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Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

The WTI recovery continues to push higher, despite little chance of a production deal. Equally surprising, gold is managing to break higher amid a clear risk-on sentiment shift.

CFDs are a leveraged product and can result in losses that exceed deposits. Trading CFDs may not be suitable for everyone, so please ensure you fully understand the risks and take care to manage your exposure.
Gold bars
Source: Bloomberg

Gold spikes from trendline support
After the bulls managed to turn out some positive price-action despite gains across risk assets, gold is finally back up above Monday’s open. We now have a higher-high and higher-low in play on the short timeframes, which provides a good chance of further gains.

We are seeing gold drift lower currently and it seems a better idea to be bullish on a pullback rather than entering any positions within an extended market. As such, Fibonacci retracements will be interesting as potential support should we see further pullback.

In particular, the 38.2% ($1239), 50% ($1237) and 61.8% ($1235) levels are worth watching out for. This bullish view would be negated with an hourly close below $1227.

WTI rally reaches swing high
After an incredible recovery from initial 7% losses yesterday, WTI managed to reach the first swing high ($41.82) this morning. We are seeing a remarkably consistent recovery in play here, which is expected to persist with the next major resistance levels coming around $42.28 and $43.42. This bullish view would be negated with a move back below $40.85.

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CFDs are a leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losses that exceed your initial deposit, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved.