The Week Ahead
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Week commencing 11 May
Chris Beauchamp insight
Following on from non-farm payrolls last week, this week's big datapoint is US inflation, likely to be the key driver for the whole week. German ZEW data is expected to show a deterioration of sentiment among businesses thanks to the conflict in the Middle East. US earnings season has begun to thin out, now that most of the heavyweight names have reported, but in the UK Vodafone, Greggs and Imperial Brands are among those reporting.
Economic reports
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Weekly view
2.30am (London time) – China inflation (April): previous reading 1% YoY. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
3pm (London time) – US existing home sales (April): sales expected to fall 0.7% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses
10am (London time) – German ZEW index (May): economic sentiment index expected to fall to -26 from -17. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US inflation (April): prices forecast to rise 0.5% MoM and 3.6% YoY, from 0.9% and 3.3%. Core CPI expected to be 0.2% MoM and 2.6%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US PPI (April): prices expected to rise 0.2%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3.30pm (London time) – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 8 May): stockpiles fell by 2.3 million barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
7am (London time) – UK GDP (Q1, preliminary): growth expected to be 0.3% QoQ from 0.1%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US retail sales (April): sales forecast to rise 0.1%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US NY Empire mfg index (May): index to slump to 4 from 11. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Monday
2.30am (London time) – China inflation (April): previous reading 1% YoY. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
3pm (London time) – US existing home sales (April): sales expected to fall 0.7% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Tuesday
10am (London time) – German ZEW index (May): economic sentiment index expected to fall to -26 from -17. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US inflation (April): prices forecast to rise 0.5% MoM and 3.6% YoY, from 0.9% and 3.3%. Core CPI expected to be 0.2% MoM and 2.6%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Wednesday
1.30pm (London time) – US PPI (April): prices expected to rise 0.2%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3.30pm (London time) – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 8 May): stockpiles fell by 2.3 million barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
Thursday
7am (London time) – UK GDP (Q1, preliminary): growth expected to be 0.3% QoQ from 0.1%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
1.30pm (London time) – US retail sales (April): sales forecast to rise 0.1%. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Friday
1.30pm (London time) – US NY Empire mfg index (May): index to slump to 4 from 11. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Company announcements
| Monday 11 May |
Tuesday 12 May |
Wednesday 13 May |
Thursday 14 May |
Friday 15 May |
|
| Full-year earnings | Bytes Technology Vodafone |
National Grid Burberry |
|||
| Half/ Quarterly earnings | Compass Constellation Energy |
Victrex Cisco |
|||
| Trading update | Imperial Brands Int'l Workspace Group IMI Greggs |
TP Icap Spirax |
ITV Land Securities Aviva |
Dividends
FTSE 100: Pershing Square, Coca-Cola HBC, Tesco, BP, GSK, Unilever, HSBC
FTSE 250: Morgan Sindall, PageGroup, Lancashire Holdings, Balfour Beatty
Dividends are applied after the close of the previous day’s session for each market. So, for example, the FTSE 100 goes ex-dividend on a Thursday, but the adjustment is applied at the close of the previous day, e.g. Wednesday. The table below shows the days in which the adjustment is applied, not the ex-dividend days.
Index adjustments
| Monday 11-May |
Tuesday 12-May |
Wednesday 13-May |
Thursday 14-May |
Friday 15-May |
Monday 18-May |
|
| FTSE 100 | 20.24 | |||||
| Australia 200 | 0.3 | 5.7 | ||||
| Wall Street | 4.1 | 22.8 | 11.0 | |||
| US 500 | 0.26 | 0.29 | 0.17 | 1.46 | 0.38 | 0.50 |
| Nasdaq | 0.82 | 0.41 | 5.18 | 0.21 | 0.37 | |
| Netherlands 25 | 0.74 | 0.18 | 2.42 | |||
| EU Stocks 50 | 0.7 | 2.8 | 11.5 | |||
| China H-Shares | 1.4 | 8.5 | 15.5 | 27.0 | 1.9 | |
| Singapore Blue Chip | ||||||
| Hong Kong HS50 | 4.0 | |||||
| South Africa 40 | 68.3 | |||||
| Japan 225 |
* Please note these can change without notice
1 Dividend adjustments due to be posted on a bank holiday will usually be posted on the previous working day
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