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AUD squeezing higher

While renewed USD strength was the key theme in the forex space, perhaps the biggest surprise was the AUD’s resilience.

CFDs are a leveraged product and can result in losses that exceed deposits. Trading CFDs may not be suitable for everyone, so please ensure you fully understand the risks and take care to manage your exposure.
AUD
Source: Bloomberg

In fact, the AUD was the only G-10 currency the greenback failed to gain ground against. Since the RBA decided to keep rates on hold for another month, this seems to have breathed some fresh life in the AUD. Iron ore has also managed to rebound to a week high and the local currency tends to track the commodity. AUD/USD was starting to extend its gains above $0.7700 but disappointing home loans data this morning has knocked some of the wind out of its sails. February home loans showed just a 1.2% rise when the market was expecting it up 3%. China’s CPI data came in at 1.4%, ahead of estimates of a 1.3% rise. Some analysts feel this reduces the capacity or probability for officials to act but I feel it’s unlikely to have such a significant bearing given the inflation threshold is fairly high. While the fundamentals of the AUD are still mostly pointing lower in the medium term, there could be a short term squeeze into $0.7790. This level is the 61.8% retracement of the March 24 to April 2 drop. Sellers could look at fresh shorts in that region.

AUD/USD
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CFDs are a leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losses that exceed your initial deposit, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved.