September): prices forecast to rise 2.2% YoY and 0.1% MoM, in line with last month. Core CPI to hold at 2.3%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
1.15pm (London time) – US ADP employment report (September): 40,000 jobs expected to have been created, down from 54K last month. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
3pm (London time) – US ISM manufacturing PMI (September): index to rise to 49 from 48.7. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3.30pm (London time) – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 26 September): stockpiles fell by 600,000 barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
1.30pm (London time) – US initial jobless claims (w/e 27 September): claims fell to 218K in the preceding week. Markets to watch: USD crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US non-farm payrolls (September): payrolls expected to rise to 39K from 22K, while the unemployment rate holds at 4.3%. Average hourly earnings expected to rise 3.7% YoY, in line with August, but 0.2% MoM, down from August's 0.3%. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
3pm (London time) – US ISM services PMI (September): index to fall to 51 from 52. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Monday
3pm (London time) – US pending home sales (August): forecast to rise 1.7% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Tuesday
2.30am (London time) – China National Bureau of Statistic (NBS) PMI (September): manufacturing expected to rise to 49.9 from 49.4, while non-manufacturing to rise to 50.7 from 50.3. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
2.45am (London time) – China RatingDog PMI (September): manufacturing PMI expected to rise to 50.8 from 50.5, while services PMI is forecast to rise to 53.3 from 53. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
5.30am (London time) – RBA rate decision: rates expected to be held at 3.6%. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
1pm (London time) – German inflation (September, preliminary): prices expected to rise 2.3% YoY and 0.1% MoM, from 2.2% and 0.1%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
2.45pm (London time) – US Chicago PMI (September): index expected to fall to 41 from 41.5. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm (London time) – US consumer confidence (August), JOLTS job openings (September): confidence to fall to 95 from 97.4, while JOLTS ease to 7.1 million. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Wednesday
10am (London time) – eurozone inflation (September): prices forecast to rise 2.2% YoY and 0.1% MoM, in line with last month. Core CPI to hold at 2.3%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
1.15pm (London time) – US ADP employment report (September): 40,000 jobs expected to have been created, down from 54K last month. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
3pm (London time) – US ISM manufacturing PMI (September): index to rise to 49 from 48.7. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3.30pm (London time) – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 26 September): stockpiles fell by 600,000 barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
Thursday
1.30pm (London time) – US initial jobless claims (w/e 27 September): claims fell to 218K in the preceding week. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Friday
1.30pm (London time) – US non-farm payrolls (September): payrolls expected to rise to 39K from 22K, while the unemployment rate holds at 4.3%. Average hourly earnings expected to rise 3.7% YoY, in line with August, but 0.2% MoM, down from August's 0.3%. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
3pm (London time) – US ISM services PMI (September): index to fall to 51 from 52. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Company announcements
| Monday 29 Sep |
Tuesday 30 Sep |
Wednesday 1 Oct |
Thursday 2 Oct |
Friday 3 Oct |
|
| Full-year earnings | Close Brothers Group PLC | JD Wetherspoon PLC | |||
| Half/ Quarterly earnings | Carnival PLC (LSE) | Avacta Group PLC BARR (A.G.) PLC NIKE Inc (24 Hours) |
Tesco PLC | ||
| Trading update |
Dividends
FTSE 100: British American Tobacco PLC (LSE), Weir Group PLC, Smith & Nephew PLC, F&C Investment Trust PLC
FTSE 250: Kainos Group PLC, Breedon Aggregates Ltd, Morgan Sindall Group PLC, Bodycote PLC, Travis Perkins PLC, TP ICAP PLC, Spectris PLC, RIT Capital Partners PLC, Hunting PLC, Johnson Service Group PLC, Wickes Group Limited, Law Debenture Corp PLC, Pantheon Infrastructure PLC, Petershill Partners PLC
Dividends are applied after the close of the previous day’s session for each market. So, for example, the FTSE 100 goes ex-dividend on a Thursday, but the adjustment is applied at the close of the previous day, e.g. Wednesday. The table below shows the days in which the adjustment is applied, not the ex-dividend days.
Index adjustments
| Monday 29-Sep |
Tuesday 30-Sep |
Wednesday 1-Oct |
Thursday 2-Oct |
Friday 3-Oct |
Monday 6-Oct |
|
| FTSE 100 | 5.63 | |||||
| Australia 200 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | |
| Wall Street | 7.6 | 9.2 | ||||
| US 500 | 0.67 | 0.33 | 0.08 | 0.75 | 0.49 | 0.05 |
| Nasdaq | 0.86 | 1.61 | 2.44 | |||
| Netherlands 25 | 0.2 | |||||
| EU Stocks 50 | 2.7 | |||||
| China H-Shares | 3.9 | |||||
| Singapore Blue Chip | ||||||
| Hong Kong HS50 | ||||||
| South Africa 40 | 60.4 | |||||
| Japan 225 |
* Please note these can change without notice
1 Dividend adjustments due to be posted on a bank holiday will usually be posted on the previous working day
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