The Week Ahead
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A calendar of next week’s biggest market-moving events, including key economic reports and company announcements
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A heads up on upcoming trading opportunities and markets to watch
Week commencing 9 February
Chris Beauchamp insight
A delayed US payrolls report and monthly US inflation figures dominate the week, while Japan's election will be key for near-term direction in yen currency pairs and the Nikkei 225. Earnings from McDonald's provide an insight into the global economy, while Coinbase's earnings come at an interesting time given the recent weakness in cryptocurrencies. In the UK, index heavyweight AstraZeneca reports, along with BP and NatWest.
Economic reports
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Weekly view
12am (London time) – Japan general election: this sees the current PM look to provide a mandate for more fiscal stimulus. Markets to watch: Nikkei 225, JPY crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US retail sales (December): sales expected to rise 0.4%, down from 0.6%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
1.30am (London time) – China CPI (January): prices expected to rise 0.6% MoM and 0.7% YoY, from 0.2% and 0.8%. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US non-farm payrolls (January): delayed from the previous Friday, 40,000 jobs expected for the month, down from 50,000 a month earlier. Unemployment rate expected to rise to 4.5% from 4.4%. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
3.30pm (London time) – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 6 February): previous week saw stockpiles fall by 3.5 million barrels. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
7am (London time) – UK GDP (Q4, preliminary): QoQ growth expected to rise to 0.2% from 0.1%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US initial jobless claims (w/e 7 February). Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm (London time) – US existing home sales (January): sales forecast to fall 3.4%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US CPI (January): prices expected to rise 0.1% MoM and 2.4% YoY, down from 0.3% and 2.7% respectively. Core inflation forecast to be 0.2% MoM and 2.5% YoY, from 0.2% and 2.6%. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
Monday
12am (London time) – Japan general election: this sees the current PM look to provide a mandate for more fiscal stimulus. Markets to watch: Nikkei 225, JPY crosses
Tuesday
1.30pm (London time) – US retail sales (December): sales expected to rise 0.4%, down from 0.6%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Wednesday
1.30am (London time) – China CPI (January): prices expected to rise 0.6% MoM and 0.7% YoY, from 0.2% and 0.8%. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US non-farm payrolls (January): delayed from the previous Friday, 40,000 jobs expected for the month, down from 50,000 a month earlier. Unemployment rate expected to rise to 4.5% from 4.4%. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
3.30pm (London time) – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 6 February): previous week saw stockpiles fall by 3.5 million barrels. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
Thursday
7am (London time) – UK GDP (Q4, preliminary): QoQ growth expected to rise to 0.2% from 0.1%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US initial jobless claims (w/e 7 February). Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm (London time) – US existing home sales (January): sales forecast to fall 3.4%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Friday
1.30pm (London time) – US CPI (January): prices expected to rise 0.1% MoM and 2.4% YoY, down from 0.3% and 2.7% respectively. Core inflation forecast to be 0.2% MoM and 2.5% YoY, from 0.2% and 2.6%. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
Company announcements
| Monday 9 Feb |
Tuesday 10 Feb |
Wednesday 11 Feb |
Thursday 12 Feb |
Friday 13 Feb |
|
| Full-year earnings | BP AstraZeneca Barclays |
Smurfit WestRock | RELX Unilever British American Tobacco |
NatWest | |
| Half/ Quarterly earnings | Dunelm Bellway Gilead Ford Coca-Cola |
Renishaw Severn Trent Barratt Redrow Cisco McDonald's |
Ashmore Coinbase |
Moderna | |
| Trading update |
Dividends
FTSE 100: Pershing Square
FTSE 250: Int'l Public Partnerships, Rank, Greencoat UK Wind, ICG Enterprise Trust, Impax Environmental, Target Healthcare, Carnival
Dividends are applied after the close of the previous day’s session for each market. So, for example, the FTSE 100 goes ex-dividend on a Thursday, but the adjustment is applied at the close of the previous day, e.g. Wednesday. The table below shows the days in which the adjustment is applied, not the ex-dividend days.
Index adjustments
| Monday 09-Feb |
Tuesday 10-Feb |
Wednesday 11-Feb |
Thursday 12-Feb |
Friday 13-Feb |
Monday 16-Feb |
|
| FTSE 100 | 0.07 | |||||
| Australia 200 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | |||
| Wall Street | 14.5 | 20.3 | 11.0 | |||
| US 500 | 0.46 | 0.19 | 0.57 | 1.16 | 0.84 | |
| Nasdaq | 0.99 | 0.23 | 3.03 | 0.31 | ||
| Netherlands 25 | ||||||
| EU Stocks 50 | 5.6 | |||||
| China H-Shares | ||||||
| Singapore Blue Chip | 0.01 | 0.35 | ||||
| Hong Kong HS50 | ||||||
| South Africa 40 | ||||||
| Japan 225 |
* Please note these can change without notice
1 Dividend adjustments due to be posted on a bank holiday will usually be posted on the previous working day
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