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CFDs are complex financial instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. CFDs are complex financial instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

FX levels to watch – EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD

The dollar has been strengthening throughout the second half of the week, with the combined effect of the FOMC and ECB seeing EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD selling off sharply.

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ECB sends EUR/USD tumbling

EUR/USD has broken lower, following an attempt to push upwards throughout the first week of the month. Even so, this looked like it would have been seen as a retracement before another sell-off.

However, with the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting helping drive EUR/USD lower, there is a good chance that we will not see that protracted rebound come into play. That being said, we would need to see a break below $1.1510 to further this bearish case, and until that happens there is still a chance of a rebound over the short term.

GBP/USD trading near crucial support level

GBP/USD has also seen significant downside come into play towards the back end of the week, with the pair faltering in the wake of the ECB meeting.

This has broken the pair back towards the $1.3204 support level, which will ultimately dictate the state of play for the day. An hourly close below that level would signify a likely further push lower. However, without that break, there is a chance we could start to turn higher as we close out the week.

AUD/USD looks set for protracted period of downside

AUD/USD sold off sharply yesterday, with the pair falling below $0.7475 and out of the uptrend that has been in place since early May.

The wider trend pointed towards further downside coming into play soon enough, and this appears to be the moment that we see such a shift. For the near-term, there is always a risk of a rebound after such an extended sell-off. However, such a bounce would be a selling opportunity, with a bearish outlook in play unless we see a rally through the $0.7624 swing high.

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication.  Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. 

CFDs are a leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losses that exceed your initial deposit, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved.

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