CFDs are a leveraged product and can result in losses that exceed deposits. Please ensure you fully understand how CFDs work and what their risks are, and take care to manage your exposure. CFDs are a leveraged product and can result in losses that exceed deposits. Please ensure you fully understand how CFDs work and what their risks are, and take care to manage your exposure.

EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY ease back on recent moves

Dollar strength is expected to return before long after varied moves for EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY.

​EUR/USD consolidates after recent gains

EUR/USD has managed to find some buyers after recent declines, with the pair rising through the $1.0821 swing high to bring a more bullish short-term view. The upside seen yesterday took the price through the $1.0863 resistance level to continue the recent trend of higher highs.

Thus, the consolidation we are currently seeing is likely to be a retracement before we move higher once again. This bullish outlook holds unless we break below the $1.0805 support level. However, it is worthwhile noting that this short-term bullish outlook does not negate the wider long-term downtrend that is expected to kick in before long.

GBP/USD losses expected to return despite short-term gains

GBP/USD has seen some upside over the past 24 hours, with the price seemingly forming a higher low despite recent declines from the 61.8% Fibonacci level. A break through that $1.2985 level would point towards a potential rise into the 76.4% retracement at $1.3018.

However, in either case it looks likely we will continue the declines seen over the wider two-month period. A break through $1.307 would be required to negate this bearish outlook.

USD/JPY pullback unlikely to last

USD/JPY has been on an incredible journey over the past week, with sharp gains being greeted by equally steep declines yesterday. Nonetheless, the wider uptrend seen throughout the past six months remains in play, with the price appearing to retrace some of last weeks gains.

The Japanese economic and health-related fears remain significant, and thus it is likely that the dollar will provide the more reliable haven unless we start seeing the virus make a significant impact upon the US. With that in mind, the current decline looks like a retracement of the rally from ¥109.66, as highlighted on the four-hour chart below. While the price is heading lower, it is likely that this will be a short-term move before the bulls start to come back into play. A break below the ¥109.66 level would negate this bullish outlook. ​


This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.
CFDs are a leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losses that exceed your initial deposit, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved.

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